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Forums - Sales Discussion - Prediction: Wii U will sell under 7m in 2013

 

Thoughts?

No chance. The Wii U will... 415 53.34%
 
I agree, the Wii U will s... 363 46.66%
 
Total:778

I doubt that there is going to be a 3D Mario and a new Mario Kart again next year. Maybe one of the two but not both. They already had that strategy in 2011.
Nintendo will most likely push a Wii U Sports or Wii U Fit title next year.



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Mazty said:



peachbuggy said:

This is where you are showing your ignorance. The smartglass and tablet ideas are indicative of what always happen in the games industry. Nintendo innovates then the other companies try to shamelessly rip the ideas off. 
Have you even held the Wii u gamepad? It is an amazing idea for a controller and holds so many possibilities with its multi input capabilities. I am positive Nintendo will find many ways to innovate with this setup, not so sure about 3rd parties. You just wait till 1st party games start coming regularly, Wii u will be fine.




You need to work on how quoting works...
Ignorance? When did I say that MS or Sony were not copying Nintendo? Please do not throw terms around so incorrectly as I never claimed originallity or used it in my argument. I simply said it is not a unique feature of the Wii U, which is a fact.
Wii U will not be fine. It's power draw is too low and puts it squarely in this generation; there has been no "PGR3" for the wii u. Therefore when the next-box is revealed, if it has a significantly higher power draw, the wii u will be left with the 7th gen, and not seen as an 8th gen console, as it won't be able to keep up with the other consoles. Joining the 7th gen party 7 years late is a very big mistake. Most gamers are not going to get a wii u when most of their friends/franchises are already on their existing console(s).

No we wasn't discussing originality we were discussing innovations and i was telling you how Nintendo innovates. You were the one who brought up smartglass and i was the one who explained to you that was ripping off innovation. How hard is that to understand? You obviously are a Ps360 fan which would explain how you don't know what you are talking about. Perhaps you could explain to me the last time the most powerful console won their generation? There is just no telling some people!



DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.

ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!

In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!

Mazty said:

I stand corrected then. All hope rides on the kart of a fat italian sterotype. Things have never looked so promising...?

You're being ridiculous. We've all seen what a Mario Kart title can do during the holidays.



NintendoPie said:
Mazty said:

I stand corrected then. All hope rides on the kart of a fat italian sterotype. Things have never looked so promising...?

You're being ridiculous. We've all seen what a Mario Kart title can do during the holidays.


I know Mario Karts can do well; I was just injecting some humour into it...



peachbuggy said:

Mazty said:



peachbuggy said:

This is where you are showing your ignorance. The smartglass and tablet ideas are indicative of what always happen in the games industry. Nintendo innovates then the other companies try to shamelessly rip the ideas off. 
Have you even held the Wii u gamepad? It is an amazing idea for a controller and holds so many possibilities with its multi input capabilities. I am positive Nintendo will find many ways to innovate with this setup, not so sure about 3rd parties. You just wait till 1st party games start coming regularly, Wii u will be fine.




You need to work on how quoting works...
Ignorance? When did I say that MS or Sony were not copying Nintendo? Please do not throw terms around so incorrectly as I never claimed originallity or used it in my argument. I simply said it is not a unique feature of the Wii U, which is a fact.
Wii U will not be fine. It's power draw is too low and puts it squarely in this generation; there has been no "PGR3" for the wii u. Therefore when the next-box is revealed, if it has a significantly higher power draw, the wii u will be left with the 7th gen, and not seen as an 8th gen console, as it won't be able to keep up with the other consoles. Joining the 7th gen party 7 years late is a very big mistake. Most gamers are not going to get a wii u when most of their friends/franchises are already on their existing console(s).

No we wasn't discussing originality we were discussing innovations and i was telling you how Nintendo innovates. You were the one who brought up smartglass and i was the one who explained to you that was ripping off innovation. How hard is that to understand? You obviously are a Ps360 fan which would explain how you don't know what you are talking about. Perhaps you could explain to me the last time the most powerful console won their generation? There is just no telling some people!

Until you learn how to use the quote system I'm not going to address what you say beyond this reply. 

Innovation isn't going to sell if it's not unique. I'm also a PC gamer; I have no bias when it comes to consoles. 
Also dumbing a generation down to simply specs is a gross simplification of an incredibly complex market. 



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10-12 millions



Menx64

3DS code: 1289-8222-7215

NNid: Menx064



If 25% of the people who own Mario Kart Wii decide they want the new version of the game you have 7+ million sales right there.

Hurry up Nintendo, announce it!



Mazty said:
Viper1 said:
Mazty said:
Viper1 said:
You're crazy.


It depends. If the first few months with 2013 are littered with announcements for new iphones/samsung phones/next box etc there is a chance that the wiiu could sell less then 7m. A slim chance though as it's already hit 2m. I estimate that the life sales of the WiiU will put it somewhere inbetween the GC and N64, as long as 2013/2014 sees another console release and a continued popularity in iPhone/Nexus/etc products.


I actually don't think those things will matter very much.  The people that want a Wii U are not going to suddenly decide not to get one just because some new phone (with the tiniest increase in something new over the last phone ) was announced.

New console announcements....maybe.   But largely it seems that consoles sales tend to be not be deterred too much by competitor consoles these days.   All 3 last gen consoles over 70 million.

The thing is you have to consider who wants a wii u. All I can think of is die hard Nintendo fans. Anyone who is a casual who enjoyed the wii is probably more inclined to play on a tablet/phone then cash out on a console. Are there really many die hard Nintendo fans left? The Wii would have deterred many new potential fans by offering the least of the 3 systems, meaning that gamers will most likely already have a 360/ps3, and therefore why upgrade to something which ash the "tiniest increase in something over the last" console?





Ei Kiinasti.

Eikä Japanisti.

Vaan pannaan jalalla koreasti.

 

Nintendo games sell only on Nintendo system.

It really depends if Nintendo can get heavy hitters from third party publishers like GTA 5. If so, combined with Nintendo's first party software, it can shoot upwards to 10 million. But if it's only Nintendo published titles a la Gamecube, then 8 million seems about right.