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Forums - Sales Discussion - 2012 Sales Predictions

Wii - 5.6 million
Wii U - 2.6 million
PS3 - 11.35 million
360 - 13 million
PS2 - 2 million
DS - 3.25 million
3DS - 17 million
Vita - 11.5 million
PSP - 2.2 million



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Wii - 8.5 M
360 - 13.25 M
PS3 - 13.75 M
Wii U - 2.25 M



Try to be reasonable... its easier than you think...

Wii - 6.5m
X360 - 9m
PS3 - 10m
WiiU - 4m

3DS - 20m
Vita - 8m
DS - 5m
PSP - 4m

Dragon Quest X to be best selling non-dance Wii game released in 2012 (~3.5m)
CoD to be best selling game released in 2012 for both HD consoles
Mario Kart 7 to become first 10m-seller on 3DS
Zelda:SS to fall short of 5m sales by end of 2012



Seece said:
Conegamer said:
Seece said:
Conegamer said:
Wii-9,500,000
PS3-13,300,000
360-12,800,000
3DS-17,000,000
Vita-9,500,000
DS-2,500,000
PSP-2,100,000
WiiU (Launch September-October)-3,000,000
Wii (Launch after October)-1,700,000

I'll have fun in a year's time seeing how wrong I am :P. Also, the WiiU is too early to tell. May update when we find out more info. on it!

*sigh* come on conegamer! I know you can put your Nintendo bias aside for 1 second and make some decent predictions!

I thought they were decent...

 

Anyway, I've been looking back at trends and have adjusted accordingly. However, they seem pretty similar to everyone elses...

Adjusted looks much better than before, well done

But if your original predictions were what you really thought would happen, just go with that and ignore me (to hell if you're going to be utterly wrong again!)

I wouldn't worry if I were you. They were only place-holders whilst I checked the figures anyway!

I'm gonna use this chance to make some predictions here:

  • GTA V will sell 8 mil FW on all consoles
  • Dragon Quest X will have Japanese opening week of 4.5mil (3mil on Wii, 1.5mil on WiiU)
  • Xenoblade, The Last Story and Pandora's Tower will sell less than 600k combined in all territories in 2012.
If I think of any more I'll add them :P


 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

Its a tough one to be honest as could go either way.

I can't see PS3 having another price cut. That would be like 3 in 3 years or something. Where as i can see a 360 cut simply because it hasen't. However i think it will be more of a 360+kinect kinda cut instead of individually. If they get 360+Kinect down to around £140-£150 that will sell by the truck load.

However with the current financial climate getting worse i think that will have a knock on effect this year. So my guesses would be

PS3 - 12.5m
360 - 13m
Wii - 7.5m
Wii U - 2m
3DS - 20m
PSV - 7.5m - I really do think the Vita is going to struggle.

I think 2011 will be seen as the peak of this generation. Chances are at E3 MS will announce the new console which will mean the 360 gets its last xmas holiday. Where as with Sony it really is a hard one to call. As a company they are losing over $2m a day. They just released Vita and early indicators are sales are not as good, especially against 3DS. Would they risk announcing PS4 at that time? I can't see it. 2012 for Sony as a company will all be about trying to turn those heavy losses into some kind of profit. Either way it will be another interesting year.
On a side note nice to see my 2011 predictions were pretty acurate :)



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Wii - 7 million

PS3 - 13 million

XBox 360 -  12.5 million

Wii U - 1-2 million (pending launch date)

PS2 -  2 million

 

PSP - 4 million

DS - 4 million

PS Vita - 7 million

3DS - 14 million



For right now, I'll just do the big 3.

PS3 - 14.1
360 - 13.8
Wii - 9.5



How do you tag threads?



pezus said:
Hyruken said:
Its a tough one to be honest as could go either way.

I can't see PS3 having another price cut. That would be like 3 in 3 years or something. Where as i can see a 360 cut simply because it hasen't. However i think it will be more of a 360+kinect kinda cut instead of individually. If they get 360+Kinect down to around £140-£150 that will sell by the truck load.

However with the current financial climate getting worse i think that will have a knock on effect this year. So my guesses would be

PS3 - 12.5m
360 - 13m
Wii - 7.5m
Wii U - 2m
3DS - 20m
PSV - 7.5m - I really do think the Vita is going to struggle.

I think 2011 will be seen as the peak of this generation. Chances are at E3 MS will announce the new console which will mean the 360 gets its last xmas holiday. Where as with Sony it really is a hard one to call. As a company they are losing over $2m a day. They just released Vita and early indicators are sales are not as good, especially against 3DS. Would they risk announcing PS4 at that time? I can't see it. 2012 for Sony as a company will all be about trying to turn those heavy losses into some kind of profit. Either way it will be another interesting year.
On a side note nice to see my 2011 predictions were pretty acurate :)

3 in 4 years.

Well you get my point. Sony are probably making money now on each PS3 sold. If they cut again chances are they will go back to making a loss on them. 

My PS3 prediction for last year in the prediction thread was 14.2m. Which looks set to be about right.  This year i expect everything to stay the same until E3.

Vita will be the main focus for 2012 in regards to the gaming side for Sony. The fact it has a better line up (comercially) for 2012 then the PS3 (that we know of) shows that. If the numbers are bad then they will have no choice but to follow the 3DS lead and cut straight away. If they do that then I can't see the PS3 also getting a price cut. I doubt they would want both their products running at a loss.



Xbox 720 - 5.5M
Xbox 360 - 11.5M
Wii U - 4M
Wii - 8.5M
PS3 -10M