Mistwaker will drop MS, despite the fact that ASH bombed? Yeah right.

Lost Odyssey cost less to make than Blue Dragon, last time I checked. It was UE3, and because it didn't use an in-house engine, it wasn't as expensive.


IMO, we should see sales like:

150k first week
300-350k LTD.

I don't understand the whole "people won't buy it. Kaim looks like a girl" when FFXII's Vaan (the main character) was vastly more feminine, and sold 6m+ copies.

First Week 100K

Lifetime 50K ( half of them will take it back) 

indeed vann was a sheman whole way through.......

125K first week.
250K LTD.

World wide 750,000 copies LTD and the game won't break even (not because of a high budget for the game itself but considering the bribe MS had to give Sakaguchi), but on the whole it will be considered worth it by MS since the game is a crucial part of strengthening the X360 in Japan.

 Im sorry lost but i think this game has a much larger budget then 10 million. Plus the blank check they gave sakaguchi and nobou, I dont think this game will break even for MS, but i dont think they care either.

Speaking of killzones 2 budget. That game will never break even. I would have rather seen a couple new IP'sor sony pay off kojima for mgs4 exclusitivty than waste all that money on kz2.

blue dragon do 84 when there is only 200K hardware

LO is much bigger than BD and has 500K software
I will not be surprised if it hit 200K in its first week !!
I think between 140K - 180K

Mistwalker want to sell games.

It's all very well to sit on a big paycheck from MS and watch Blue Dragon crawl its way to 200K in Japan even after the budget release, but that's not where they want to be.  They want gamers to be playing their games, and they want to be competing with the big boys.

How much longer do you think they want to develop for a system that is selling 5000 units a week in Japan?

Mistwaker wants to sell games. Thats why they made ASH, and ASH did worse than Blue Dragon did.

Sakaguchi said he would be happy if Blue Dragon sold 100k. It's sold double that, and is still charting on the X360 1 year after launch.

How much longer does Sakaguchi want a paycheck for what he does? We've already seen that despite how big ASH was supposed to be, with it's cutscenes and huge 2Gb cart, that it did well under Blue Dragon's opening week, on a system that had almost 100 times the hardware sold when BD launched versus ASH.

Microsoft pays Sakaguchi to make games. Microsoft gives Sakaguchi the ability to make whatever games he wants, since it's his studio. Not only that, they ensure that their venture remains profitable, since any discrepancy with sales is re-couped with Microsoft. Isn't that what Sakaguchi wants? To make games that sell, and keep him, and his other developers, paid?

I don't really see why you keep referencing ASH. The DS is swamped with RPGs, while the 360 is begging for them.

Look at the JPN install base of the 360 now, compared to how it was a year ago when BD came out. It is hardly any different.

Mistwalker hyped themselves up too much with their uber team of meisters, and while they promised so much, so far they have delivered very little (including ASH). If they aren't careful they are going to get swept aside. As it stands, they have precious little time before some big hitting RPGs hit the PS3. Level 5's White Knight Story looks set to be huge. Lost Odyssey ,or any other effort on the 360 isn't going to be able to compete. I don't think that is what Sakaguchi wants.

Also, while MS may be made of money, they do draw the line somewhere. So far this collaboration with Mistwalker hasn't exactly paid off...

Look how wrong we all were. Game almost flopped and the X360 is now officially dead in Japan.