By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Nintendo - Pokemon X/Y Has A Possibility To Be 1 Of The Best In The Franchise! Can It Make Up To 20Million Lifetime?

tbone51 said:

good prediction, at least your not low like thers who didn't predict but dont think it will sell over 10mil lifetime. One guy thinks BW2 counts as a new pair game and since that game is almost at 7mil he think x/y will bomb and do between 5-6mil lifetime. (In fact B/W is the 3rd highest in sales of the 5 third versions of pokemon and slowly will pass platinum's 7.5mil!)

Though B/W sold fairly well, the games' install base vs. the DS install base is even smaller than D/P, and BW2 was smaller still. And it will also depend on when the obvious "Z" version would come out, or when the R/S remakes appear, because those will definitely limit the sales possibility. 15-16 million life-time isn't impossible, but more likely than 20 million. The most likely lifetime is somewhere around D/P - B/W numbers. If it could reach those numbers life-time, then the curse of reduction of pokemon buyers per generation may end (that is, unless 3DS somehow surpasses the DS in sales)



Around the Network
forethought14 said:
tbone51 said:

good prediction, at least your not low like thers who didn't predict but dont think it will sell over 10mil lifetime. One guy thinks BW2 counts as a new pair game and since that game is almost at 7mil he think x/y will bomb and do between 5-6mil lifetime. (In fact B/W is the 3rd highest in sales of the 5 third versions of pokemon and slowly will pass platinum's 7.5mil!)

Though B/W sold fairly well, the games' install base vs. the DS install base is even smaller than D/P, and BW2 was smaller still. And it will also depend on when the obvious "Z" version would come out, or when the R/S remakes appear, because those will definitely limit the sales possibility. 15-16 million life-time isn't impossible, but more likely than 20 million. The most likely lifetime is somewhere around D/P - B/W numbers. If it could reach those numbers life-time, then the curse of reduction of pokemon buyers per generation may end (that is, unless 3DS somehow surpasses the DS in sales)



no way 3ds passes ds sales but i believe x/y will surpass b/w!!! Cant wait intill Oct!



tbone51 said:

no way 3ds passes ds sales but i believe x/y will surpass b/w!!! Cant wait intill Oct!

Well it's not impossible, but let's not get ahead of ourselves. ;) 



forethought14 said:
tbone51 said:

no way 3ds passes ds sales but i believe x/y will surpass b/w!!! Cant wait intill Oct!

Well it's not impossible, but let's not get ahead of ourselves. ;) 



your so gonna regret those words, your lucky your a nintendo fan or i have to come get you :P



tbone51 said:


your so gonna regret those words, your lucky your a nintendo fan or i have to come get you :P

You're too excited for your own good. But what do you mean that I will "regret those words", I said that it wasn't impossible, I didn't say "NO". ;)



Around the Network
forethought14 said:
tbone51 said:


your so gonna regret those words, your lucky your a nintendo fan or i have to come get you :P

You're too excited for your own good. But what do you mean that I will "regret those words", I said that it wasn't impossible, I didn't say "NO". ;)



→→→ "but let's not get ahead of ourselves"←←← These words, i kno you said its possible, but this tells me there is around a 5% chance! :x



tbone51 said:
forethought14 said:
tbone51 said:


your so gonna regret those words, your lucky your a nintendo fan or i have to come get you :P

You're too excited for your own good. But what do you mean that I will "regret those words", I said that it wasn't impossible, I didn't say "NO". ;)



→→→ "but let's not get ahead of ourselves"←←← These words, i kno you said its possible, but this tells me there is around a 5% chance! :x

You're putting in your own numbers into that phrase because it's what fits in with your agenda (only a low number would fit with your "regret those words"), I never did say the percentage. It may be 5% to you, but it can be something else for me ;)



forethought14 said:
tbone51 said:
forethought14 said:
tbone51 said:


your so gonna regret those words, your lucky your a nintendo fan or i have to come get you :P

You're too excited for your own good. But what do you mean that I will "regret those words", I said that it wasn't impossible, I didn't say "NO". ;)



→→→ "but let's not get ahead of ourselves"←←← These words, i kno you said its possible, but this tells me there is around a 5% chance! :x

You're putting in your own numbers into that phrase because it's what fits in with your agenda (only a low number would fit with your "regret those words"), I never did say the percentage. It may be 5% to you, but it can be something else for me ;)



true true! i'll let it slide, anyhow even if im right (which i am :p) im pretty sure you'll be happy with it lol, but wat if it does do 20mil :0 Wat would you do if that 0.01% happened???



tbone51 said:

true true! i'll let it slide, anyhow even if im right (which i am :p) im pretty sure you'll be happy with it lol, but wat if it does do 20mil :0 Wat would you do if that 0.01% happened???

Lol, so much for letting it slide. :P

And if you're right, well, I suppose I'll be happy, but as long as it's successful (anything over 10 million lifetime) anything like that would make me glad to see the Pokemon franchise remain strong...just not as strong as before. 



tbone51 said:
Screamapillar said:
20 million for a 3DS game? lol.

I'm not saying "no"... I'm just saying, let's be realistic.

3DS has been out for two and a half years, or to put another way, is roughly 30% through it's lifespan already, and the top-selling game so far (3D Land) hasn't hit 9 million yet.

I suppose we'll be able to paint a better picture for Pokemon X/Y as we look at how much sales spike over the Thanksgiving and Christmas period.



realistic, yeah of course if your only looking at userbase, but time and time again can prove that userbase doesnt mean everything! Pokemon Sapphire/Ruby had 16mil on a user base of 80mil right(GBA)? while the next gen game D/P had 18mil on a user base that was almost double that of GBA! 3DS wont sell as high as DS but to say pokemon wont hit 20mil base cuz of 3DS? Dont forget there are alot of people buying 3DS's just for this game! Also this game has many elements evolving and changing and there is so much hype behind the game, Like i pointed out before this game aint going lower than 16mil. Also to prove a point who would of thought MKWii sell over 30mil+ right when no game on ps2 sold over 20mil!!!! Differene being PS2>>>>>>Wii in userbase!

Right, but in order for your assumption to be correct, 2/3 of the entire 3DS install base would have to buy the game.  And it's highly unlikely that 2/3 of all current 3DS owners are Pokemon fans.  I think the D/P figure you mentioned of 18 mil shows the ceiling for a Pokemon game's market penetration.

We'll see...



The Screamapillar is easily identified by its constant screaming—it even screams in its sleep. The Screamapillar is the favorite food of everything, is sexually attracted to fire, and needs constant reassurance or it will die.