Forums - Sales Discussion - How Much Do You Expect the Nintendo Switch to Sell Lifetime?

How Much Do You Expect the Nintendo Switch to Sell Lifetime?

Less Than 35 Million 74 3.83%
 
35-50 Million 155 8.02%
 
51-65 Million 209 10.81%
 
66-80 Million 461 23.85%
 
81-95 Million 448 23.18%
 
96-110 Million 343 17.74%
 
111-125 Million 91 4.71%
 
126-140 Million 47 2.43%
 
141-155 Million 17 0.88%
 
More Than 155 Million 88 4.55%
 
Total:1,933

This week's front page poll.

So in past week's we've got site visitors' predictions on where the PS4 and Xbox One will end up. Those results were as follows:

PS4:

Less Than 90 Million 66 3.52%
 
90-100 Million 245 13.08%
 
101-110 Million 452 24.13%
 
111-120 Million 517 27.60%
 
121-130 Million 384 20.50%
 
131-140 Million 83 4.43%
 
141-150 Million 33 1.76%
 
151-160 Million 18 0.96%
 
161-170 Million 6 0.32%
 
More Than 170 Million 69 3.68%
 

Xbox One:

How Much Do You Expect the Xbox One to Sell Lifetime?
Less Than 45 Million 376 20.25%
 
45-50 Million 532 28.65%
 
51-55 Million 431 23.21%
 
56-60 Million 284 15.29%
 
61-65 Million 91 4.90%
 
66-70 Million 54 2.91%
 
71-75 Million 25 1.35%
 
76-80 Million 5 0.27%
 
81-85 Million 8 0.43%
 
More Than 85 Million 51 2.75%
 

Now it's time to predict the Switch's end point. The options range from the console basically dying tomorrow for some bizarre reason, to it selling the most consoles in the history of the industry (a record still held by the PS2). This one should make for interesting viewing a few years from now!

Last edited by Machina - on 19 August 2018

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Any thing lower than the 3ds would be a disappointment. 96-110 million



Went with the 81-95m option.



LTD: PS4 - 125m, Switch - 110m, XBO - 51m

2020: PS4 - 9m, Switch - 22.5m, XBO - 2.5m, PS5 - 4.5m, XBX - 2.8m

More than 100 million.



It will become the best selling console yet.



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I was bold and went with 126-140 million. If they really plan on supporting it for 10 years or more then I think it's doable.



Around 100 mil, so option number 6.



I put 96-110 million.

Let's say 2019 - 2021 are its peak years and it does a bit under 60 million during those years. That'll put it at 85 million or so at end of 2021. Depends on when it is replaced, but if it isn't replaced until 2023 then it'll probably be around 100 million when the next Nintendo system comes out. My best guess would be 100 - 120 million but i think beating the Wii by just a few million is more likely than beating Wii by like 15 million so I put 96-110.



88-91 million



I still dont see it outselling the Wii, but it mostly depends on how they will handle revisions and price-cuts. It will easily be their 2nd best selling home console, at WORST tho. So 81-96 million.



Bet with bluedawgs: I say Switch will outsell PS4 in 2018, he says PS4 will outsell Switch. He's now permabanned, but the bet will remain in my sig.

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