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Forums - Sales Discussion - PS3 to outship the X360 by the end of the 4th quarter? Oh yeh

DonFerrari said:
Squilliam said:

They don't even sell 4GB Arcades in my country. Is that a good enough indicator of shortages for people here?


They don't sell any move bundles here, is that enough to say there is major shortages?

not really because they are only sold in america... see what i did there, that is called logic



 

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Michael-5 said:

Wait what region are you from? I believe in some European Regions, the PS3 Move bundle is sold at $350 US dollars.

No. During the holidays, the Arcade Kinect bundle was around $250-$300, the 250G Kinect bundle was around $350-$400. The plain 160G PS3 (if available at all) sold for around $350, the 320G bundles (Asscreed/GT5) sold for around $450. Move stuff sold without rebates (but was barely in stock over holidays). MS was basically giving away free Kinects with their bundles, if you compare the prices. Very likely, there was some deal going on between MS and the Media Group, as MS owned the MG shops with advertisements/Kinect kiosks and total shelf space (for all console hardware) was basically 50% Kinect products. Very weird to see how strong MG/MS was pushing Kinect over the holidays.



AussieGecko said:
Squilliam said:

They don't even sell 4GB Arcades in my country. Is that a good enough indicator of shortages for people here?


surely they sell them with Kinect, that is the only way they are being sold in australia. We dont have arcade standalone 4gb's here.

I suspect thats a supply issue. 4GB Arcades would have both a lot of demand and the lowest margins of the two, so it makes sense that the 250GB supply is typically more ample. Since they essentially sold every 360 they made in 2010 and some they made for 2011, we probably won't get em until next year sometime.



Tease.

Squilliam said:

I suspect thats a supply issue. 4GB Arcades would have both a lot of demand and the lowest margins of the two, so it makes sense that the 250GB supply is typically more ample. Since they essentially sold every 360 they made in 2010 and some they made for 2011, we probably won't get em until next year sometime.


next year! Well the Elite's did come late, we got the Pro's (at least in dick smith in aus) sooo much earlier than the elites, then the elites streamed through and heavier with the price cut.

Maybe this is the prob why aus and nz sucks in game sales coz 1 we dont get stock and 2 our pricing is beyond ridiculous



 

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AussieGecko said:
DonFerrari said:
Squilliam said:

They don't even sell 4GB Arcades in my country. Is that a good enough indicator of shortages for people here?


They don't sell any move bundles here, is that enough to say there is major shortages?

not really because they are only sold in america... see what i did there, that is called logic

Yes more people here should use it.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

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Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

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drkohler said:
Michael-5 said:

Wait what region are you from? I believe in some European Regions, the PS3 Move bundle is sold at $350 US dollars.

No. During the holidays, the Arcade Kinect bundle was around $250-$300, the 250G Kinect bundle was around $350-$400. The plain 160G PS3 (if available at all) sold for around $350, the 320G bundles (Asscreed/GT5) sold for around $450. Move stuff sold without rebates (but was barely in stock over holidays). MS was basically giving away free Kinects with their bundles, if you compare the prices. Very likely, there was some deal going on between MS and the Media Group, as MS owned the MG shops with advertisements/Kinect kiosks and total shelf space (for all console hardware) was basically 50% Kinect products. Very weird to see how strong MG/MS was pushing Kinect over the holidays.

So how is the PS3 Move bundle offered at a ruduced price over the 360 Kinect bundles? Thats what confuses me.

You said "PS3 Move bundle would be a better option for casual and hardcore with its reduced price." you also said "No Kinect bundles other then the 4GB exist so far."

Now you acknowledge the 250GB Kinect bundle, but I still don't understand this point of reduced price.

If PS3 dropped its price in 2011, 360 would follow. Assuming a $50 price cut, a $350 250GB Kinect bundle would be the exact same price as a $350 PS3 Move Bundle.

Also a 4GB $250 Arcade Kinect bundle would appeal to gamers, hardcore and casual. 360's are built very differently from PS3's, your never forced to install games, and it doesn't really make a difference on 360's. Load times are generally much quicker on 360's then PS3's. I consider myself a hardcore gamer, and I play fine with my 20GB model, which only has 14GB of usable memory. I do have an 8GB thumb drive attached, but I still have more then enough space for all my games.

So a price cut on PS3 and 360 would not somehow help PS3 sales. If anything it would help 360 sales because PS3 an Wii owners could get a 360, with Kinect for only $250. Casual gamers getting a secondary console after their Wii don't need more then 4GB of memory, and PS3 gamers getting 360 as a secondary console won't fill those 4GB either, as they would probably play multi-console games on their PS3's. Also people who are really cheap will be able to afford a 360 without Kinect at $150, which could be a bigger factor then a $250 HD PS3 alltogether.



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Squilliam said:
AussieGecko said:
Squilliam said:

They don't even sell 4GB Arcades in my country. Is that a good enough indicator of shortages for people here?


surely they sell them with Kinect, that is the only way they are being sold in australia. We dont have arcade standalone 4gb's here.

I suspect thats a supply issue. 4GB Arcades would have both a lot of demand and the lowest margins of the two, so it makes sense that the 250GB supply is typically more ample. Since they essentially sold every 360 they made in 2010 and some they made for 2011, we probably won't get em until next year sometime.

I noticed here in Canada that EB Games and Gamestops actually ran out of Kinect bundles all together, so they made their own 360 Arcade Kinect bundles for $300. However in January, the only 360's left on shelves were the 4GB Arcade models, everything else was sold out.



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Michael-5 said:
drkohler said:
Michael-5 said:

Wait what region are you from? I believe in some European Regions, the PS3 Move bundle is sold at $350 US dollars.

No. During the holidays, the Arcade Kinect bundle was around $250-$300, the 250G Kinect bundle was around $350-$400. The plain 160G PS3 (if available at all) sold for around $350, the 320G bundles (Asscreed/GT5) sold for around $450. Move stuff sold without rebates (but was barely in stock over holidays). MS was basically giving away free Kinects with their bundles, if you compare the prices. Very likely, there was some deal going on between MS and the Media Group, as MS owned the MG shops with advertisements/Kinect kiosks and total shelf space (for all console hardware) was basically 50% Kinect products. Very weird to see how strong MG/MS was pushing Kinect over the holidays.

So how is the PS3 Move bundle offered at a ruduced price over the 360 Kinect bundles? Thats what confuses me.

You said "PS3 Move bundle would be a better option for casual and hardcore with its reduced price." you also said "No Kinect bundles other then the 4GB exist so far."

Now you acknowledge the 250GB Kinect bundle, but I still don't understand this point of reduced price.

If PS3 dropped its price in 2011, 360 would follow. Assuming a $50 price cut, a $350 250GB Kinect bundle would be the exact same price as a $350 PS3 Move Bundle.

Also a 4GB $250 Arcade Kinect bundle would appeal to gamers, hardcore and casual. 360's are built very differently from PS3's, your never forced to install games, and it doesn't really make a difference on 360's. Load times are generally much quicker on 360's then PS3's. I consider myself a hardcore gamer, and I play fine with my 20GB model, which only has 14GB of usable memory. I do have an 8GB thumb drive attached, but I still have more then enough space for all my games.

So a price cut on PS3 and 360 would not somehow help PS3 sales. If anything it would help 360 sales because PS3 an Wii owners could get a 360, with Kinect for only $250. Casual gamers getting a secondary console after their Wii don't need more then 4GB of memory, and PS3 gamers getting 360 as a secondary console won't fill those 4GB either, as they would probably play multi-console games on their PS3's. Also people who are really cheap will be able to afford a 360 without Kinect at $150, which could be a bigger factor then a $250 HD PS3 alltogether.


You demmand logic but don't use it everytime. As PS3 is more expensive it also have more potencial to price cut, and in the way they are now PS3 isn't selling much less... So i can see a price cut being more favorable to PS3 in this case being that would enter a more affordable range, and would possibly have a cut deeper than Xbox.

Anyway, all 3 are doing great.

EDIT: let's move to hate Apple and istuffs, as Nintendo Rep said that the cheap games are destroying the market...

now for everyone but sony the threat scale is: Cheap Games > Pre-owned Games >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Hackers (and the best part is a lot of users agree with it)



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

4k1x3r said:
Michael-5 said:
ethomaz said:
Michael-5 said:
ethomaz said:
 

Are you kidding?  Because after adjustments PS3 just lost 4-5 weeks in the holidays (and two in Reach and Kinect launch)... won everthing else in 2010.

PS3 was above 360 when they launched Move and before Kinect. Post Kinect, 360 was ontop, and that was the better selling portion of 2010. After all 360 had 2 million selling weeks, PS3 had zero and wasn't even close.

To be fair...

Q1 2010 (Jan-Mar): 3,293,806 (PS3) - 2,222,768 (360) = 1,071,038 lead for PS3
Q2 2010 (Apr-Jun): 2,235,719 (PS3) - 1,691,876 (360) = 543,843 lead for PS3
Q3 2010 (Jul-Set): 2,644,152 (360) - 2,370,451 (PS3) = 273,701 lead for 360 (Slim effect)
Q4 2010 (Oct-Dec): 7,047,842 (360) - 6,543,553 (PS3) = 504,289 lead for 360 (Slim Kinect effect)

 Even with 2 million week in holidays the 360 lead was near 500k... and the marjority weeks of Q4 2010 was won by PS3 because 360 made it 500k most in December... sumary of weeks won by 360 in 2010:

Week Ending 19th Jun 2010 by 1,041 (tied?)
Week Ending 26th Jun 2010 by 54,996
Week Ending 03rd Jul 2010 by 26,998
Week Ending 10th Jul 2010 by 1,985 (tied?)
Week Ending 17th Jul 2010 by 162,437
Week Ending 24th Jul 2010 by 71,964
Week Ending 31st Jul 2010 by 7,558 (tied?)
Week Ending 07th Aug 2010 by 24,066
Week Ending 21st Aug 2010 by 6,192 (tied?)
Week Ending 28th Aug 2010 by 1,986 (tied?)
Week Ending 04th Sep 2010 by 2,343 (tied?)
Week Ending 11th Sep 2010 by 6,000 (tied?)
Week Ending 18th Sep 2010 by 63,632
Week Ending 06th Nov 2010 by 45,875
Week Ending 13th Nov 2010 by 140,363
Week Ending 20th Nov 2010 by 106,307
Week Ending 27th Nov 2010 by 117,676
Week Ending 04th Dec 2010 by 43,009
Week Ending 11th Dec 2010 by 71,305
Week Ending 18th Dec 2010 by 162,693
Week Ending 25th Dec 2010 by 181,363

21 of 52 weeks win by 360 but just 14 with signifcative margin... at the end 360 outsold PS3 just 700k in second semester and 500k in holidays.

Of course... these cenario is with no more adjustments... but PS3 was under 100k in UK in 2010 VGC data.

So look at what you posted. Post E3 2010 the 360 outsold the PS3 21/29 weeks. The weeks PS3 beat MS were the month and a half where PS3 released the Move, but Kinect was unreleased, a week in August when Sony released a limited White PS3 in Japan along with 2 exclusives there, and the very last week in the year, after christmas, when MS started experiencing shortages.

Profound shortages, MS has to tell retailers to sell their January-February stock in order to just meet holiday demands. How profound were these shortages still experienced by up to last week data? Well in 2010 Sony shipped 2.30 million more PS3 units, despite only selling 0.79 million more units.

Hence, shipped units are misleading! Obviously MS being experiencing shortages from unexpectedly strong holiday sales are affecting the shipped console difference.

So just like how PS3 was outselling 360 from September 2009-June 2010 due to the Slim PS3, I expect the 360 to outsell the PS3 (so long as supply can meet demand) from November 2010 to at least E3 2011.

The facts you gave support this. 700k more units sold in 2010 since the 360 Slim, and it could have realistically been 800k had shortages not been seen. 360 outselling PS3 on all weeks except for a temporary period after Move, but before Kinect. etc.

I've made my point.

Bold1 : Prove me that, I'm still waiting for a link of several source complaining about "profound" X360 shortages

Bold 2: so you're basically saying that shortages are responsible of 100k units less :) glad to see you're finally being rational  dude. :)

By the way, PS3 "is not even close to 1m this year", yea, but I still think it's undertracked, 300k on shelves for Microsoft and 1.6m for Sony, sorry I'm still not buying that thing.

But look at it differently: Those are the two weeks x360 was over 1m:

ConsoleWeekly (change)Total
Wii 1,553,206 ( 8%) 81,480,530
DS 1,402,018 ( 15%) 141,723,975
X360 1,060,849 ( 38%) 48,801,570
PS3 898,156 ( 28%) 44,857,004
PSP 502,919 ( 14%) 64,503,899
PS2 227,171 ( 16%) 141,220,806
Total5,644,319( 19%)  
ConsoleWeekly (change)Total
DS 1,588,618 ( 13%) 143,312,593
Wii 1,563,622 ( 1%) 83,044,152
X360 1,114,283 ( 5%) 49,915,853
PS3 932,920 ( 4%) 45,789,924
PSP 560,041 ( 11%) 65,063,940
PS2 261,549 ( 15%) 141,482,355
Total6,021,033( 7%)  

"PS3 not even close to it" Oh, 100k and 70k is not close? Well look at the two weeks where PS3 was over 1m in 2009:

ConsoleWeekly (change)Total
DS 1,792,776 ( 17%) 119,792,235
Wii 1,757,136 ( 18%) 62,459,336
PS3 1,024,938 ( 37%) 30,341,553
X360 674,272 ( 26%) 35,732,817
PSP 558,321 ( 22%) 55,015,953
PS2 286,225 ( 20%) 136,919,129
Total6,093,668( 22%)
ConsoleWeekly (change)Total
Wii 1,963,418 ( 12%) 64,422,754
DS 1,893,089 ( 6%) 121,685,324
PS3 1,006,234 (-2%) 31,347,787
X360 741,510 ( 10%) 36,474,327
PSP 638,030 ( 14%) 55,653,983
PS2 283,568 (-1%) 137,202,697
Total6,525,849( 7%)

"That's" what I call not even close to it. :) And if PS3 keep being outsold by X360 by less than 20k per week, not to be happy about, still won't match the 40/70k gap they had last year, fovarable to PS3. :)

WE will see. Xbox by the end of the year was no where to be found. As for only 300,000k on the shelf. What so wrong with that? everytime they hit the shelf they came off the shelf. Trying to find a xbox a week before christmas was a joke and after christmas was even more of a joke.

I bought one before christmas because my mom wanted kinect and had to drive two hours away just to get one and they only had 3 available . My cousin bought one after new year and had a hell of a time trying to get the system. Took him a week to track down a system and that was without kinect. He had to buy a stand alone kinect unit.



haxxiy said:
Pirateogta said:
Gilgamesh said:

I believe it's going to happen now that we really seen the numbers and what Move has done, the PS3 is selling number one and is looking to be the number one console for the Holidays. If GT5 releases this year which it should sales are really going to explode.

Sure the PS3 will probably not pass the X360 in actual sold numbers but shipped? I think so.


I doubt the PS3 will outsell the 360 for a single week for a long, LONG time after Kinect launches, but who knows about the ridiculous shipped numbers. They pretty much mean nothing. Every tracker (VGChartz, NPD, Media Create) showed that the PS3 sold far less in the Apr-June 2010 quarter than the previous quarter, but according to Sony it shipped more units. And anyone with any sense knows that there is no way the PS3 shipped 700,000 units more than the 360 this quarter with the release of the Slim, Halo: Reach, etc. It's almost laughable.


Nice way to begin posting, dude. You won't last far that way .

Go check ioi's explanation for the adjusments and learn a bit about how the market works before insulting everyone by posting such BS.


No actually bud he is right, taking into account the dramatic increase when the slim and Reach came out, PS3 wasn't ahead of the 360 again till late Nov.. As for the shipped number, those ABSOLUTELY DO NOT MATTER, all that matters is the sold-through number.

 

Sony could ship 10 million consoles tomorrow, but if they can't sell that number in the market frame then those units are shipped back. The number of PS3s on shelves compared to the sell-through by MS is not even close. When the actually sell-through number come in from Sony whenever they choose to release them, they will be way behind, just like the Move.