If it has the right launch games, really is $299, and those first 3 months are Oct, Nov, Dec, I believe it will sell out completely, so it's just based on how much stock they can manage.
Edit: I voted for 4-6m.
Sales prediction from launch- end of 2012? | |||
| 1-2 million units | 57 | 17.12% | |
| 2-4 million units | 93 | 27.93% | |
| 4-6 million units | 87 | 26.13% | |
| 6-10 million units | 44 | 13.21% | |
| other | 5 | 1.50% | |
| Delayed | 5 | 1.50% | |
| Cancelled | 9 | 2.70% | |
| See Results | 30 | 9.01% | |
| Total: | 330 | ||
If it has the right launch games, really is $299, and those first 3 months are Oct, Nov, Dec, I believe it will sell out completely, so it's just based on how much stock they can manage.
Edit: I voted for 4-6m.
It will depend on a lot of variables we simply don't have factual evidence on yet. None of those listed Nintendo IPs are big enough to shift a new console. This states nothing of Nintendo's marketing strategy.
IF it launches Oct to Nov 2012...
IF it has a NEW Super Mario game (not just the add-on of Mii players)... OR the built in game catches on like Wii Sports....
IF it focuses on marketing similar to how Wii was launched for mass consumption...
IF its no more than $300...
Then I think it will sell whatever Nintendo delivers.
Anything else and it will be more limited and in the 2-4million area.
It will sell more than the amount of consoles they ship.
"Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth." -My good friend Mark Aurelius
| superchunk said: It will depend on a lot of variables we simply don't have factual evidence on yet. None of those listed Nintendo IPs are big enough to shift a new console. This states nothing of Nintendo's marketing strategy. IF it launches Oct to Nov 2012... IF it has a NEW Super Mario game (not just the add-on of Mii players)... OR the built in game catches on like Wii Sports.... IF it focuses on marketing similar to how Wii was launched for mass consumption... IF its no more than $300... Then I think it will sell whatever Nintendo delivers. Anything else and it will be more limited and in the 2-4million area. |
This says it best.
Voted 2-4, assuming that the Wii U will release in December.
4-6 is definitely possible if released in October though.
No games and no price, no predictions can be accurate. And even with games and price, no predictions can be accurate.
I hope it'll do good. Nintendo... a Mario game at launch helped you a lot before! And not a cheap-ass one like Mario Advance (seriously, it's still hard to believe GBA didn't have a single real Mario - and I'm not talking about your definition of a REAL Mario, Rol, but an original 2d one... wait
Depends when it releases. It might make 4-6 million if it launches in September or early October. If late October or early November then 2-4 million, or if late November Early December then 1-2 million.
To get over 6 million I think it would have to launch before September.. and getting close to 10 million is very unlikely. Nintendo won't be intending to ship anything close to 10 million because it is a new unknown system and they (and retailers) can't be certain of the level of demand.

OVER 9000!!!! =P
Can't say,......... i think Nintendo has many secrets to reveal yet.
Well I'm of course hoping it'll do well. I think it will at least get 4 Million by the end of the year, of course depending on Release Dates and such. It also depends on how much marketing and how much the public consumers take a liking to the new design and launch titles.