PS3 surpassing total sells of XBOX360

Black RL

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Black RL on 06 February 2008

Hello;

Here is something for you guys to think:

TODAY:

360 - 16.820.000

PS3 - 9.760.000

Gap = 7.060.000

PS3 now (I don't know tomorrow) sells, let's say, 45.000 more weekly consoles:

Japan - 30.000

Other - 15.000

TO CLOSE THE GAP IT TAKES:

7.060.000 / 45.000 = 156.8888889 Weeks

156.8888889 x 7 = 1098.222222 Days

1098.222222 / 365 = 3.008828005 Years

So it will take PS3 3 years to close the gap

TheBigFatJ

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TheBigFatJ on 06 February 2008

Black RL said:

So it will take PS3 3 years to close the gap

You are making a lot of huge assumptions. An equivalently terrible assumption would be to say the PS3 will begin having sales similar to those that the PS2 had in 2003 -- and it would surpass the 360 in no time.

Sales rates will not stay constant. The PS3 will almost certainly increase its sales rate in 2008 relative to 2007.

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kingofwale on 06 February 2008

yeah. giving the market will never change, right?

Soriku (Feb 10/08): In 5 years the PS3/360 will be dead.

KH3 bet: "If KH3 comes to Wii exclusive, I will take a 1 month of sig/avatar by otheres open a thread apologize and praise you guys' brilliance." http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=18379
Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878

Episode 2:
Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
According to pre-order rate in week 13 (post id: 2902544)

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SamuelRSmith on 06 February 2008

Because we all know that consoles have the same number of sales every week.

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kirby007 on 06 February 2008

ooow wait you mean sales?

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madskillz on 06 February 2008

[adjusts flame-retardant suit around the collar]

For your first post, you are rather brave.

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libellule on 06 February 2008

Xmas 2009 ...

Who said all the "new account maker" where Sony fanboy ... ?

Time to Work !

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superchunk on 06 February 2008

Nah, Ps3 will continue to expand the amount it outsells the 360 by this year. They should pass the 360 WW in 2009.

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grimygunz on 06 February 2008

good job accounting for price drops, exclusives, holiday sales, state of the compaines, wii, room to grow, difference in sale from this period last year, the time of the year, and the fact that sales rate can increase and decrease like they have been for months now.

most analyst and even people with common sense will agree that it wont take that long for the ps3 to tie the 360 in install base.

I predict by march 09 sales will be parallel if not more for ps3 with the strong Europe surge, always having the japan ace, and the weekly gap closing in the US.