Galaki said:
theprof00 said:
Galaki said: Yeah, a survey of 1000 is very... researchy.
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have you taken college-level stats?
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I don't think you even need schooling here. GT5, a single game, is going to sell 6 millions PS3. Don't tell me you are going to believe that.
The survey sound fishy to me.
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Well, for one, take into context where the study was done. It is an American based study, that doesn't just use 1000 gamers.... it uses 1000 gamers every week cumulatively, and has a surprising amount of backing and credential http://www.otxresearch.com/
So, looking at the American market, only 7.15M gt3s (the 15M selling iteration) sold in the US. So, that means 2.788M people planning to get it, less than hald of the number you have above.
Secondly, the last gt on ps2 only sold 10m, because there was also a gt4p on ps2 that cut into sales a bit. Out of that 10M, only 2.7M were sold in the US. 39% of which would be 1M consoles. This is 1/6th of the number you put up.
Now, forget about everyone buying those at the same time. We aren't going to see 1m people buy ps3s when gt5 comes out. Many of those people are going to buy it earlier or later, or even buy them used, or at christmas time... so really we are only looking at maybe 30% of that 1M people buying it at launch, which makes sense for a game of that caliber.