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I noticed my orgional prediction was 2.5m by January....

I think it shows Kinect is a hard thing to predict. What is certain is that MS obviously make a lot of profit from it and have a lot of price cut potential if/when it needs it. If it can do 6m by January then that is just mental. That would be like almost 20% of its userbase in just a couple of months. And ass that article points out nearly half of Kinect sales are new users so the whole "only people who own a 360 already will buy it" argument is dead.