He is not that bad how the people here says...
He is not as good as you think, most of us did way better during the prediction league days
About Pachter and his estimates for the Wii U:
450K prediction -> 425K reality
25K over-predicted (-5.55%)
675K prediction -> 463K reality
212K over-predicted (-31.41%)
125K prediction -> 57K reality
68K over-predicted (-54.40%)
80K prediction -> 66K reality
14K over-predicted (-17.50%)
55K prediction -> 68K reality
13K under-predicted (23.63%)
55K prediction -> 37K reality
18K over-predicted (-32.72%)
32K prediction -> 33K reality
1K under-predicted (3.13%)
38K prediction -> 42K reality
4K under-predicted (10.53%)
30K prediction -> 29K reality
1K over-predicted (-3.33%)
30K prediction -> 31K reality
1K under-predicted (3.33%)
55K prediction -> 95K reality
40K under-predicted (72.72%)
75K prediction -> 50K reality
25K over-predicted (-33.33%)
150K prediction - ? reality
The Gamecube´s worst November, before the Wii launched, was a year before, in 2005, when it sold 272K...at that point, the system was practically on its deathbed, with no significant releases.
It´s bad enough the Wii U has been performing worse than the GC, when one compares both systems´first year, but it´ll be astonishingly bad if the Wii U has actually sold worse than the GC in November 2005, considering it´s one of the busiest shopping seasons, Mario 3D World, etc..
Since you have seen fit to repost this from the other thread, I too will repost my response from the same thread.
VGChartz Estimates for Wii U in Comparison to NPD:
412K prediction -> 425K reality
665K prediction -> 463K reality
79K prediction -> 57K reality
38K prediction -> 66K reality
85K prediction -> 68K reality
46K prediction -> 37K reality
37K prediction -> 33K reality
44K prediction -> 42K reality
36K prediction -> 29K reality
49K prediction -> 31K reality
101K prediction -> 95K reality
86K prediction -> 50K reality
VGChartz has estimated a total of 1.68 million through October vs Pachter's 1.7 million. VGChartz is more accurate than Pachter.
At the very least, on average Pachter is no more accurate -- and has been no more "generous" to the Wii U -- than VGChartz.
The result will be PS4>X1>360>PS3>Wii Mini>Wii U
The result will be PS4>3DS>X1>360>PS3>Wii Mini>Wii U>PSV
Looks like a healthy month if no major overtracking has happened. Makes you wonder though why no company has announced BF numbers. That's the bit that worries me. I'm just hoping it was NPD refusing to disclose that info since it happened in the last day of November where as previously BF was 4-5 days before the end of the month (so a week before the monthly sales data is collected).
I think 3DS YOY rise is just too high, will find out soon.