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MessiaH said:

Hey guys, first off, I would like to say that the general population on the gamrconnect forums are a thousand times more mature than those found at IGN. And I like that interesting and relevant non-gaming topics are opened for discussion here.

Anyway, to share my thoughts on this, and I didnt read all 19 or so pages worth of comments as there is only so much time I can slack off at work. But we all know now that Hosni Mubarak has stepped down. Those of you who fear that a fundamentalist group will step in his place should not worry, as the Egyptian people have a HUGE highly educated sector of their population that do not want that to happen. Also, the Muslim Brotherhood is not a fundamentalist regime of any sort, and have never been in ties with Iran. These fears should be set aside. There will most likely be some sort of democratic vote over the popular parties. Yes, the Muslim Brotherhood will be one of them, and they will probably have a strong backing from the lower class and less educated part of the population, but I highly doubt they they can get the majority to vote for them. 

Also, those who don't think that the US had anything to do with Mubarak's stay in power there are naive. There is a peace treaty between Egypt and Israel, and the US wants to maintain that as they would do anything to protect Israel. Keeping Mubarak in place is one method. Now once Mubarak gets replaced, that certainly does not mean that the next person is going to rip that peace treaty apart and start shooting rockets into Israel. No. That is not to Egypt's advantage. However, unlike Mubarak who let Israel get away with breaking international law and UN resolutions, the next person who takes over MIGHT, MIIIGHT be brave enough to place necessary political pressures on Israel to play a fairer game towards the peace process that they are not interested in.

At the end of the day, those Egyptians were EXTREMELY brave for wat they did, and it is their persistence that led them to this success. On day 10 and 11 of the protests, many thought it was over and that they would have to wait until September for Mubarak to step down, but their persistence led to this. Now it would also be naive for us to think that it was purely this persistence that led to Mubarak stepping down. There was obvious foreign pressure at play, but this foreign pressure would not have increased without the people standing their ground. 

Now we just have to hope this ends up turning into the greater good.

And in the case of Lebanon (reading some earlier posts), there are 2 main factions that oppose one another. The pro-syrians (including Hezbollah) and the anti-syrians. What started off as a government having majority in the anti-syrian sector, now ended up with Hezbollah having majority. But that was done by way of force and violence. Whereas the anti-syrians did not want to start another civil war, have more people killed and bring the country back down again, Hezbollah were ready to do so as their interest is not that of the country but of themselves. Shit, when these people march and protest, they do not hold the flag of Lebanon, no, they hold the flag of their faction and posters of their leader Hassan Nasrallah. That simple imagery shows that they dont have the country's well-being in mind. And the fact that they have now literally stolen the power through violence and threats worries me greatly. I do not know what will happen to Lebanon. And quite frankly, I dont see these no-good people stepping down unless they get violently crushed and thrown out. Which is a shame, cause that would mean another civil war needs to take place in that country. And things like that please countries like Israel as having their neighbour get destroyed internally once again means that this neighbour will be a broken, useless husk of a country that would not be able to contend Israel with anything it does.

Its a cruel world in many parts of the Middle East, and some areas NEED a revolution for betterment.

I dont intend on offending anyone, I realize there are posters here from Israel, Syria and all round the world. A fact is a fact though, a government is clearly in the wrong or right, although in most cases a government does not speak for all its people. So when I point out that Israel isn't going about the right way with the peace process, I am in no way concluding that its people agree with its actions.

POWER TO THE PEOPLE!!!!!!!!!!!!

Excellent post. Well researched.



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Badassbab said:
MessiaH said:

Hey guys, first off, I would like to say that the general population on the gamrconnect forums are a thousand times more mature than those found at IGN. And I like that interesting and relevant non-gaming topics are opened for discussion here.

Anyway, to share my thoughts on this, and I didnt read all 19 or so pages worth of comments as there is only so much time I can slack off at work. But we all know now that Hosni Mubarak has stepped down. Those of you who fear that a fundamentalist group will step in his place should not worry, as the Egyptian people have a HUGE highly educated sector of their population that do not want that to happen. Also, the Muslim Brotherhood is not a fundamentalist regime of any sort, and have never been in ties with Iran. These fears should be set aside. There will most likely be some sort of democratic vote over the popular parties. Yes, the Muslim Brotherhood will be one of them, and they will probably have a strong backing from the lower class and less educated part of the population, but I highly doubt they they can get the majority to vote for them. 

Also, those who don't think that the US had anything to do with Mubarak's stay in power there are naive. There is a peace treaty between Egypt and Israel, and the US wants to maintain that as they would do anything to protect Israel. Keeping Mubarak in place is one method. Now once Mubarak gets replaced, that certainly does not mean that the next person is going to rip that peace treaty apart and start shooting rockets into Israel. No. That is not to Egypt's advantage. However, unlike Mubarak who let Israel get away with breaking international law and UN resolutions, the next person who takes over MIGHT, MIIIGHT be brave enough to place necessary political pressures on Israel to play a fairer game towards the peace process that they are not interested in.

At the end of the day, those Egyptians were EXTREMELY brave for wat they did, and it is their persistence that led them to this success. On day 10 and 11 of the protests, many thought it was over and that they would have to wait until September for Mubarak to step down, but their persistence led to this. Now it would also be naive for us to think that it was purely this persistence that led to Mubarak stepping down. There was obvious foreign pressure at play, but this foreign pressure would not have increased without the people standing their ground. 

Now we just have to hope this ends up turning into the greater good.

And in the case of Lebanon (reading some earlier posts), there are 2 main factions that oppose one another. The pro-syrians (including Hezbollah) and the anti-syrians. What started off as a government having majority in the anti-syrian sector, now ended up with Hezbollah having majority. But that was done by way of force and violence. Whereas the anti-syrians did not want to start another civil war, have more people killed and bring the country back down again, Hezbollah were ready to do so as their interest is not that of the country but of themselves. Shit, when these people march and protest, they do not hold the flag of Lebanon, no, they hold the flag of their faction and posters of their leader Hassan Nasrallah. That simple imagery shows that they dont have the country's well-being in mind. And the fact that they have now literally stolen the power through violence and threats worries me greatly. I do not know what will happen to Lebanon. And quite frankly, I dont see these no-good people stepping down unless they get violently crushed and thrown out. Which is a shame, cause that would mean another civil war needs to take place in that country. And things like that please countries like Israel as having their neighbour get destroyed internally once again means that this neighbour will be a broken, useless husk of a country that would not be able to contend Israel with anything it does.

Its a cruel world in many parts of the Middle East, and some areas NEED a revolution for betterment.

I dont intend on offending anyone, I realize there are posters here from Israel, Syria and all round the world. A fact is a fact though, a government is clearly in the wrong or right, although in most cases a government does not speak for all its people. So when I point out that Israel isn't going about the right way with the peace process, I am in no way concluding that its people agree with its actions.

POWER TO THE PEOPLE!!!!!!!!!!!!

Excellent post. Well researched.

Much appreciated!



elticker said:
dib8rman said:

=/ I really can't see why anyone would want Mubarak out of power.

If the people's party wins it wil be an Islamic Nationalism or a Islamic "democratic" autocracy.

The people of Egypt just aren't ready for a Democracy at all, it's just another Arabian in struggle only this time they can't blame the US... nevermind.

A brief history on Mubarak though: Mubarak is a Egyptian nationalist, and used to be a very lax guy until his boss was killed in front of him by members of the Islamic Brotherhood. Since then he only helped Egypt on a secular path in the same way his boss did. At some point though his issues became Egypts issues and thus the Mubarak we have today. He litterally see's the welfare of Egypt as his own. If anyone here follows his interviews you would know he's stubborn as hell so he has the make shift parts of a dictator.

Egypts economical issues were not his fault either, the place is filled with very ignorant folk who... first off Egypt is heavily bent on it's agricultural sector  and so it doesn't help when you kill off your live stock at a whim of some virus, especially when you've just gone through 3 famines.

What I think is Mubaraks fault though is his issue with pigs. =/ If it weren't for his idiotic decision with the pigs Cairo would be a nice place to live still... live poor but still live.

we have suez canal, tourism, gas, oil so no it was his issue we are now in debt of 880 billion us dollars. when he first came to power it was only 12 billion. live poor what you don't know how hard it is to live in egypt some people work 3 jobs and can barely find money for bread to survive thats not his fualt. graduates of all faculties can't find jobs so this isn't his fualt nothing is right. he give gas to israel for shit prices, almost for free when he sells it to his own poeple for full price that isn't his fualt. 30 years is a heck of a longtime to make economic reforms, what he did in it was increase egyptains debt by 868 billion dolars that nothing dam i get that in one day of work. Please you don't live in egypt so don't speack about life in egypt. All he did all these years was working for the good of israel, US rather than the good of his people. heck he stole 70 billion dollars from us and his associates stole just as much if not more.  

I see so it's all Israels fault, I am fully aware of the other sections of revenue for Egypt but agriculture has always been the leading sector, I did indicate as much in the post you quoted.
 My point was that so long as god comes first in politics there is no room for democracy. The ideology of a democracy is that the people come before god and individually you may hold whatever deity you wish over yourself.
For the record Egypt has been part of the Opec standardized oil price reg for as long as I can remember, they have the same price to Israel as they do to the US adding only shipping to the price. I believe the prices in 08 was by Opec set at around $85 - $100 a barrel. Israel from what I gather paid in the same time frame around $70 - $80's a barrel, which makes total sense geographically.
In other words your story isn't adding up with the numbers. Do your own research.
----------------
It's not about just getting a higher level of education, and what do I know about working hard? Seriously if I was a jerk I'd point out that it's always been for 22 years the peoples of Egypt’s responsibility to remove your president in a popular movement it's not the job of any outside nation to violate any other nations sovereignty just to install a democracy. In the word's of James Madison "Eternal vigilance by the people is the price of liberty."
As for how hard I work, that's honestly none of your business.
As for your economy, Egypt actually had a surplus in 05 which was the height of the "Recession" (Clearly not for Egypt). Mubarak is credited for boosting foreign investment and paving a road for Egypt to get out of the red. Since 1990 the winds have been in the Egyptian sails.

What it comes down to are those pigs,  if he never culled them Egypt would probably have been the 2nd or 1st Arab nation to join the EU.

You have to understand that my only issue with removing Mubarak is that the people will be unaware of their geopolitical situation and though they have the best intention for Egypt (I hope) they will do it in the name of Allah. I’ve seen idiots chanting in Egypt for the return of a Caliphate by overthrowing all the dictators, if this position is popular in the heart of Arabs then world war three is a guarantee. Dramatic I suppose but men of god have proven themselves to be the most dangerous men on earth.

As for the 880 billion dollar loss, ask yourself where those people got the money to get their higher education, what about the medicine that is imported for the most populated Arab country; ask who paid for that? Don’t “let’s forget that.” These were social interests for a grand part that caused the deficit. Though Egyptian universities are among the worst in the world the government has been sinking money into them to make them into the best they can be. 

I’m not saying there hasn’t been corruption though, I’m positive their has been, it’s just Cold War guys like Mubarak are super patriots and take Egyptian matters personally. It’s part of why he could be trusted.

In the indelible words of Jack Sparrow “You can always trust a liar to tell you a lie, it’s the truthful ones you’ve got to be careful of.”

--------------
In the end though your the one living in it and your the ones who fought him out, dude I just hope I'm wrong and you guys can form a democracy with enlightened values.

So hats off to you and best wishes with whatever you guys do over there.



I'm Unamerica and you can too.

The Official Huge Monster Hunter Thread: 



The Hunt Begins 4/20/2010 =D

Badassbab said:
dib8rman said:

=/ I really can't see why anyone would want Mubarak out of power.

If the people's party wins it wil be an Islamic Nationalism or a Islamic "democratic" autocracy.

The people of Egypt just aren't ready for a Democracy at all, it's just another Arabian in struggle only this time they can't blame the US... nevermind.

A brief history on Mubarak though: Mubarak is a Egyptian nationalist, and used to be a very lax guy until his boss was killed in front of him by members of the Islamic Brotherhood. Since then he only helped Egypt on a secular path in the same way his boss did. At some point though his issues became Egypts issues and thus the Mubarak we have today. He litterally see's the welfare of Egypt as his own. If anyone here follows his interviews you would know he's stubborn as hell so he has the make shift parts of a dictator.

Egypts economical issues were not his fault either, the place is filled with very ignorant folk who... first off Egypt is heavily bent on it's agricultural sector  and so it doesn't help when you kill off your live stock at a whim of some virus, especially when you've just gone through 3 famines.

What I think is Mubaraks fault though is his issue with pigs. =/ If it weren't for his idiotic decision with the pigs Cairo would be a nice place to live still... live poor but still live.

What a pathetic argument you've put forward. It is not up to you to decide whether Mubarak stays or goes. It's up to the Egyptian people and you should be supporting democratic forces. He's an oppressive dictator and a lackey of the US so the Egyptian people can blame the US who provide over $1 billion in mostly military aid annually for the past 30 odd years.  The Mubarek family may have an estimated value of $70 billion and I doubt they acquired this vast wealth through transparent means. But hey he's our guy so as long as he controls his population it's ok (even though a lot of them live in poverty).

And don't forget our some of our major allies are Saudi Arabia and Pakistan both hot beds of Islamic extremsim especally during the 80's when we turned a blind eye to their spreading of Islamic fundamentalism (and in the process Pakistan was acquiring the knowledge to build nukes). So your argument about Islamic extremists gaining power and how it's a problem just doesn't hold water. All we care about is controlling the region whether the Governemnt is secular or a theocracy it doesn't matter. Egypt under Nasser was secular, Syria is secular etc and both deemed enemies of the US.

As for the economy...maybe if the people had a say they would be better off. As it stands it was a one party dictatorship so Mubarek has to take the blame. And I really don't get your argument about pig culls are you saying it made Cairo a worse place to live?!

I have to wonder if you even know what my argument is.

At this point it's a wait and see issue for what happens with Egypt.

But in another post I've given some of the facts your clearly divorced from.

------

People make the mistake of thinking that the past was better than the present, I mean anyone on the main stream media would give me the impression that before US involvement in the middle east that they were all dancing through rose pedals, swimming in wine and singing time away over there.

The area has been in civil unrest for at least the last 130 years, Blame it on the Empire or the Caliphate if you'd like but we Brits left the American's in a position to fix everything.

As for all the dictators some placed by America... Winston Churchill said it the best when reffering to America's foreign policy:

"...is the country that will always do the right thing but only after trying everything else."

We put Saddam in power to create stability, no one had a hint that he was a Megalomaniac until Kuwait we should have removed him from 1992 but we didn't that was the US's mistake.

Put it like this if the US never sent aide to the Egyptian Army, would the Army they have today be the same? We sent them aide for defensive purposes; according to NY times in a effort to block radicalisms and protect the nations sovereignty.

I can't even address your issue with Abdel Nasser only because it would take me too long to type all of the achievements he made for Egypt. He modernized Egypt in a way most of the Arab world wouldn’t come to know for another 20 years or so. Millions turned up to mourn his passing - I've never heard a negative argument about him really.

-----

As far as what is up to me and what isn't, sir or mam your jumping the gun, I never said Egyptians should do anything, I said "I couldn't see why having him removed would be a good thing."

-----

Secularism is part of the point, if you add god to politics you've already shot democracy in the foot. Clearly Nasser didn't impose a democracy or maybe he did but kept winning. =P

A common mistake about how the American democracy formed is to assume that the Pilgrims are the founders, I assure you if the Pilgrims who landed on Plymouth Rock crafted the American constitution America would be very different.

-----

As for Pakistan and nukes your going into Cold War here, they share a border with India who have been combating them for quite some time now and I'm honestly not sure for how long. I know the US has been supplying Pakistan with weapons in order to prevent them from going Nuclear it was in fact a  Indian scientists who sold the workings to the Pakistanis.

Your only error here is to assume that I'm saying that if Egypt goes any other  way than secular democracy that they will end up warring with the world, that's not what I'm saying, saying that would foolishly be saying that secular democracies don't fight.

If that's what you understood then that is not what I'm saying. I'm saying the condition of living won't have a chance of change unless the people put the will of the people first. Mubarak though he was many things was not against Egypt.

Now if the will of the Egyptian people should be to put Allah first or not, then that is their own issue, I've already said hat's off to them.


----

Yes, the pig culling was sheer stupidity.

 

Edit - Maybe I seem a bit detatched but it's actually for Egyptian well-fare that I'm arguing. All Egyptians, men and women.

-----



I'm Unamerica and you can too.

The Official Huge Monster Hunter Thread: 



The Hunt Begins 4/20/2010 =D

Mr Khan said:

Now we're gonna see something interesting. Hopefully the military runs this more like the Turkish military and not like the Iraqi military


Yep....



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Kasz216 said:
Mr Khan said:

Now we're gonna see something interesting. Hopefully the military runs this more like the Turkish military and not like the Iraqi military


Yep....

Indeed. That hope is the reason I'm happy that the military got ahold of the country.



Xen said:
Kasz216 said:
Mr Khan said:

Now we're gonna see something interesting. Hopefully the military runs this more like the Turkish military and not like the Iraqi military


Yep....

Indeed. That hope is the reason I'm happy that the military got ahold of the country.

Oh for sure.  I look at it like making it into the second round of a contest.  Reason to be happy... but I'm not going to throw a celebration until I know the final result.



Kasz216 said:
Xen said:
Kasz216 said:
Mr Khan said:

Now we're gonna see something interesting. Hopefully the military runs this more like the Turkish military and not like the Iraqi military


Yep....

Indeed. That hope is the reason I'm happy that the military got ahold of the country.

Oh for sure.  I look at it like making it into the second round of a contest.  Reason to be happy... but I'm not going to throw a celebration until I know the final result.

Neither am I, Egypt is just south from the border for me...



Xen said:
Kasz216 said:
Xen said:
Kasz216 said:
Mr Khan said:

Now we're gonna see something interesting. Hopefully the military runs this more like the Turkish military and not like the Iraqi military


Yep....

Indeed. That hope is the reason I'm happy that the military got ahold of the country.

Oh for sure.  I look at it like making it into the second round of a contest.  Reason to be happy... but I'm not going to throw a celebration until I know the final result.

Neither am I, Egypt is just south from the border for me...

I believe the military already made clear that they intend to work in a interim government until a peoples government can be established. They also made clear they do not intend to form a military government at all.



I'm Unamerica and you can too.

The Official Huge Monster Hunter Thread: 



The Hunt Begins 4/20/2010 =D

dib8rman said:
Xen said:
Kasz216 said:
Xen said:
Kasz216 said:
Mr Khan said:

Now we're gonna see something interesting. Hopefully the military runs this more like the Turkish military and not like the Iraqi military


Yep....

Indeed. That hope is the reason I'm happy that the military got ahold of the country.

Oh for sure.  I look at it like making it into the second round of a contest.  Reason to be happy... but I'm not going to throw a celebration until I know the final result.

Neither am I, Egypt is just south from the border for me...

I believe the military already made clear that they intend to work in a interim government until a peoples government can be established. They also made clear they do not intend to form a military government at all.

Things can turn just like that...