This late in the generation, one thing I think people get the wrong way round is the fact that games don't necessarily increase hardware sales above and beyond the previous "good years", but prevents it from dropping too far.
One thing both Sony and MS have been very good at this generation, is bringing in new products/games to prevent sales from dropping quicker than they might have been. Sony have always been strong bringing out new consoles and lots of games in Jan-March while, MS did really well in the USA with price cuts/slim and Kinect (without Kinect and amazing bundles Sony would probably have caught up MS by now) - but thats what business is about, keeping your product selling and not dropping off.
So I think the PS3 will sell at least 30%-45% more than the Wii-U over the next few months, because its strong games line up will prevent a bigger drop than the other consoles. Though I do think Sony has a bit of a battle in Japan at the moment, so this could be a key battle ground for this gap compared to Nintendo.
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