The Wii will crack 100 million within 5 years of its launch. PS3 has a good life ahead of it I beleive. I believe sony keeps it around for 8 years and sells 100 million LTD. The Wii could sell upwards of 175 million LTD if the Blue Ocean keeps buying and Nintendo lets it live until 2014. Also the Wii could end up selling as much as 15-30 million in china(they have like a 1.2 billion pop)

For PS3 - I'd say yes. Obviously at this rate it won't, but I'll list some events that'll boost sales:

- Future Price Drops (From 400/500 to 300/400 maybe)
- New Slim Line
- New SKU?
- BC makes a return
- Great games (FF13, GT5, etc)

For 360 - I doubt it. I'd say 50 Million.

For Wii - Bold Prediction: No! Its selling like hotcakes for now, but once Mario #64, Zelda #33, and SSBB #22 come out, theres nothing.

I'm going to say out of 100 million gamers,

60 million will own Wii

35-40 million will own PS3

35-40 million will own Xbox360

yes I know that adds up to 130 million. But I'm trying to account for overlap.

And my numbers are adjustable. So if the market goes up to 150 million gamers, then all my figures get multipled by 1.5, etc. etc.

I do.
PS3.
299$.
MGS4, FFXIII, GT5, LBP, KZ2, R2, GTA4 and etc in 2008-2009.
over 300 new great exclusive games in 2010, 2011, 2012.
ps2 userbase.

The only question is "Will 360 and PS3 COMBINED get to 100 million?"

I still don't think the odds are that great but it's certainly possible, unlike the OP question.

I would say this generation that the losing systems will sell more than previous generation mostly because of Nintendo's push into a new market by using differing technology. this allows for one of the other consoles to provide a different experience and could allow for more second consoles but it will not be more than double last gens numbers.

the Wii stands a fairly decent chance of falling into the 90-120 million range
The PS3 stands to fall into the 35-40 million range with 50 being an outside shot
The 360 will fall into the 30-40 million range because of weak others numbers and even weaker japanese numbers.

There really isn't a shot that either will make 100 million. You can't even use the PS2 or PS1 as an example since they won their generations.

You see the SNES hung around for a long time after the introduction of the PS1 allowing it to push the graphical boundries of the system and bring in bargain hunters with its greatest hits similiar to the PS1 or PS2. The NES also hung around a bit after the SNES after holding its own against the Genesis for a few years. It is the system that wins the generation that allows it to stay on. In order to try and up sales on their new systems the systems that lose usually get cut and try to get people to buy there new systems. Third party developers thrive on the largest user base and create games for THAT system

I don't think that both platforms combined will hit 100 million. They may come close, though.

I'm just judging based on how non-leading consoles have sold in the past. X360 and PS3 are looking better than Xbox and GC did, but I don't think either will get much past 40 million lifetime.

the ps3 will, but it wont have achieved that milestone by the time the next wii and xbox launch. i would say 2014 if sony sticks wit 10yr cycle ofc.

360 IMO impossible
- Too many hardware issues (even if RRoD problems are reduced towards industry standards DVD problems will get worse in course of time due to wearing from having to spin so much at high speeds => bad reputation)
- the bulk of XBox users already upgraded
- hardware has been pushed near its peak potential
- Microsoft isn't really a popular brand anywhere outside of the US (a little more in Australia and UK than in other places) Provide people a good alternative and I think they the bulk of consumers will take the alternative instead.
- 360 is a non factor for Japan
- Microsoft seemingly putting no efforts into European localizations
- Lack of real high profile exclusives (most timed exclusives hit the PC as well), even a Halo 4 or Gears 2 wouldn't accomplish much as most Halo fans already upgraded, Gears 2 can be expected for at least the PC (probably better) and Resistance 2 and Killzone 2 will probably steal any thunder due to technical reasons.

PS3 IMO likely
- PSX and PS2 both sold beyond 100 million units.
- PS3 is being cost reduced fast. Sony has an excellent track record wtih regard to slimming down and cost reducing their consoles.
- A lot of headroom for developers to make much more impressive games for years to come.
- The amount of high profile exclusives is overwhelming, almost all high profile PS2 exclusives are known to see sequels on the PS3. In addition several successful new franchises have been introduced.
- Blu-Ray is winning the high definition format war and the PS3 has the reputation of being the best upgradeable Blu-Ray movie player next to being far more multi-functional. (even DVR functionality and extensive PSP connectivity)
- Home service looks very promising and pretty unique.
- HDTV and 7.1 audio setup install base is growing rapidly. 1080p sets have become increasingly popular.

If Sony and Microsoft are remarkably lucky their combined sales will pass 100 Million units sold ... With how they have sold so far, 10 Million units per year for the next 3 years with an additional 10 Million in their lifetime would be a very good performance; this would put them both at (roughly) 50 Million units.

On the other hand, most consoles see declining sales after their first year (or two) if they're not in the dominant console position and if this generation follows previous generations both consoles will have difficulty passing 35 or 40 Million units.