im gonna say 100-150k wit a 20-30k weekly WW average when counting the last 4 weeks of Jan
how are you guys getting your 2013 Jan numbers?
Play Me
im gonna say 100-150k wit a 20-30k weekly WW average when counting the last 4 weeks of Jan
how are you guys getting your 2013 Jan numbers?
Play Me
Seece said:
Yeah I'm talking WW as well, it was 150k! January NPD was 57k. |
Uhhhhh... dunno where you'll pulling number from but we have it 280K here. And november at 475K.
145k.
Won bet with t3mporary_126 - I correctly predicted that the Wii U's LTD at the end of 2014 would be closer to 9 million than 10 million. http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6673287
I think people are going to be rather surprised.
500k.
To put this into context, the Wii sold over 1 million units in January for the first 5 years, and then over 670k in January 2012. In January 2013, it sold 320k, when at the same time, the Wii U sold 282k - a total between the two of 602k. The Wii has now been discontinued in both Japan and Europe, and is diminishing in sales relative to the Wii U.
As such, I am expecting Wii U at about 500k, and Wii at about 100k. I feel that this is a justifiable prediction - here's the 2012 (Wii) vs 2013 (Wii+WiiU) numbers for the non-holiday months:
January: 672k / 602k
February: 452k / 340k
March: 397k / 416k
April: 287k / 256k
May: 250k / 209k
June: 274k / 230k
July: 229k / 217k
August: 274k / 200k
September: 216k / 294k
October: 195k / 279k
And for November and December, here's 2011 (Wii) / 2012/2013 (Wii+WiiU):
November: 1728k / 1187k / 713k
December: 3201k / 3061k / [Currently unknown]
Note that these numbers have all come from VGChartz's Year-on-Year comparison chart system. What you will notice is that Wii+WiiU in 2013 typically tended to be only a little down on Wii in 2012, with the worst performance being August 2013 (down about 28%) and the best performance being October 2013 (up about 43%). For the first 10 months of 2013, the Wii+WiiU were 3043k, compared with the Wii selling about 3246k in the first 10 months of 2012, indicating only a very small drop in total Nintendo home console sales between the years, with regards to the first 10 months. I am, essentially, assuming that this will continue into 2014.
Considering the Wii+WiiU were able to do this without any notable releases in January 2013, I don't see any reason to think things will be dramatically different in January 2014.
JWeinCom said:
|
5th January is 2012 not 2013.
Aielyn said: I think people are going to be rather surprised. |
So you're assuming that WiiU is going to take up the lost Wii sales? Why isn't this happening now? You expect the console to be up 200%+ YOY with just Wii Fit releasing and no post launch hype.
500k would be incredible, just doesn't seem logical tho. You're expecting it to do more in the US in January than this November with Black Friday and Mario 3D World.
Seece said:
5th January is 2012 not 2013. |
http://www.vgchartz.com/tools/hw_yoy.php?reg=Global&start_year=2010&end_year=2013&console=WiiU
JoeTheBro said:
|
Meh, my predictions then
VGC = 220k
NPD, Chartrack, ect = 150k