Good point. Kinect can not push huge numbers because of its limited install base. It makes perfect sense.

The important thing is that Kinect is catching on big type. this will encourage developers to do two things. Make better quality games with higher budgets, and add kinect functionality to games that would still be playable without it.

I think Forza 4 is really showing how Kinect can enhance the experience for the everyday gamer. Kinect doesnt have to reinvent the way you play your traditional games, but it can still bring something new and interesting to the table.

Even if Kinect does not turn out to be a huge game changer it will still heavily influence the future of gaming. Microsoft hass upped the ante and the other companies will be forced to respond, much the same way Nintendo changed gaming with the launch of the Wii.

wow i didnt think that kinect could reach 5 mill by years end but it may even pass that, i stand corrected 

So next couple of weeks.

Looks like week ending the 11th Kinect sold over 800K

Week ending the 18th traditionally is higher so say 900K

Week ending the 25th traditionally even higer so say 1M

Week ending the 1st usually drops by about 50% so say 500K.

That will put Kinect at about 6.5M on January 2nd 2011.

i remember the previous thread that you made toastboy in which i said something along the lines of "it's too early to tell, i want to see the sales after the holiday is over".    now while i'm not particularly happy that kinect is selling so well with the current line-up of software, i must admit kinect's future looks bright. 

it's not a guarentee quite yet but i'd put my money on 20 M kinects being sold eventually.

So you think lots of people are spending $300 to play Kinect Adventures?

Hmm let me revise what I said. Good Software that meets the standards of everyones needs. It seems all the Motion control devices are having this problem.

Third parties for some reason seem to be baffled by motion controls and can't seem to make good games as a result. The only difference is while the Wii is littered with cheap rushed third party games, it at least had the strength of Nintendo's first and second party games to carry it. Kinect doesn't really have that. It's few quality titles; Dance Central, Kinect Sports, and Kinect Adventures, have basically been done already on the Wii. So consumers have little reason to go out and spend $300 on these three titles when they can basically play the same games on Wii for much cheaper, which already has a much bigger and stronger library of established titles.

Pretty much. I do have high hopes for the Move. I really want to see what Sonys 1st party studios can do.

I noticed my orgional prediction was 2.5m by January....

I think it shows Kinect is a hard thing to predict. What is certain is that MS obviously make a lot of profit from it and have a lot of price cut potential if/when it needs it. If it can do 6m by January then that is just mental. That would be like almost 20% of its userbase in just a couple of months. And ass that article points out nearly half of Kinect sales are new users so the whole "only people who own a 360 already will buy it" argument is dead.

No just like I dont believe that people bought the Wii initially for "JUST" Wii Sports. They expected to get other games in the future.  People that have played Dance Central and Kinect Sports at our house are getting Kinect for those as well.