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Forums - Sales - Bioshock Infinite - First week sales guessing game!

Mr Puggsly on 03 April 2013

So here are the pre orders for the final week in the US...

Pos Game Weeks to Launch  Weekly Change                Total
1
BioShock Infinite (X360)
Take-Two Interactive, Shooter
1 33,525 389,636
5
BioShock Infinite (PS3)
Take-Two Interactive, Shooter
1 9,410 216,553

The weekly change for Bioshock Infinite was surprisingly small. Especially for the PS3.

 

For comparison sake, here are the pre orders for some other major games...

1
Gears of War: Judgment (X360)
Microsoft Game Studios, Shooter
1 78,905 359,328

As you can see, this Gears Judgement had a lower number of pre-orders but a much bigger weekly change. This game had an opening of about 760K.

 

Preorders for GoW:A were a little lower than Judgement but had an opening week of 663K.

1
God of War: Ascension (PS3)
Sony Computer Entertainment, Action
1 58,775 344,452

 

 

Pre orders for Tomb Raider were significantly lower. But that could be due to a more casual following and a large portion of the sales aren't just from the US.

10
Tomb Raider (2013) (X360)
Square Enix, Action
1 29,027 136,873
12
Tomb Raider (2013) (PS3)
Square Enix, Action
1 21,971 107,112

The opening on the PS3 was 538K and the 360 version was 478K.

 

 

So looking at trends, this is what I anticpate for Bioshock Infinite...

360: 800K

PS3: 600K



Recently Completed: 
River City: Rival Showdown for 3DS (3/5) - River City: Tokyo Rumble for 3DS (4/5) - Zelda: BotW for Wii U (5/5) - Zelda: BotW for Switch (5/5) - Zelda: Link's Awakening for Switch (4/5) - Rage 2 for X1X (4/5) - Rage for 360 (3/5) - Streets of Rage 4 for X1/PC (4/5) - Gears 5 for X1X (5/5) - Mortal Kombat 11 for X1X (5/5) - Doom 64 for N64 (emulator) (3/5) - Crackdown 3 for X1S/X1X (4/5) - Infinity Blade III - for iPad 4 (3/5) - Infinity Blade II - for iPad 4 (4/5) - Infinity Blade - for iPad 4 (4/5) - Wolfenstein: The Old Blood for X1 (3/5) - Assassin's Creed: Origins for X1 (3/5) - Uncharted: Lost Legacy for PS4 (4/5) - EA UFC 3 for X1 (4/5) - Doom for X1 (4/5) - Titanfall 2 for X1 (4/5) - Super Mario 3D World for Wii U (4/5) - South Park: The Stick of Truth for X1 BC (4/5) - Call of Duty: WWII for X1 (4/5) -Wolfenstein II for X1 - (4/5) - Dead or Alive: Dimensions for 3DS (4/5) - Marvel vs Capcom: Infinite for X1 (3/5) - Halo Wars 2 for X1/PC (4/5) - Halo Wars: DE for X1 (4/5) - Tekken 7 for X1 (4/5) - Injustice 2 for X1 (4/5) - Yakuza 5 for PS3 (3/5) - Battlefield 1 (Campaign) for X1 (3/5) - Assassin's Creed: Syndicate for X1 (4/5) - Call of Duty: Infinite Warfare for X1 (4/5) - Call of Duty: MW Remastered for X1 (4/5) - Donkey Kong Country Returns for 3DS (4/5) - Forza Horizon 3 for X1 (5/5)

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ishiki on 03 April 2013

I think another reason for Tomb Raider's Preorders being low, is that people were largely skeptical until reviews came out. As well as the points you pointed out.

This is difficult for me to decide, because it's known that it opened less than Tomb Raider in UK, which is an indicator for Europe

But my guess is that X360 sales in the U.S. will be much much higher than Tomb Raiders, and will be the difference.
 I'm guessing slightly higher than tomb raider at like 1.3 million. 500k PS3, 800k X360

PC sales also seem higher, But I'm not counting them because VGC's aren't really in the ballpark. They've used the PC sales in articles despite those sales including 30,000 out of the 74,000 for US. When the hardcopy was never released in the US. the peak active users right at launch on steam was like 60,000+ compared to 40,000+ of tomb raiders... I have no idea how that translates to sales though, other than more than Tomb Raider on PC, which we don't know the sales of.



Mr Puggsly on 03 April 2013
spurgeonryan said:
I wanna bet it got 900,000-923,000 across all systems it launched on.

Combined sales under a million? I think that would be a huge disappointment if that was that case.

But you kinda got me thinking. Do the masses want a shooter with no multiplayer?

We'll have to wait and see!



Recently Completed: 
River City: Rival Showdown for 3DS (3/5) - River City: Tokyo Rumble for 3DS (4/5) - Zelda: BotW for Wii U (5/5) - Zelda: BotW for Switch (5/5) - Zelda: Link's Awakening for Switch (4/5) - Rage 2 for X1X (4/5) - Rage for 360 (3/5) - Streets of Rage 4 for X1/PC (4/5) - Gears 5 for X1X (5/5) - Mortal Kombat 11 for X1X (5/5) - Doom 64 for N64 (emulator) (3/5) - Crackdown 3 for X1S/X1X (4/5) - Infinity Blade III - for iPad 4 (3/5) - Infinity Blade II - for iPad 4 (4/5) - Infinity Blade - for iPad 4 (4/5) - Wolfenstein: The Old Blood for X1 (3/5) - Assassin's Creed: Origins for X1 (3/5) - Uncharted: Lost Legacy for PS4 (4/5) - EA UFC 3 for X1 (4/5) - Doom for X1 (4/5) - Titanfall 2 for X1 (4/5) - Super Mario 3D World for Wii U (4/5) - South Park: The Stick of Truth for X1 BC (4/5) - Call of Duty: WWII for X1 (4/5) -Wolfenstein II for X1 - (4/5) - Dead or Alive: Dimensions for 3DS (4/5) - Marvel vs Capcom: Infinite for X1 (3/5) - Halo Wars 2 for X1/PC (4/5) - Halo Wars: DE for X1 (4/5) - Tekken 7 for X1 (4/5) - Injustice 2 for X1 (4/5) - Yakuza 5 for PS3 (3/5) - Battlefield 1 (Campaign) for X1 (3/5) - Assassin's Creed: Syndicate for X1 (4/5) - Call of Duty: Infinite Warfare for X1 (4/5) - Call of Duty: MW Remastered for X1 (4/5) - Donkey Kong Country Returns for 3DS (4/5) - Forza Horizon 3 for X1 (5/5)

hollabackenny on 03 April 2013

Deserves to be a lot higher than it probably will, but I think it will have sold decently well for PC.



the2real4mafol on 03 April 2013

i'd say it's the biggest launch of the year so far, so at least 1 million, but closer to 1.5 million probably



Xbox Series, PS5 and Switch (+ Many Retro Consoles)

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Slimebeast on 03 April 2013

X360: 1.0 million
PS3: 750K



Kizmi on 04 April 2013

Xbox 360: 950k
Playstation 3: 700k



ishiki on 06 April 2013

 

If Vgchartz is correct we have everything except Japan which I don't think it's released in and RoW? Sorry my Table is weird. The overall total is bottom right. Thus, likely most everyone in here guessed over, except spurge.

Not counting PC, because VGC's PC tracking is never close to correct. But I can say I looked at launch Bioshock Infinites Peak Users on Steam was ~60,000, whereas Tomb Raiders was ~40,000, where Resident Evil 6 has had a peak of like ~30,000 and the online users for that is 96,000 (on PC, you can only have one account). How that translates to overall sales I'm not sure. Sorry if I was confusing.

  X360 PS3 Total

USA

 458,938 219,646 678,584
Europe 166,057 111,582 277,639
Total 624,995 331,228 956,223


AgentZorn on 06 April 2013

Let's hope that it's not considered a failure because it did not sell an insane amount in under a short period of time.



Mr Puggsly on 07 April 2013
ishiki said:

 

If Vgchartz is correct we have everything except Japan and RoW? Sorry my Table is weird. The overall total is bottom right. Thus, likely most everyone in here guessed over, except spurge.

Not counting PC, because VGC's PC tracking is never close to correct. But I can say I looked at launch Bioshock Infinites Peak Users on Steam was ~60,000, whereas Tomb Raiders was ~40,000, where Resident Evil 6 has had a peak of like ~30,000 and the online users for that is 96,000 (on PC, you can only have one account). How that translates to overall sales I'm not sure. Sorry if I was confusing.

  X360 PS3 Total

North America

 458,938 219,646 678,584
Europe 166,057 111,582 277,639
Total 624,995 331,228 956,223

That's not the North America numbers, just US. The final number should be higher.

Regardless, it looks like sales are below my expectations. The PS3 opening is especially underwhelming.

With all the hype I definitely anticipated more. It may not even out perform Gears Judgement or GoW:A on their platforms. Combined sales are in the ballpark of Tomb Raider's opening and that was below expectations.

I honestly feel Bioshock Infinite would have performed better with online multiplayer.



Recently Completed: 
River City: Rival Showdown for 3DS (3/5) - River City: Tokyo Rumble for 3DS (4/5) - Zelda: BotW for Wii U (5/5) - Zelda: BotW for Switch (5/5) - Zelda: Link's Awakening for Switch (4/5) - Rage 2 for X1X (4/5) - Rage for 360 (3/5) - Streets of Rage 4 for X1/PC (4/5) - Gears 5 for X1X (5/5) - Mortal Kombat 11 for X1X (5/5) - Doom 64 for N64 (emulator) (3/5) - Crackdown 3 for X1S/X1X (4/5) - Infinity Blade III - for iPad 4 (3/5) - Infinity Blade II - for iPad 4 (4/5) - Infinity Blade - for iPad 4 (4/5) - Wolfenstein: The Old Blood for X1 (3/5) - Assassin's Creed: Origins for X1 (3/5) - Uncharted: Lost Legacy for PS4 (4/5) - EA UFC 3 for X1 (4/5) - Doom for X1 (4/5) - Titanfall 2 for X1 (4/5) - Super Mario 3D World for Wii U (4/5) - South Park: The Stick of Truth for X1 BC (4/5) - Call of Duty: WWII for X1 (4/5) -Wolfenstein II for X1 - (4/5) - Dead or Alive: Dimensions for 3DS (4/5) - Marvel vs Capcom: Infinite for X1 (3/5) - Halo Wars 2 for X1/PC (4/5) - Halo Wars: DE for X1 (4/5) - Tekken 7 for X1 (4/5) - Injustice 2 for X1 (4/5) - Yakuza 5 for PS3 (3/5) - Battlefield 1 (Campaign) for X1 (3/5) - Assassin's Creed: Syndicate for X1 (4/5) - Call of Duty: Infinite Warfare for X1 (4/5) - Call of Duty: MW Remastered for X1 (4/5) - Donkey Kong Country Returns for 3DS (4/5) - Forza Horizon 3 for X1 (5/5)