As I've said many times, November 11th and 18th are the most likely release dates ...
With that said, I highly doubt that Nintendo would launch with 3 SKUs, unless there was no significant difference between the systems like their color (which wouldn't create a price difference). I could see Nintendo breaking with convention and releasing a basic SKU and a "Family Bundle" to make it an ideal Christmas gift but I wouldn't expect more than that. Essentially, the basic SKU would be a Wii U system, Wiimote+, nunchuck and Wii U tablet and Nintendoland for $299 with the family bundle being the basic bundle plus a second Wiimote+, nunchuck, Wii U tablet and New Super Mario Bros U for $399.

















