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Forums - Nintendo - Pachter says the Wii U optimistically will sell around 40- 45 M units LTD.

pachter believed wii sales would be very poor smaller then this prediction and it sold almost 100mil. so when he says 45mil. wii u sales that means  probably around 150 mil. ahhahaa



Tsubasa Ozora

Keiner kann ihn bremsen, keiner macht ihm was vor. Immer der richtige Schuss, immer zur richtigen Zeit. Superfussball, Fairer Fussball. Er ist unser Torschützenkönig und Held.

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megaman79 said:
"it feels like a DS to me", the best selling console of all time.

I fucking hate you Pachter, i fucking hate you.


He does have an amazing ability to see the truth, just he makes a bad guess from the truth.  My kids love Wii U precisely for that reason. "Daddy this is a giant DS!"



chriscox1121 said:
VGKing said:
I agree. It doesn't have the casual appeal to reach Wii levels, and it doesn't have the core appeal to reach PS3/360 levels. But it does have more appeal than the Gamecube IMO so it should definitely sell a healthy amount for a 3rd place console.


?!  who says it'll be 3rd place, we have no idea what Sony and MS are going to unveil at e3.  It may very well be, but we don't know.

Assuming this prediction is true, it would end up being 3rd.....no way a console can be 1st with only 40m sales.



VGKing said:
chriscox1121 said:
VGKing said:
I agree. It doesn't have the casual appeal to reach Wii levels, and it doesn't have the core appeal to reach PS3/360 levels. But it does have more appeal than the Gamecube IMO so it should definitely sell a healthy amount for a 3rd place console.


?!  who says it'll be 3rd place, we have no idea what Sony and MS are going to unveil at e3.  It may very well be, but we don't know.

Assuming this prediction is true, it would end up being 3rd.....no way a console can be 1st with only 40m sales.

my bad, I thought you were saying it would be third as if it was certain.




Pacther is a big mouth.the wii u will sell 55 millon.



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Otakumegane said:
I'm perfectly fine with SNES numbers just bring me SNES levels of software and I'm good.


That was Nintendos days when Nintendo had a lock on the majority of third parties. Sega didnt have a prayer of getting close to them back then with Nintendos third party support in those days. Sony took all of it from them...lol so Nintendo finally felt like how Sega felt.



J_Allard said:
If the 360 can top 80 million this gen with absolutely no support in a racist Japan market, then Nintendo can easily get more than 45 million considering they are strong in every market.


The 360 split Sonys market which is a far more stable multimedia/gaming market. Its easy to see why they gained, after splitting a 150 million marketshare.



Cheebee said:
S.T.A.G.E. said:


I noted that the Wii motes are still factored around Nintendo Land but they are secondary. How many people will reinvest in a wii mote after they sold off their Wii? I say this because the Nielsens stated that the PS3 and 360 had more utility than the Wii hence why the Wii had less user activity even though it at one time sold double what they sold. I am sure about 70% of Wii's were being sold back to gamestop or sold off on Ebay, Amazon or Craigslist. it served its limited purpose and entertained them for a little bit. 

So, that's about 70 million 2nd hand Wiis resold out there, eh? Sounds totally plausible.

In other news, I am sure tomorrow we'll be visited by martians who look like lollipops and who will give us the secret to eternal life and happiness.

I said 70%, not 70 million. Gotta love those martians though. :)



70% from 100 mln is 70 mln, by the way!
And also - did you ever thought that if 70 mln people sold their Wii's on Ebay, then there are 70 mln people who bought these Wiis? So whats the big deal? There's still owner at every wii sold and these owners still can buy games for it!



One thing a lot of people seem to miss when it comes to how consoles did in the last generation was the massive growth in multi-platform ownership; and, while the PS3+Wii or XBox 360+Wii configurations were (probably) the most common, people have shown a willingness to purchase additional platforms when they demonstrate value.

With this in mind, the challenge for Sony, Nintendo and Microsoft in the new generation is not how to convince consumers to buy their console instead of their competition as much as it is to produce enough value to convince gamers to buy their system regardless of what other systems they already own.

This may (potentially) be the problem that Nintendo is having with the Wii U because, while it is a very fun system to play, I'm not sure Nintendo has released games that really demonstrate that the Wii U is different enough from existing platforms. Nintendoland is full of promise, and many of the mini-games could be expanded into full games that demonstrate this, but (being that they're just mini-games) they're limited in how good of a demonstration they are; and it is difficult to argue that New Super Mario U is effective at demonstrating the new functionality of the Wii U tablet.

Obviously, Nintendo has time to deliver on this, but if they can successfuly demonstrate value there is little reason to believe that they're limited in the sales they can achieve.