timmah said: These shots are a good example of what many have been saying all along... the jump from 7th to 8th gen is nowhere near as big as from 5th to 6th or 6th to 7th. I mean, those shots look a bit better than games on PS360, but they don't make current PS360 games look 'bad' in comparison by any stretch. I see the biggest value in PS4/Nextbox as the potential for 1080P at 60FPS. We're hitting the point of diminishing returns on power & visuals. The gap between the WiiU and PS4/Nextbox (3-5x) will not be anywhere near as large as the gap between Wii and PS360 (~20x). |
Of course it won't be because the closer we get to more realistic graphics, the harder it is to exponentially raise the level of graphics. Therelies the problem of defining the exponential difference though. To me, PS360 games already have very poor graphics overall. No, it doesn't mean that I can't play them. I certainly can, but I won't buy a single multi-platform title on PS360 if I can get that same game on the PC. And that's the key point -- once PS4/720 come out, who is going to be buying 3rd party games on the Wii U when nearly all of them will look worse, run slower and have lower resolution art assets than on competing consoles? It's not as if Wii U has a $200 price advantage either. A console can only do so much with its 1st party support. How do you guys keep ignoring this? 3rd party developers will outright refuse to port games to the Wii U since they'll expect these blockbuster titles to sell millions of units instead of mere thousands. With Wii U already losing some key exclusives like Rayman Legends, it's obvious the developers are seeing all the signs of another Nintendo console with failed 3rd party support. I hope things change but they aren't looking strong right now.
Further, you say the jump from Wii U to PS4/720 won't be as large as from Wii to PS360. Yes, that is true but it still means paying $300-350 for a console with graphics that may barely improve from PS360 levels. Unless you MUST have Nintendo's 1st party games, if you are a budget gamer why wouldn't you just get a $200 PS360 consoles? And if you are looking to spend $350 on a console with no mechanical hard drive (that's another $50-60), might as well spend $400-450 for a PS4/720. The Wii U fits nowhere right now. It's too expensive to compete properly with PS360 consoles and not next generation enough to seem attractive against what is rumored to be coming this year from its competitors. This much pretty guarantees Nintendo will have to cut the price of the Wii U by end of 2013 because their current pricing structure makes no sense in light of its market competitors.
To exacerbate the situation, the price of PS360 consoles will drop even more once PS4/720 launch. With their vast gaming library and a lot more exclusives, the Wii U will continue to trail last gen consoles for budget gamers even if Nintendo drops the price to $299 for the Deluxe. You guys are also assuming the younger generation of gamers (late Gen Ys and early Millenials) even care to play the types of games we loved as kids. Guess what, it's not necessarily true. Tastes and preferences change from 1 generation of humans to the other. Based on the popularity of 3rd and 1st person shooters, mature 3rd person action-adventure titles and so on, the popularity of Nintendo's games is no longer what it used to be when I was growing up as a kid. Back then it was a choice between Super Mario and Donkey Kong and some half-ass failed game. Now, the games are such high quality, that things like Zelda or Super Mario are no longer complex enough in their game formula to stand-out from everything else. They are just merely great games, not AMAZING games they used to be compared to everything else in the 80s and 90s. Once younger gen of gamers see COD, Gears of War, Halo, Uncharted, God of War in Full HD with next generation DX11 graphics, they'll be tripping over themselves to buy PS4/720 consoles. That's the big difference.
The hype behind Nintendo's next gen console has evaporated completely. When I was growing up and a new Nintendo console came out, it was a huge event in the gaming industry. Most of my friends in their 30s don't give a hoot about the Wii U. Clearly Nintendo has failed to nurture the relationship it developed with younger gamers and transitioned them to their next consoles. All they do is feed off younger generation of kids and then when those kids grow up, they have no mature Nintendo console for them. So what do they do? Get a PC, PS4 or 720. It's that simple.
Then there is the hype train. If PS4 is unveiled this month and Xbox 720 by June, then most people will forget Wii U even existed. It won't be on their radar with 2 true next gen consoles ready to launch this fall. Nintendo's key chance was to jump-start the generation, blow everyone away and get 10+ million installed userbase of Wii U consoles before PS4/720 even drop. Thus far there isn't a single killer game worth buying the Wii U for at $300-350 for most gamers and nothing even remotely exciting on the horizon for most of this year. Wonderful 101 or Pikmin 3 are not system sellers. What will happen is most people will just keep waiting until Wii U gets some titles that get their attention. The problem with this argument is that by the time this happens, PS4/720 will have been launched and their games will blow Wii U's away graphically on every level. It's going to be a repeat of Wii vs. PS360 all over again unless Nintendo drops the price ASAP on the Wii U and gets the install base to 10 million before Sony's/MS's console drop. Then 3rd parties might actually take the Wii U more seriously.
The days when a console could survive only on its 1st party games are coming to an end. All those people such as myself who grew up playing NES, SNES and N64 no longer want a Nintendo console with just 1st party games when it costs $300-350. That's way too much $ for a handful of titles we would play over the course of 4-5 years. In that case, I could just pick up the Wii U at the end of its life for $149 and play those 5-6 key 1st party games. Nintendo's strategy so far is a complete failure. The Wii U does little to excite new gamers about gaming, it fails to to attract hardcore gamers away from not considering buying PS4/720, it fails in attracting casuals because the controller is too large/too complicated and is gimped by just a 5 hour battery life, and it fails in terms of delivering what Nintendo is known for - strong 1st party games. Where are they?
The only people buying Wii U right now are the most hardcore Nintendo gamers on the planet and people who have kids ages 6-12.
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Side note - you guys know when you are quoting a comment with so many pictures, you can just quote 1 pic or put < snip > or something along those lines. It's fairly self-explanatory that you are replying to those pictures; which negates the need to quote 8-10 images all over again on another page.