Very good week for me, 15th on my first go with a top 10 in sight? Not bad!
Very good week for me, 15th on my first go with a top 10 in sight? Not bad!
AlphaCielago said: Handhelds and Microsoft have taken me closer to the depths of hell (39). |
Top 15 would still be a very good finish, for such an unpredictable Year
so does it make sense to say that if you have 1000 by week 10 you have a 10% margin of error?
Conegamer said: Very good week for me, 15th on my first go with a top 10 in sight? Not bad! |
What do you mean with your first go? I have proof you participated last year.
Carl2291 said:
Top 15 would still be a very good finish, for such an unpredictable Year |
That is true and I also have to take note of that this is my first year in VGChartz.
Besides that, I did quite well on this new week, quite suprised and my Wii lead has been taken by Mr. Average.
Check out my Upcoming Wii U Games 2014 Thread
3DS Friend Code: 4553 - 9954 - 4854. Name - David
theprof00 said: so does it make sense to say that if you have 1000 by week 10 you have a 10% margin of error? |
The whole thing confuses me so don't quote me on this.
1000 points on 5*10=50 predictions is approximately 20% off on average, which makes 20% the standard deviation.
I believe margin of error is the 95% confidence interval. For a normal distribution the 95% confidence level is twice the standard deviation up and down (-2*SD,+2*SD).
Which makes the margin of error 40%. Note however that VGChartz isn't very reliable either, certainly no 10% margin of error on a weekly basis.
Bad week for me....and after two pretty good weeks.
Thanks for keeping us updated, non-gravity.
Fighting fot the first place in Vita, Hadhelds and General Rank. Go go go!
I was looking our 10th week predictions and except PS3 and 360 the other seems about what I expected
Nice job in the thread Non-gravity
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