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Forums - Sales Discussion - November 2013 NPD Thread! Everything is in the OP!

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Please let the Vita be undertrack, Please let the Vita be undertrack, Please let the Vita be undertrack!! Oh who am I kidding...

Can't wait to see numbers!



PSN: extremeM

PlayStation Vita Japanese Software Sales (Media Create Physical/ Famitsu Digital)

I've never anticipated NPD numbers so much before. THE HYPE IS UNBEARABLE



Have some time to kill? Read my shitty games blog. http://www.pixlbit.com/blogs/586/gigantor21

:D

ethomaz said:
JGarret said:
About Pachter and his estimates for the Wii U:

November 2012:
450K prediction -> 425K reality
25K over-predicted (-5.55%)

December 2012:
675K prediction -> 463K reality
212K over-predicted (-31.41%)

January 2013:
125K prediction -> 57K reality
68K over-predicted (-54.40%)

February 2013:
80K prediction -> 66K reality
14K over-predicted (-17.50%)

March 2013:
55K prediction -> 68K reality
13K under-predicted (23.63%)

April 2013:
55K prediction -> 37K reality
18K over-predicted (-32.72%)

May 2013:
32K prediction -> 33K reality
1K under-predicted (3.13%)

June 2013:
38K prediction -> 42K reality
4K under-predicted (10.53%)

July 2013:
30K prediction -> 29K reality
1K over-predicted (-3.33%)

August 2013:
30K prediction -> 31K reality
1K under-predicted (3.33%)

September 2013:
55K prediction -> 95K reality
40K under-predicted (72.72%)

October 2013:
75K prediction -> 50K reality
25K over-predicted (-33.33%)

November 2013:
150K prediction - ? reality

The Gamecube´s worst November, before the Wii launched, was a year before, in 2005, when it sold 272K...at that point, the system was practically on its deathbed, with no significant releases.

It´s bad enough the Wii U has been performing worse than the GC, when one compares both systems´first year, but it´ll be astonishingly bad if the Wii U has actually sold worse than the GC in November 2005, considering it´s one of the busiest shopping seasons, Mario 3D World, etc..

He is not that bad how the people here says...

He is not as good as you think, most of us did way better during the prediction league days



JGarret said:
About Pachter and his estimates for the Wii U:

November 2012:
450K prediction -> 425K reality
25K over-predicted (-5.55%)

December 2012:
675K prediction -> 463K reality
212K over-predicted (-31.41%)

January 2013:
125K prediction -> 57K reality
68K over-predicted (-54.40%)

February 2013:
80K prediction -> 66K reality
14K over-predicted (-17.50%)

March 2013:
55K prediction -> 68K reality
13K under-predicted (23.63%)

April 2013:
55K prediction -> 37K reality
18K over-predicted (-32.72%)

May 2013:
32K prediction -> 33K reality
1K under-predicted (3.13%)

June 2013:
38K prediction -> 42K reality
4K under-predicted (10.53%)

July 2013:
30K prediction -> 29K reality
1K over-predicted (-3.33%)

August 2013:
30K prediction -> 31K reality
1K under-predicted (3.33%)

September 2013:
55K prediction -> 95K reality
40K under-predicted (72.72%)

October 2013:
75K prediction -> 50K reality
25K over-predicted (-33.33%)

November 2013:
150K prediction - ? reality

The Gamecube´s worst November, before the Wii launched, was a year before, in 2005, when it sold 272K...at that point, the system was practically on its deathbed, with no significant releases.

It´s bad enough the Wii U has been performing worse than the GC, when one compares both systems´first year, but it´ll be astonishingly bad if the Wii U has actually sold worse than the GC in November 2005, considering it´s one of the busiest shopping seasons, Mario 3D World, etc..

Since you have seen fit to repost this from the other thread, I too will repost my response from the same thread.

VGChartz Estimates for Wii U in Comparison to NPD:

November 2012:
412K prediction -> 425K reality
13K under-predicted

December 2012:
665K prediction -> 463K reality
202K over-predicted

January 2013:
79K prediction -> 57K reality
22K over-predicted

February 2013:
38K prediction -> 66K reality
28K under-predicted

March 2013:
85K prediction -> 68K reality
17K over-predicted

April 2013:
46K prediction -> 37K reality
9K over-predicted

May 2013:
37K prediction -> 33K reality
4K over-predicted

June 2013:
44K prediction -> 42K reality
2K over-predicted

July 2013:
36K prediction -> 29K reality
7K over-predicted

August 2013:
49K prediction -> 31K reality
18K over-predicted

September 2013:
101K prediction -> 95K reality
6K over-predicted

October 2013:
86K prediction -> 50K reality
36K over-predicted

VGChartz has estimated a total of 1.68 million through October vs Pachter's 1.7 million. VGChartz is more accurate than Pachter.

At the very least, on average Pachter is no more accurate -- and has been no more "generous" to the Wii U -- than VGChartz.



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The result will be PS4>X1>360>PS3>Wii Mini>Wii U



Tagging.



zhao3gold said:
The result will be PS4>3DS>X1>360>PS3>Wii Mini>Wii U>PSV

Fixed



Looks like a healthy month if no major overtracking has happened. Makes you wonder though why no company has announced BF numbers. That's the bit that worries me. I'm just hoping it was NPD refusing to disclose that info since it happened in the last day of November where as previously BF was 4-5 days before the end of the month (so a week before the monthly sales data is collected).



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I think 3DS YOY rise is just too high, will find out soon.