I'll be adding these charts to my monthly gap chart article because it'll be an interesting race to watch.

But do you think it's possible for PS3 to surpass Wii in EMEAA and for X360 to pass Wii in Americas?

The current gaps are:

X360 behind Wii in Americas by 9M

PS3 behind Wii in EMEAA by 9.5M

So far this year:

X360 has sold just under 500k more than Wii in Americas

PS3 has sold just under 625k more than Wii in EMEAA


If you don't think one or both can do it, how close do you think they'll get?

PS3 should be 5 mill for Americas, 1.5 mill for Japan and 8.5 for EMEAA? Given their 15 mill forecast

MS expect about 14/15 mill 360's this year ('number #1 WW')

So the 360 breakdown should be something like 8.5 Americas / 6.5 EMEAA

Ninty expect 12 mill Wii's (although this does roll over into next year) but that's roughly 1 mill Japan, 5.5 mill Americas and 5.5 mill EMEAA

Oh right, no I didn't. Why did you get shit for it? Seems perfectly reasonable to me :-S

Should be possible for both to happen...

Sony/Microsoft don't seem keen to move onto the next gen any time soon, home console-wise. Microsoft are getting amazing profits and Sony will at some point want to get alright profits too

Wii is pretty much dying. By this time next Year it should be selling something like ~50k per Week lol, if that.

Depends how long PS3/360 are kept on the market for without successors.

Kowenicki always get shit over him. Everything is possible about this poll

360 beating Wii in Americas depends on this holiday. If 360 wins by a relatively significant margin (500k+) then I'd give it about 60/40 odds. If it's a tie or Wii edges out 360 then I don't think it will ever happen. PS3 in EMEAA is pretty much assured assuming Sony stick to their 10 year plan. I'm guessing in 2015 or 2016 depending on when Wii is phased out. I'm assuming 2013 or early 2014.

lol Maxwell. Says all that's needed to be said.

Keep looking!

Wii will win both regions. It looks like the Wii will actually lose both regions in 2013/2014.

In EMEAA, between the PS3 & Wii.

Current Gap: 10m
Gap at end of 2011: 8.5m in Wii's favor. 

• PS3 will likely continue to outsell the Wii marginally until the holiday kicks in. Both the PS3 and Wii will get price cuts. 
• The PS3 will most likely outsell the Wii this holiday, but the Wii won't be too far behind due to its nature of being a holiday seller.

Gap at the of 2012: 5.0m in Wii's favor. 

• The PS3 will get off strong because of the price cut coming off the holidays. It will also stay pretty consistent due to Sony's continuous effort into emerging markets. It could potentially have its best year ever in this region due price cuts and emerging markets. 
• The Wii will drop dramatically due to saturation and the Wii U releasing. Nintendo will keep it moderately relevant with aggressive price cuts. The Wii will probably do slightly less than what it does in the Americas. 
• I have the PS3 at 8.0m with the Wii at 4.5m

Gap at the end of 2013: 0.5m in PS3's favor.

• The PS3 should still be able to do moderate sales due to low price and emerging markets. It should be quite popular among smaller nations. 
• The Wii is officially dead here due to the Wii U and PS3.
• I have the PS3 at 6.5m and Wii at 1.0m

________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

I Americas, between X360 and Wii....

Current gap: 9.0m
Gap at end of 2011: 8.0m in Wii's favor. 

• 360 likely to continue strong until the holiday where the Wii steps up and sells head to head with it. 
• The 2011 gap will probably be around 1.5m leaving the overall gap at around 8.0m. 

Gap at end of 2012: 5.0m in Wii's favor. 

• The 360 will probably sell pretty decent next year coming off a price cut from the past holiday. It'll sell decently, but it won't be enough to have its best year ever due to saturation. 
• The Wii will probably sell around 5.0m do to aggressive price drops by Nintendo. Not good, but not too terrible considering the release of the Wii U.
• I see X360 at 8.0m with Wii at 5.0m. 

Gap at the end of 2013: 0.5m in Wii's favor.

• MS will start dropping the price of the 360 to obscenely low prices to combat dropping sales. It should be good enough to keep sales moderate before the 720 releases. Microsoft should still be happy with the 360 due to profit gained from LIVE. 
• The Wii will drop to nearly nothing with the Wii U out. 
• I see X360 at 5.5m with the Wii at 2.0m

Gap at the end of 2014: 

• The 360 will likely catch the Wii this year.
  
  

ps3 EU and WW
360 NA

none will happen anytime soon though

PS3 and 360 will own their respective regions, I am sure of it...