PS4 yes.. but unless Nintendo takes the Wii off shelves I don't see PS3 catching up once PS4 comes out... (That being said we don't know how long Nintendo is going to keep the Wii out.. and the PS3 should have another 2-3 years of life if Nintendo were to remove the Wii earlier.. it might be possible.. but it would have to have some serious legs.. and life.. after the PS4 comes out.. and I just don't see that happening)

Currently, yes, but at the current rate, it won't catch up to Wii lifetime sales for a LONG while yet. Thus the original point, is that the lifetime sales will not surpass the Wii.

so early to say on ps4 and xb1, but it is looking like it.

You are expecting over 20 million PS3s to be sold over the next few years?

At the current rate of ~13M per fiscal year? I don't think it will take a LONG while.

Also, just because it takes a while does not mean that it will not pass the Wiis.

2nd place for what?  Units sold, no offense but that doesn't mean a damn thing.  There is one thing that will always be accurate about this generation the pS3 was the least successful of the three consoles, end of story.

I think the PS3 passing the Wii is predicated on the PS3 eventually dropping to 150 and lower, which I am not convinced will ever happen. (Also, Nintendo needs to completely abandon Wii, which is very likely to happen.)   Sony and Microsoft seem very intent on keeping their consoles in the 200-300 dollar range, which is too expensive for a last gen console.

Its remarkable that the "cheap" XBOX 360 launched at 299.99, and it has only dropped by 100 in an 8 year span. I get that there were multiple bundles and you get a lot more now, but someone who just wants buy the console and take it home to play Madden may not care about WIFI, HDMI, larger flash storage etc.

You're being overly generous with those numbers. The current gap between Wii and PS3 sales is approx 100k/week, or 400k/month. That correlates to 4.8 mil/year at the current pace, which we'll say holds mostly true through slumps and holidays alike. Let's even be generous and say the numbers are 7mil/fiscal year, which is FAR more logical. The current Wii lead is 22m, which would take over 3 years, given these logical numbers, to catch up to the Wii.

Both systems will fade away to dismal numbers within another year or 2. The PS3 will come close, but it won't surpass the Wii, unless they start handing them out for free.

long stroy short, PS3 and 360 will sell more then 80m ww by this yr's end, so the thought of either platform not selling over 85m by yr. end, or more then 90m by yr. ending 2014 is day dreaming, or out of touch with reality.

Not at all. 16.5M PS3s + PS2s sold in FY2012. Also, 45% of PS3 sales occur in the last quarter so during the holiday season. In other words, it is foolish to consider the current weekly sales to be the same as the weekly average over a year.