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Forums - Sales Discussion - 10 Week Countdown 2012 - Final Results

Very good week for me, 15th on my first go with a top 10 in sight? Not bad!



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

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AlphaCielago said:
Handhelds and Microsoft have taken me closer to the depths of hell (39).

Top 15 would still be a very good finish, for such an unpredictable Year



                            

I did good with 3DS and 360 in the wk9... all the others I'm really bad.



so does it make sense to say that if you have 1000 by week 10 you have a 10% margin of error?



Conegamer said:
Very good week for me, 15th on my first go with a top 10 in sight? Not bad!

What do you mean with your first go? I have proof you participated last year.



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Carl2291 said:
AlphaCielago said:
Handhelds and Microsoft have taken me closer to the depths of hell (39).

Top 15 would still be a very good finish, for such an unpredictable Year


That is true and I also have to take note of that this is my first year in VGChartz. 

Besides that, I did quite well on this new week, quite suprised and my Wii lead has been taken by Mr. Average.



Check out my Upcoming Wii U Games 2014 Thread

3DS Friend Code: 4553 - 9954 - 4854. Name - David

mr average is killin it.



theprof00 said:
so does it make sense to say that if you have 1000 by week 10 you have a 10% margin of error?

The whole thing confuses me so don't quote me on this.

1000 points on 5*10=50 predictions is approximately 20% off on average, which makes 20% the standard deviation.

I believe margin of error is the 95% confidence interval. For a normal distribution the 95% confidence level is twice the standard deviation up and down (-2*SD,+2*SD).

Which makes the margin of error 40%. Note however that VGChartz isn't very reliable either, certainly no 10% margin of error on a weekly basis.



Bad week for me....and after two pretty good weeks.

Thanks for keeping us updated, non-gravity.



Fighting fot the first place in Vita, Hadhelds and General Rank. Go go go!

I was looking our 10th week predictions and except PS3 and 360 the other seems about what I expected

Nice job in the thread Non-gravity