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Forums - Sales Discussion - 10 Week Countdown 2012 - Final Results

Doesnt look like Ill be too far off the PS3 at least, after the adjustments.

Strange how VGC hasnt done the full adjust, though.



                            

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Foes vgc not believe sony? Lol.



I think we should go by whatever the official numbers are for the qeek. So, we should wait til about wednesday before updating week 4.
An adjustment to the week a day after is not so much of an adjustment. I would conaider an adjustment being changes to numbers for weeks that have already passed.



More adjustments.



Yay! At least I did good on week 4 and 3DS!



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ethomaz said:
More adjustments.

More will be coming since Sony announced that they sold 160,000 PSV's in North America.

This year is a mess.

What's happened to 3DS? It's sales this week were down YoY! It's only a year old and showing signs of saturation? Needs more games.



What is with all the hate? Don't read GamrReview Articles. Contact me to ADD games to the Database
Vote for the March Most Wanted / February Results

I asked all the participants who posted in this thread in the last 100 or so posts if I could drop the method of looking at the Original numbers in favour of full adjustments. Those who responded did so positively. Therefore from next week on I can show full details on the adjusted numbers. I will now give you an update on the new numbers. As of this hour the adjusted numbers are as follows: 

Console Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week4
PS3 307,241 280,540 344,238 752,337
X360 215,316 357,217 421,203 982,471
Wii 63,186 84,44 123,216 387,463
3DS 269,608 373,099 408,208 615,127
Vita 67,102 63,224 102,993 200,397

Also on a more mathematical note I asked if I could change the method of calculating the scores to a Natural Logarithm function. That is LN(Predicted/Real)*100. This changes practically nothing, as it is just a different approximation from our previous method, but it makes more sense mathematically and is easier to calculate. I'm not sure everyone is familiar with the Natural Logarithm, but it can be found on most calculators as LN or "eLog".

Here the pink curve is our previous method. Red is the LN function

 

These are full results with all adjustments. I can only hope everyone is satisfied.

Here are the predictions made: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=4840870



Man, those low sales for 3DS week four really hurt me.



Looking okay for me at the moment and the 3DS is hurting me. At least I was close with the PS3.



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3DS Friend Code: 4553 - 9954 - 4854. Name - David

Nice update

Moderately happy with everything that isnt the Vita.