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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Nintendo 2024 OpenCritic Prediction League - Final Results!

Welcome to the Nintendo 2024 OpenCritic Prediction League! Since last year's threads went fairly well I've decided to continue them this year with a few changes to the rules to make it just a tad easier for myself.

The Rules:

  • When you place at least 3 predictions, I will add you to the list of participants which will be written in the same order for each game. I’ll tag all the participants if more games are added later on. You can still throw out 1 or 2 loose predictions without entering, but I won’t write you up in that case.
  • Scores are tallied about a month after release for each game. If the score should change after that it won’t affect the points (since that's very rare anyways).
  • You can change or post a prediction up until the first reviews show up. Make sure to make a new post if you want to change a previous prediction.

Scoring:

Prediction same as actual score 10 points
1-point difference 9 points
2-point difference 8 points
3-point difference 7 points
4-point difference 6 points
5-point difference 5 points
6-point difference 4 points
7-point difference 3 points
8-point difference 2 points
9-point difference 1 point
10-point difference or more 0 points
Closest prediction bonus +2 points

The Leaderboard:

User Total Points Point Average Closest Predictions
NobleTeam360 76 7,6 4
Machina 69 5.75 2
Darwinianevolution 68 5.66 2
Wman1996 68 5.66 1
Mar1217 64 6.4 1
DroidKnight 61 5.08 0
UnderwaterFunktown 53 4.41 0
firebush03 53 4.41 1
Shtinamin_ 41 5.85 1
Shikamo 38 5.42 1

The Games:

Though 2024 is looking a little slower for Nintendo going into the year, we do have 5 confirmed titles to predict for (though 4 of them are remakes/remasters). There's definetly also the possibility of an announcement of a new systems and games for it later in the year so anything can still happen. If I'm missing a notable game let me know about it. Let the predictions begin!

Another Code: Recollection (January 19)

Score: 75

User Prediction Difference Points
UnderwaterFunktown 79 4 6
DroidKnight 77 2 8
Shikamo 81 6 4
NobleTeam360 76 1 11
Machina 69 6 4
firebush03 67 8 2
Shtinamin_ 72 3 8
Mar1217 77 2 8
Wman1996 79 4 8
Darwinianevolution 78 3 7

Mario vs. Donkey Kong (February 16)

Score: 77

User Prediction Difference Points
UnderwaterFunktown 72 5 5
DroidKnight 82 5 5
Shikamo 74 3 7
NobleTeam360 77 0 12
Machina 79 2 8
firebush03 73 4 6
Shtinamin_ 79 2 8
Mar1217 76 1 9
Wman1996 78 1 8
Darwinianevolution 73 4 6

Princess Peach: Showtime! (March 22)

Score: 75

User Prediction Difference Points
UnderwaterFunktown 81 6 4
DroidKnight 81 6 4
Shikamo 83 8 2
NobleTeam360 80 5 7
Machina 81 6 4
firebush03 85 10 0
Shtinamin_ 92 17 0
Mar1217 82 7 3
Wman1996 81 6 4
Darwinianevolution 85 10 0

Endless Ocean Luminous (May 2)


Score: 62

User Prediction Difference Points
UnderwaterFunktown 72 10 0
DroidKnight 75 13 0
Shikamo 76 14 0
NobleTeam360
Machina 77 15 0
firebush03 77 15 0
Shtinamin_ 81 19 0
Mar1217
Wman1996 71 9 3
Darwinianevolution 74 12 0

Paper Mario: The Thousand Year Door (May 23)


Score: 89

User Prediction Difference Points
UnderwaterFunktown 85 4 6
DroidKnight 84 5 5
Shikamo 88 1 9
NobleTeam360 89 0 12
Machina 83 6 4
firebush03 87 2 8
Shtinamin_ 88 1 8
Mar1217 84 5 5
Wman1996 86 3 8
Darwinianevolution 84 5 5

Super Monkey Ball Banana Rumble (June 25)

Score: 77

User Prediction Difference Points
UnderwaterFunktown 74 3 7
DroidKnight 73 4 6
Shikamo 71 6 4
NobleTeam360
Machina 71 6 4
firebush03 68 9 1
Shtinamin_ 79 2 10
Mar1217
Wman1996 70 7 3
Darwinianevolution 70 7 3

Luigi’s Mansion 2 HD (June 27)


Score: 78

User Prediction Difference Points
UnderwaterFunktown 76 2 8
DroidKnight 73 5 5
Shikamo 78 0 12
NobleTeam360 84 6 4
Machina 78 0 12
firebush03 76 2 8
Shtinamin_ 75 3 7
Mar1217 79 1 9
Wman1996 80 2 8
Darwinianevolution 77 1 9

Nintendo World Championships: NES Edition (July 18)

Score: 70

User Prediction Difference Points
UnderwaterFunktown 79 9 1
DroidKnight 75 5 5
Shikamo
NobleTeam360 75 5 5
Machina 78 8 2
firebush03 81 11 0
Shtinamin_
Mar1217 76 6 4
Wman1996 77 7 3
Darwinianevolution 72 2 10

Emio - The Smiling Man: Famicom Detective Club (August 29)

Score: 76

User Prediction Difference Points
UnderwaterFunktown 84 8 2
DroidKnight 79 3 7
Shikamo
NobleTeam360 80 4 6
Machina 78 2 8
firebush03 76 0 12
Shtinamin_
Mar1217 81 5 5
Wman1996 79 3 7
Darwinianevolution 73 3 7

The Legend of Zelda: Echoes of Wisdom (September 26)

Score: 86

User Prediction Difference Points
UnderwaterFunktown 81 4 6
DroidKnight 89 4 6
Shikamo
NobleTeam360 88 3 7
Machina 85 0 12
firebush03 91 6 4
Shtinamin_
Mar1217 88 3 7
Wman1996 84 1 9
Darwinianevolution 91 6 4

Super Mario Party Jamboree (October 17)

Score: 81

User Prediction Difference Points
UnderwaterFunktown 78 3 7
DroidKnight 80 1 9
Shikamo
NobleTeam360 80 1 9
Machina 77 4 6
firebush03 82 1 9
Shtinamin_
Mar1217 81 0 12
Wman1996 78 3 7
Darwinianevolution 80 1 9

Mario & Luigi: Brothership (November 7)

Score: 79

User Prediction Difference Points
UnderwaterFunktown 86 9 1
DroidKnight 86 9 1
Shikamo
NobleTeam360 84 7 3
Machina 82 5 5
firebush03 84 7 3
Shtinamin_
Mar1217 85 8 2
Wman1996 87 10 0
Darwinianevolution 81 4 10

Other Leagues:

PlayStation League

Xbox League

Multiplat League

Last edited by UnderwaterFunktown - on 18 December 2024

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2025 OpenCritic Prediction Leagues

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I'm gonna go ahead and tag some of the more active predictors from last year in case you want to re-enter. For info there's probably ~2 weeks to place predictions for the first game (Another Code: Recollection)

@Kakadu18 @Kyuu @NobleTeam360 @Darwinianevolution @mZuzek @DroidKnight @Wman1996 @Mar1217 @peachbuggy @Shikamo

Also gonna throw down my own predictions:

  • Another Code: Recollection - 79
  • Mario vs. Donkey Kong - 72
  • Princess Peach: Showtime - 81
  • Luigi’s Mansion 2 HD - 76
  • Paper Mario: The Thousand Year Door - 85

Hopefully there'll be more games announced later on



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2025 OpenCritic Prediction Leagues

Another Code Recollection - 77
Mario vs Donkey Kong - 82
Princess Peach Showtime - 81
Luigi's Mansion 2 HD - 73
Paper Mario The Thousand-Year Door - 84



...to avoid getting banned for inactivity, I may have to resort to comments that are of a lower overall quality and or beneath my moral standards.

My Predictions: 


Another Code: Recollection - 81
Mario vs. Donkey Kong - 74
Princess Peach: Showtime - 83
Luigi’s Mansion 2 HD - 78
Paper Mario: The Thousand Year Door - 88



SteamMyAnimeList and Twitter - PSN: Gustavo_Valim - Switch FC: 6390-8693-0129 (=^・ω・^=)

Another Code: 76
Mario vs Donkey Kong: 77
Princess Peach: 80
Luigi's Mansion 2 HD: 84
Paper Mario TTYD: 89



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Another Code: Recollection - 69 (no idea)
Mario vs. Donkey Kong - 79
Princess Peach: Showtime - 81
Luigi’s Mansion 2 HD - 78
Paper Mario: The Thousand Year Door - 83



Another Code Recollection - 67
Mario vs Donkey Kong - 73
Princess Peach Showtime - 85
Luigi's Mansion 2 HD - 78
Paper Mario The Thousand-Year Door - 85



My Predictions in regards to what is confirmed for release:


Another Code: Recollection - 72
Mario vs. Donkey Kong - 79
Princess Peach: Showtime - 92
Luigi’s Mansion 2 HD - 75
Paper Mario: The Thousand Year Door - 88



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 160 million (was 120 million, then 140 million, then 150 million)

PS5: 130 million (was 124 million)

Xbox Series X/S: 54 million (was 60 million, then 57 million)

"The way to accomplish great things, is to be indefatigable and never rest till the thing is accomplished." - Joseph Smith Jr.

Leeezzz gooo ! Ready for another year, although this one's gonna be much lighter in big hitters, it seems the predictions will be less obvious.

Another Code Recollection - 77
Mario vs Donkey Kong - 76
Princess Peach Showtime ! - 82
Luigi's Mansion 2 HD - 79
Paper Mario The Thousand Year Door Remake - 84



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

"This is where the fun begins."
Another Code Recollection - 79
Mario vs Donkey Kong - 78
Princess Peach Showtime! - 81
Luigi's Mansion 2 HD - 80
Paper Mario The Thousand Year Door Remake - 86



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)

PS5: 115 million (was 105 million) Xbox Series S/X: 40 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million. then 48 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima