I asked all the participants who posted in this thread in the last 100 or so posts if I could drop the method of looking at the Original numbers in favour of full adjustments. Those who responded did so positively. Therefore from next week on I can show full details on the adjusted numbers. I will now give you an update on the new numbers. As of this hour the adjusted numbers are as follows:
Console | Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week4 |
PS3 | 307,241 | 280,540 | 344,238 | 752,337 |
X360 | 215,316 | 357,217 | 421,203 | 982,471 |
Wii | 63,186 | 84,44 | 123,216 | 387,463 |
3DS | 269,608 | 373,099 | 408,208 | 615,127 |
Vita | 67,102 | 63,224 | 102,993 | 200,397 |
Also on a more mathematical note I asked if I could change the method of calculating the scores to a Natural Logarithm function. That is LN(Predicted/Real)*100. This changes practically nothing, as it is just a different approximation from our previous method, but it makes more sense mathematically and is easier to calculate. I'm not sure everyone is familiar with the Natural Logarithm, but it can be found on most calculators as LN or "eLog".
Here the pink curve is our previous method. Red is the LN function
These are full results with all adjustments. I can only hope everyone is satisfied.
Here are the predictions made: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=4840870