I think combined over the course of the first five months the PS3 and its dwindling sales will have a 475-625k (The gen is winding down, no one is expecting a million over that period of time because of those games) increase because of those Last of Us, GOW, Sly, Beyond, including GTA and various hot third parties that you cannot get your hands on without having a PS3 or 360. Its not an out of this world idea.

@Pezus:  Can you put a chart in the OP to keep track of all this?  Update it regularly too.  PS3 outselling Wii U is a given, it's a more attractive deal right now - tons of games, lower prices, etc.  Same way PS2 outsold PS3 and 360 upon release.  I don't know that it'll double sales though, so we'll see.

I think this is a reasonable post, up until the bolded.  I think Nintendo will have it's shit together by then.  I know it's what some of you are hoping for, but I don't think the Wii U is going to be Dreamcasted.  It doesn't look good now, but Nintendo has some big things coming.  They'll counter both launches with something huge.  (See the Trinity vs. Vita or Mario Kart Wii vs GTAIV)

Also, I think you guys are thinking best case scenario for PS4/Nextbox launches.  They never go smoothly.  We'll be having these doomed convos again when they launch.

what are you talking about? LBP 2 sold 2.8 million. GoW 3 sold 5.2 million. littlebigplanet1 5 million. uncharted3 5.5 million. uncharted 2 6 million. uncharted1 4.5 million. gt5 9.2 million heavy rain 2 million. killzone3 2.4 million. killzone2 2.9 million. infamous2 1.5 million infamous 2.5 million. even resistance 3 is at 1.2. 

If there's a price cut to $199 for PS3 it will surge with all those exclusives coming out (NiNoKuni, Sly, GoW, Beyond, LoU, Puppeteer). I expect Destination Playstation to be the unveiling of the PS4 set for release this Fall. They haven't had one since 09 and it would give them their own venue to get people hyped for E3 and get the system announcement out of the way. With this should come a price drop which at $199 will be a big one (not in dollar amount but any time you go under an increment of 100 it's big, which is why $250 didn't help as much as $299 this gen). Last of Us and GoW are already getting pretty good pre-orders and Playstation Plus is gaining popularity rapidly. Destination Playstation is in late February so it's the perfect venue for these announcements.

Umm :s.....It sells well but, becuase its sells well on the wii it lacks pulling power but even if that was true thats where it being sold on... So halo and gow on the 360 are worthless becuase shooters sell better on the 360? Ridulous statment

I never said that hardware will sell flat for the first five months. I think the PS3 will either sell on par or above last years first five months. PS3 never had such a selection of games from first to third party in the beginning of a year. March on its own will be a pretty good month leading up to May. The highest sales will be achieved in march though.

On par or above. It will fluctuate but March will cause a rise in sales and the last two months will sell better than the first two. Sony sold decent last year with barely any sellable exclusives to their name. Pay attention.

This late in the generation, one thing I think people get the wrong way round is the fact that games don't necessarily increase hardware sales above and beyond the previous "good years", but prevents it from dropping too far.

One thing both Sony and MS have been very good at this generation, is bringing in new products/games to prevent sales from dropping quicker than they might have been. Sony have always been strong bringing out new consoles and lots of games in Jan-March while, MS did really well in the USA with price cuts/slim and Kinect (without Kinect and amazing bundles Sony would probably have caught up MS by now) - but thats what business is about, keeping your product selling and not dropping off.

So I think the PS3 will sell at least 30%-45% more than the Wii-U over the next few months, because its strong games line up will prevent a bigger drop than the other consoles. Though I do think Sony has a bit of a battle in Japan at the moment, so this could be a key battle ground for this gap compared to Nintendo.

Did I say my prediction was absolute oh arrogant one? I just a prediction. We humans are fallible beings, but your skepticism has caused me to feel like being in an entertaining mood.

Sonys apology letter needs to be written to Japan next gen. They've left them hanging and completely focused on the west. Japanese projects need to be well funded.