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Forums - Sales - *My 2011 Sales Predictions!*

I cant wait for VS



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psrock said:

I guess the Wii is getting a $100 pricecut this year, and the Vitality sensor will cure virginity. 

Kinect has had a huge impact on the 360, but it hasnt done nothing to stop the PS3 from selling. 

 

Oh boyyy. $100 pricecut and more hidden features of Wii Vitality Sensor. Drake's Deception just got pushed down on my list :D



Wii: 99mil - 101mil (I think 100mil)

It did 18 mil last year. It's dropping off, but I'm sure Nintendo will do something. It should do 16 - 19mil (I think 17 mil)

360: 63mil - 65mil (I think 64 mil)

Japan: 0.2/ NA: 8.5 / EU: 5.3

It did 13.5mil last year. Last year it had Slim, Kinect, Halo, and Fable. But it had a weak first half. It should at least do as good as last year because of the improved first half. I don't know how strong Kinect will be in the second half of the year. There will probably be a price cut. It should do 13 - 15.5mil. (I think 14 mil)

PS3: 60 - 62mil ( I think 61 mil)

Japan: 1.5 / NA: 6.0 / EU: 8.0

It did 14.5mil last year. Last year it had an impressive first half with a modest second half. The first half this year will drop off a little but not much, because Killzone will move consoles (yeah I said it). The second will be better than last year I think. Espescially in NA. Last year PS3 had GT5 and Move. Both of which aren't "big" in NA. This year, it has Uncharted 3, Resistance 3, and Twisted Metal. All of which have the potential to be big. I'm also anticipating a price cut. Basically, I don't see PS3 selling less than last year. If it does it will be <1 mil. I see PS3 selling 13.5 - 16mil (I think 15.5mil)



Updated with 10 Predictions...please comment.



Moved this...

Weekly update

YoY YTD Wii now down 1,228,515 or 37%

Weekly YoY change Wii down 132,149 or 45%

 

And no whisper of Vitality Sensor and/or Wii Relax at GDC.



Its libraries that sell systems not a single game.

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Looks like VS is a no go.



Proud poster of the 10000th reply at the Official Smash Bros Update Thread.

tag - "I wouldn't trust gamespot, even if it was a live comparison."

Bets with Conegamer:

Pandora's Tower will have an opening week of less than 37k in Japan. (Won!)
Pandora's Tower will sell less than 100k lifetime in Japan.
Stakes: 1 week of avatar control for each one.

Fullfilled Prophecies

psrock said:

I guess the Wii is getting a $100 pricecut this year, and the Vitality sensor will cure virginity. 

Kinect has had a huge impact on the 360, but it hasnt done nothing to stop the PS3 from selling. 

 

Ok, LOL, what makes you think that Nintendo is going to just drop the Wii to $99? No one would care about it anymore.  Costumers don't like things with low value, I saw just some days ago that a guy was selling an online game for like 1$ and was when he rised the pirc,e sales actually got better! Beside,s dropping price is just a proof that you're loosing and doesn't give a shit anymore.



Above: still the best game of the year.

Well, it looks like you failed in the GDC VS prediction....  and I'm pretty sure you'll be wrong in everything VS related



morenoingrato said:

Well, it looks like you failed in the GDC VS prediction....  and I'm pretty sure you'll be wrong in everything VS related

Actually VS being announced at GDC was never a prediction of mine LOL...I said I expected it but its not one of the 10 predictions is it?

Anyway, I feel as though if Vitality Sensor isn't announced any time soon than my prediction will be dead wrong for Wii selling 105 Million. A Price Cut will only go so far and Wii is still going to sell 100 Million by the end of 2011 IMO but even if Vitality Sensor comes in Late 2011 it may be too late.

To be honest, A lot was riding on Vitality Sensor being announced at GDC for me...even if I buy another system...!

You see the Wii hasn't really had anything for me to look forward to since 2011 started...at 1st I was excited for Mario Sports Mix but later on I started thinking that instead of buying Mario Sports Mix my $50 could go to something else...possibly a new system.  Wii currently has no real announced games for 2011 not even 1. Sure there is Zelda, Kirby, Rhythm Heaven, Pikmin 3, Fatal Frame, Pokemon Wii, Pandora's Tower, Xenoblade, and The Last Story. If you have noticed though none of them are announced to be released here in America in 2011. Not even Zelda is 100% and you know how it always gets delayed...again...and again...and what about a 3rd time LOL. 

I enjoy things that are unique and different and fun. I don't really consider myself a "Core" gamer and I am not really a "Casual" either but if I had to be put into one of them...I am a "Casual" gamer. You may even say I play the "Casual" games in a "Core" way LOL. Anyway without anything new for 2011 I started to think...maybe I should buy a 360? I was going to not buy another handheld but now...what about a 3DS? Anyway we will see...I guess.



*Note*__I have been informed that I should keep my predictions though even I think they are wrong  now...yes this has to do with Vitality Sensor's no show at GDC 2011.