Predict how many Japanese 3m sellers Wii will get | |||
| Just the 3 it has already... | 1 | 3.03% | |
| 4 | 1 | 3.03% | |
| 5 | 7 | 21.21% | |
| 6 | 11 | 33.33% | |
| 7 or more | 13 | 39.39% | |
| Total: | 33 | ||
jarrod said:
It has 2 contoller bundles actually, blue or pink Wiimote. |
damn!
Wii Play almost certainly won't though
I voted 5..But thinking about it I think I shoulda voted 6. DQ, MK, and WFP I feel will all cross it. I don't think Resort will or Wii Party will. They will certainly top 2m though.
Bet between Slimbeast and Arius Dion about Wii sales 2009:
If the Wii sells less than 20 million in 2009 (as defined by VGC sales between week ending 3d Jan 2009 to week ending 4th Jan 2010) Slimebeast wins and get to control Arius Dion's sig for 1 month.
If the Wii sells more than 20 million in 2009 (as defined above) Arius Dion wins and gets to control Slimebeast's sig for 1 month.
Should be at least six, possibly as high as ten.
Dragon Quest X, New Super Mario Bros. Wii, Wii Fit, Wii Sports, Wii Play, Mario Kart Wii, Wii Sports Resort, Wii Fit Plus, Wii Party, and perhaps one other Wii- ___ entry, like Wii Relax.
Some probably won't make 3m, but will top 2m. Probably one or two of the Wii-games don't make 3m. Mario Party 9 / DKC Wii could fall in here too.
Seven-eight games over 3m lifetime for Wii in Japan, probably 10-12 over 2m. Not bad really - and obviously a second Dragon Quest or some other crazy announcement could up the figures a bit.
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
MK Wii and DQX definitely there, so thats 5. i dont know if they can get another killer IP which will get 3m sales. DK is probably the closest thing to that right now, but maybe 2 million is the barrier for it.
Im gonna go with 6 cause i do think Nintendo can come up with another game to add to their list
Current:
- New Super Mario Bros Wii ----- 3,938,791
- Wii Sports ----- 3,653,124
- Wii Fit ----- 3,560,889
A Lock:
(Total sales for the end of the generation)
- Mario Kart Wii ----- 2,830,338 (3,500,000)
- Wii Play ----- 2,776,759 (3,000,000)
- Dragon Quest X ------ (3,000,000 - 3,300,000)
50/50:
- Wii Fit Plus ----- 2,058,105 (2,800,000 - 3,000,000)
- Wii Party ----- (2,500,000 - 3,000,000) mainly because of the wiimote bundle.
Unlikely:
- Wii Sports Resort ----- 1,909,639 (2,500,000 - 2,700,000)
- Wii Relax?
I'm surprised that 7 or more is leading the poll. I probably should've gone further with the number options.
For reference, here's what other systems have managed in terms of 3m sellers historically by the same standard...
I reckon around 7.
The 3 it has already,
DQX,
MKWii,
Wii Fit Plus,
And perhaps Wii Party
Of course, there's always Wii Sports Resort, Donkey Kong Country Returns, and perhaps another new IP which Nintendo creates.
If there's one thing you can predict about Nintendo this gen, it's that they're unpredictable...
I say 6.
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