| JGarret said: About Pachter and his estimates for the Wii U: November 2012: 450K prediction -> 425K reality 25K over-predicted (-5.55%) December 2012: 675K prediction -> 463K reality 212K over-predicted (-31.41%) January 2013: 125K prediction -> 57K reality 68K over-predicted (-54.40%) February 2013: 80K prediction -> 66K reality 14K over-predicted (-17.50%) March 2013: 55K prediction -> 68K reality 13K under-predicted (23.63%) April 2013: 55K prediction -> 37K reality 18K over-predicted (-32.72%) May 2013: 32K prediction -> 33K reality 1K under-predicted (3.13%) June 2013: 38K prediction -> 42K reality 4K under-predicted (10.53%) July 2013: 30K prediction -> 29K reality 1K over-predicted (-3.33%) August 2013: 30K prediction -> 31K reality 1K under-predicted (3.33%) September 2013: 55K prediction -> 95K reality 40K under-predicted (72.72%) October 2013: 75K prediction -> 50K reality 25K over-predicted (-33.33%) November 2013: 150K prediction - ? reality The Gamecube´s worst November, before the Wii launched, was a year before, in 2005, when it sold 272K...at that point, the system was practically on its deathbed, with no significant releases. It´s bad enough the Wii U has been performing worse than the GC, when one compares both systems´first year, but it´ll be astonishingly bad if the Wii U has actually sold worse than the GC in November 2005, considering it´s one of the busiest shopping seasons, Mario 3D World, etc.. |
Since you have seen fit to repost this from the other thread, I too will repost my response from the same thread.
VGChartz Estimates for Wii U in Comparison to NPD:
November 2012:
412K prediction -> 425K reality
13K under-predicted
December 2012:
665K prediction -> 463K reality
202K over-predicted
January 2013:
79K prediction -> 57K reality
22K over-predicted
February 2013:
38K prediction -> 66K reality
28K under-predicted
March 2013:
85K prediction -> 68K reality
17K over-predicted
April 2013:
46K prediction -> 37K reality
9K over-predicted
May 2013:
37K prediction -> 33K reality
4K over-predicted
June 2013:
44K prediction -> 42K reality
2K over-predicted
July 2013:
36K prediction -> 29K reality
7K over-predicted
August 2013:
49K prediction -> 31K reality
18K over-predicted
September 2013:
101K prediction -> 95K reality
6K over-predicted
October 2013:
86K prediction -> 50K reality
36K over-predicted
VGChartz has estimated a total of 1.68 million through October vs Pachter's 1.7 million. VGChartz is more accurate than Pachter.
At the very least, on average Pachter is no more accurate -- and has been no more "generous" to the Wii U -- than VGChartz.
