Leni, you need to learn to spot sarcasm, as "rout" was laying it on pretty hard there.

Branko2166 has a good point.It's way too early to proclaim future figures of the Wii.Everything between 35-135 million units is possible.imo

@Rol: Ah yes, the legendary Wii Bingo Thread. Good times back then.

Congratulations Nintendo! I'm very surprised. But, bear in mind that to get to 60+ million by '08 like JL says, the Wii needs to move 112.000 machines EVERY DAY on average, even through the slow months.

Non Sequor said: Oyvoyvoyv said: Actually, the wii will have to hold it's sales very steady to beat the ps2 total sales. Wii has sold 20M in 55-60 weeks. That's about 350k/week in average. Ps2 came out about july 00. Untill july 07 it had sold about 110 million machines. That's seven years or 364 weeks. That's 304k/week. On the other hand, the DS has 65 million in 162 weeks, that's 400k/week. I think this chart pretty much says it all   The DS has consistently tracked ahead of the PS2 and the Wii has consistently tracked ahead of the DS. Both of these systems will outsell the PS2 since they both will continue to sell even after their successors are available as the PS2 has done.

I think the PS2 had a staged launch, therefore the comparison is not the most correct one. In general though, I agree. 

Branko2166 said: Good for Nintendo. While it should comfortably beat Nintendo 64 sales I think it's a bit early to say if it will go over 100 million let alone past the ps2. Keep in mind that the ps2 has sold close to 120 million and it should be on the market for another 3 years.

I'd say that 2008 is the last year PS2 will have support, 2009 propably only a few games (also PSP ports are possible), and when Wii hits sub-200, it will start replacing PS2 as the console, which people can and will buy to their homes and therefore starts to eat PS2 sales away. By the end of 2009, PS2 will be dead, looking at titles currently released, future releases and current software sales, you clearly can see it's dying.

RolStoppable said: Faxanadu said: Non Sequor said: I think this chart pretty much says it all The DS has consistently tracked ahead of the PS2 and the Wii has consistently tracked ahead of the DS. Both of these systems will outsell the PS2 since they both will continue to sell even after their successors are available as the PS2 has done. I think the PS2 had a staged launch, therefore the comparison is not the most correct one. In general though, I agree. Even though the PS2 had a staggered launch, I think it's a fair comparison. If the PS2 would have had a global launch they still wouldn't have sold more units, because Sony had problems to manufacture the system for the most part of the console's first year.

The PS supply constraint? Sounds reasonable. I guess thats also why they were so antsy about having sufficient supply last year. 

RolStoppable said: routsounmanman said: The ones buying Wii are just Gamecube and Nintendo fans; Wii should stop selling soon as it's a fad too. That's an excellent point you have there. The pool of Gamecube owners upgrading to the Wii should be drained completely soon. I am getting a little bit worried. http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=9620

Totally. Lately I have gained faith in the PS3 as it's reached 19.7% market share, a 1.5%+ increase in 2 months!

routsounmanman said: RolStoppable said: routsounmanman said: The ones buying Wii are just Gamecube and Nintendo fans; Wii should stop selling soon as it's a fad too. That's an excellent point you have there. The pool of Gamecube owners upgrading to the Wii should be drained completely soon. I am getting a little bit worried. http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=9620 Totally. Lately I have gained faith in the PS3 as it's reached 19.7% market share, a 1.5%+ increase in 2 months!

 I'd have to disagree.

 I think the GameCube's user base was largely not even Nintendo fans. I know when GameCube came out many of the Nintendo fans I knew turned to Microsoft. Waiting out the storm they said they'd try again next gen. Alot of the people who bought GameCubes were either casual gamers, budget gamers or parents.

The cheap price of the GameCube was a major draw for parents and casual gamers who don't tend to want to spend way to much money on consoles. I think this is proven by the drastic drop in software sales from N64 to GameCube. First Party titles that sold nearly ten mill on N64 only break the 3-million mark with only a roughly 30% hardware differance.

This generation again I think many Nintendo die hard fans may have either bought the Wii already or converted entirely to Microsoft's 360. But the die hard fan base is far smaller then it used to be.

 Now this might sound contradictory to my point. My point is many of the GameCube buyers bought the GameCube after constant price cuts. I mean the GameCube made a slight comeback starting in what 2004-2006. When the hardware's price had been cut substantially cheaper and the intensity of classical first party software began to flow.

I think right now about half the GameCube's user base has likely upgraded to the Wii. I think the remaining half is likely the budget gamers and parent's who don't want to or can't afford to buy their kids super expensive consoles. I'd expect Nintendo Wii sales to boost immensly when Nintendo decides to cut its price!

 Nintendo can also maintain higher sales by releasing the various other colours or maybe a new model. I know the flaps on the top of the Wii are very weak mine snapped off already. Many improvements could be made. With some price cuts, boost in first party software and new colours or models Nintendo could maintain these sales for a very long time!