Its been a few days since I have heard people claiming that PS4 has a 40% failure rate. I know BenV's took a crap but I dont recall any other users here claiming an issue since.
End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)
Wii- 72 million 3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases
360- 37 million Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak
PS3- 29 million Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut