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Forums - Sales - *Prediction__Wii to sell 105 Million End Of 2011!*

thx1139 said:

Weekly update

Wii came in this week with 153,459 which is 109,947 lower than last year. A 42% drop.

For the year Wii is down 1,103,182 a 36% drop.


The 105 million prediction is not looking good. At this rate, it will be lucky to hit 100 million by years end even with a late price cut and killer software.



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thx1139 said:
trestres said:

Going by Americas and EMEAA data, if we add up the MC sales, Wii will be down 181k or 54% this week YoY. That's too much already.

I'm getting a Crazzyman vibe on this thread and that's not good (or is it lol)

I can't wish you good luck with this prediction since it's definitely not happening.

Dont understand the calculation.  From what I see week ending Feb 13 2010 Wii sold 263K and this year it looks like it will be about 153K.  Still a huge YoY drop, but not 181K. What am I missing?

LOL I was looking at 2009 numbers, my bad.



Proud poster of the 10000th reply at the Official Smash Bros Update Thread.

tag - "I wouldn't trust gamespot, even if it was a live comparison."

Bets with Conegamer:

Pandora's Tower will have an opening week of less than 37k in Japan. (Won!)
Pandora's Tower will sell less than 100k lifetime in Japan.
Stakes: 1 week of avatar control for each one.

Fullfilled Prophecies

Never doubt the Wii look at 2009 for example the Console has a history of surprising us 105 Mill Yes and Nintendo broke their 2010 FY Projection of 17.5 M so



Not by end of 2011 but lifetime definitely.



Ninten78 said:

Never doubt the Wii look at 2009 for example the Console has a history of surprising us 105 Mill Yes and Nintendo broke their 2010 FY Projection of 17.5 M so


Nintendo didn't break that projection yet and it's not 17.5 million anymore. They've lowered their estimations multiple times throughout the year (The original forecast was 18 million). They are actually expecting 16 million for the FY and I think that is still doubtful since they still have to ship 2.3 million Wii's during this quarter and sales are not anywhere near that if we go by actual weekly sales. They will barely manage the 16 million figure.



Proud poster of the 10000th reply at the Official Smash Bros Update Thread.

tag - "I wouldn't trust gamespot, even if it was a live comparison."

Bets with Conegamer:

Pandora's Tower will have an opening week of less than 37k in Japan. (Won!)
Pandora's Tower will sell less than 100k lifetime in Japan.
Stakes: 1 week of avatar control for each one.

Fullfilled Prophecies

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Weekly update

YoY YTD Wii now down 1,228,515 or 37%

Weekly YoY change Wii down 132,149 or 45%

 



Its libraries that sell systems not a single game.

*Please Stop Posting In This Thread...I am closing it now...If you would like to continue this conversation please go to my 2011 Sales Predictions Thread!



sadly its almost 2014 and its like at 101 million