It definitely will sell better than the Gamecube.

The heck it will! 20M is easy for Wii U. As long as the games keep coming and Nintendo pleases the masses. If we get another toony Zelda for Wii U I'll flip! When you have an HD console for the first time, especially for this Zelda case, you have to go all out. People want a game that looks like the Wii U Zelda demo from '11. Come on Nintendo, make this happen. And... allow GC virtual console games. At least add the top 10 selling GC games.

Yeah that shouldn't be too hard.

I think it will sell more than the gamecube. But not much more. Maybe 30-40 million range. Nintendo's only grand succes on the console market was the wii. All the other consoles sold well, but no ''wow what happened there'' degree. So this slow start is painful but in no way a surprise. We have to let go the expectation that consoles can sell 100 million copies. It was in my mind too. Nintendo is only very succesfull in the handheldmarket. Of course softwarewise also. So, yes it will sell more.

If Nintendo maintains the current status of poor communication and marketing, it will sell GC levels. If they reverse course and properly communicate and market the Wii U, double to triple is not out of the question.

The software will come. That was truly never a question. How they communicate that software to the masses is.

Launching first, a cheaper price, a stronger Nintendo/Wii brand and a weaker Playstation brand should ensure it does better than the gamecube.

Looking back historically, 50% of the console's predecessor seems to be the biggest drop to expect gen over gen, even when the manufacturer does everything wrong. So assuming Wii U is all bad, it probably would still hit about 50 million unless the market completely tanks or it truly is an unprecedented disaster. Based on the very safe approach Nintendo has taken so far, I doubt they've done enough to truly push away customers.

I'm not sure how the U strategy differs from the 3DS strategy when it comes to software.

There is nothing in this analyst's description that shows he has a knowledge of sales precedents.

I think a year from now we will have a much better idea of the WiiU's trajectory but provided sales pick up in the back half of this year I think it will easily cross 20 million before the end of 2015.

I honestly don't know if you're serious sometimes...you really think the U will be selling at this level in a couple of years? 12 months? Heck, even 4 months from now?

But the gamecube got lots of multiplatforms; meanwhile the WiiU is barely getting a couple at best.