I would say this generation that the losing systems will sell more than previous generation mostly because of Nintendo's push into a new market by using differing technology. this allows for one of the other consoles to provide a different experience and could allow for more second consoles but it will not be more than double last gens numbers.
the Wii stands a fairly decent chance of falling into the 90-120 million range
The PS3 stands to fall into the 35-40 million range with 50 being an outside shot
The 360 will fall into the 30-40 million range because of weak others numbers and even weaker japanese numbers.
There really isn't a shot that either will make 100 million. You can't even use the PS2 or PS1 as an example since they won their generations.
You see the SNES hung around for a long time after the introduction of the PS1 allowing it to push the graphical boundries of the system and bring in bargain hunters with its greatest hits similiar to the PS1 or PS2. The NES also hung around a bit after the SNES after holding its own against the Genesis for a few years. It is the system that wins the generation that allows it to stay on. In order to try and up sales on their new systems the systems that lose usually get cut and try to get people to buy there new systems. Third party developers thrive on the largest user base and create games for THAT system
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