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Forums - Sales - EA Excited over Ps3 sales "Target"

NJ5 on 02 December 2007
darthdevidem said:
@nj5

in that case

"unprecedented channel stuffing"

unless SONY wishes to get HUGE bad Media stuff

Stuffing the channel during Christmas may be possible, but the fiscal year ends in March... It's of no use to stuff the channel now if that means they won't sell any PS3 during January-March.

This was predictable, there were discussions about this many months ago in this website. They should have decreased their forecast earlier (unless they think it's better to delay bad news).

 



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kirby007 on 02 December 2007
HappySqurriel said:
kirby007 said:
HappySqurriel said:

I don't see it happening ... The PS3 remains the worst selling console on the market in the middle of the Christmas shopping season after having a price cut and releasing all of their good games that are due before their fiscal year end; after Christmas the PS3 will likely return to average sales in the 333,000 per month range.


since pricecut lowest amount of ps3 sold is about 140k in a week.


Since the price cut the Wii has averaged over 400,000 per week ... There is a little shopping event called "Christmas" which impacts the rate things sell at which happens to end well before Sony's fiscal year


sorry, u are right...



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

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Sullla on 02 December 2007
leo-j said:
Its nowhere near impossible.

If it hits 8 million by december 31st, it has to sell a million units per month. They might make it.

*Sigh* This is NOT correct. OK, for the hundredth time, let's go over exactly what Sony has to do again.

Sony has projected that they will sell (to retailers) 11m units for this current fiscal year. That means that between April 1 2007 and March 31 2008, they plan to sell (to retailers) those 11m units. Prior to April 2007, Sony had sold (to retailers again) 3.6m units. They must therefore sell 14.6m units to retailers by the end of March 2008; even accounting for retailers holding a lot of those units in inventory, the PS3 must sell-through at least 13.5m to consumers for there to be any chance of that coming true. (They cannot simply stuff PS3s in warehouses any more and claim to have met their selling goals, as Sony did at the end of their 2007 fiscal year.) Over the first six months of this year, Sony only sold 2.02m to retailers... leaving them 9m short of their goal.

To recap:

Sold prior to this fiscal year: 3.6m
Target for this fiscal year: 11m
Sold thus far (through six months): 2.02m
Needed LTD sell-through by March 2008: ~13-14m

Even though holiday sales have ticked up for the PS3, it's not going to end up much higher than 8m life to date before the end of the year. That means the PS3 will have to sell almost 6m in the first quarter of 2008 - in other words, double the sales of the holiday quarter. If you really think that's going to happen, I've got some seaside real estate in Nebraska to sell you. I don't know what kind of crack they're smoking at EA, but this is simply a sales impossibility. Expect Sony to come up between 2-3m short of their projections.



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End of 2008 totals: Wii 42m, 360 24m, PS3 18.5m (made Jan. 4, 2008)

kirby007 on 02 December 2007
Sullla said:
leo-j said:
Its nowhere near impossible.

If it hits 8 million by december 31st, it has to sell a million units per month. They might make it.

*Sigh* This is NOT correct. OK, for the hundredth time, let's go over exactly what Sony has to do again.

Sony has projected that they will sell (to retailers) 11m units for this current fiscal year. That means that between April 1 2007 and March 31 2008, they plan to sell (to retailers) those 11m units. Prior to April 2007, Sony had sold (to retailers again) 3.6m units. They must therefore sell 14.6m units to retailers by the end of March 2008; even accounting for retailers holding a lot of those units in inventory, the PS3 must sell-through at least 13.5m to consumers for there to be any chance of that coming true. (They cannot simply stuff PS3s in warehouses any more and claim to have met their selling goals, as Sony did at the end of their 2007 fiscal year.) Over the first six months of this year, Sony only sold 2.02m to retailers... leaving them 9m short of their goal.

To recap:

Sold prior to this fiscal year: 3.6m
Target for this fiscal year: 11m
Sold thus far (through six months): 2.02m
Needed LTD sell-through by March 2008: ~13-14m

Even though holiday sales have ticked up for the PS3, it's not going to end up much higher than 8m life to date before the end of the year. That means the PS3 will have to sell almost 6m in the first quarter of 2008 - in other words, double the sales of the holiday quarter. If you really think that's going to happen, I've got some seaside real estate in Nebraska to sell you. I don't know what kind of crack they're smoking at EA, but this is simply a sales impossibility. Expect Sony to come up between 2-3m short of their projections.


 o really?



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

kcua_626 on 02 December 2007

^^

2-3 mil short only by your calculations? I'm seeing around 4-5 mil



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darthdevidem on 02 December 2007

Yes well EA is EA in the end



Supporter of

 SONY & Nintendo

 Consoles owned - SNES, N64, PS, GC, PS2, PSP, PS3

 I DO NOT support Xbox

My prediction for YEARS END:

WII - 18.3 Million

Xbox 360 - 15 Million

Playstation 3 - 8.5 Million

rudyrsr8 on 02 December 2007
darthdevidem said:

So please EA, now no more crappy ports!!

 Isn't that wat EA does best though? lol 

 



"Like you know"

tuggy on 02 December 2007

STOP BUYING PS3



Carazo on 02 December 2007

White Knight Story, Devil May Cry 4, Disgaea 3 are comming the first quarter next year for the PS3 in Japan, and those games are going to give it a huge boost in this country, but other than that I don't know which games could give the PS3 a boost in Europe and America during this period of time



Bodhesatva on 02 December 2007

Okay, it's quite apparent that EA is silly and that Sony will not reach their shipping targets. That's simply a pipe dream, no matter what EA says.

On the other hand, this probably does represent a general uptick in interest in the PS3, and that's a very good thing for Sony. When we just use this comment by EA to show "hey, looks like the PS3 has more interest now, particularly from a developer like EA," then that's a good thing. 



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