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Forums - Gaming Discussion - Wrong, Wrong, Wrong, Wrong. Wrong, Wrong, Wrong, Wrong! Pachter's Wrong!

It's been 7 years since Michael Pachter said this:

Taken from EGM #194 August 2005.

I just wanted to point this out :)

Also, if you recall correctly. The Wii console had a 49% market share at the end of 2007. Unfortunately, as of this time, I cannot use the Wayback Machine to prove my point. So you'll just have to take my word for it. Feel free to use this thread as proof as to way Pachter is always wrong.



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Nintendo has made a career of proving Pachter wrong.



This is not exactly news. This guy has been known for being wrong this entire generation.

I'm more shocked when I see that he predicted something correctly. It almost makes you wonder if he does what he does on purpose.



Proud member of the SONIC SUPPORT SQUAD

Tag "Sorry man. Someone pissed in my Wheaties."

"There are like ten games a year that sell over a million units."  High Voltage CEO -  Eric Nofsinger

I'd like to play rock paper scissors against pachter.



Game of the year 2017 so far:

5. Resident Evil VII
4. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe
3. Uncharted: The Lost Legacy
2. Horizon Zero Dawn
1. Super Mario Odyssey

His job is to predict the unpredictable. To guess about the future. It's a silly job, really. But of course he's wrong. That's his job.



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To be fair no one could have predicted the Wii would go off the way it did, hell he's still calling it the Revolution in that article.



RolStoppable said:
Panama said:
To be fair no one could have predicted the Wii would go off the way it did, hell he's still calling it the Revolution in that article.

To be fair, E3 2006 gave a pretty good picture of what the three consoles would be (in the case of the 360, it was already out). Every analyst had the chance to revise his predictions at this point, but nobody really did.


That's the thing though, with the GC and N64 doing only well enough to ensure that there definitely was enough demand for another console, it would have been a gamble to argue otherwise for the Wii. It's like an upset win during the footy. Bookies will always stick purely to statistics, past matchup history, comparing team sheets etc and of course there's a degree of popularity, which in Nintendo's instance was usually ascribed to their handheld market and not so much their consoles post SNES. There are always arbitrary variables that can never be predicted. In this instance it was the consumer.

That isn't to say the man is always right, Pachter says some really stupid shit sometimes.



Yeah, this point is brought up quite a bit. I believe there was one where he actually pulled out actual numbers that said the Wii would sell 9 million worldwide by 2010 or 2011 - something along those lines.

 

Pachter is well known for never being right.



I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

RolStoppable said:
Panama said:

That's the thing though, with the GC and N64 doing only well enough to ensure that there definitely was enough demand for another console, it would have been a gamble to argue otherwise for the Wii. It's like an upset win during the footy. Bookies will always stick purely to statistics, past matchup history, comparing team sheets etc and of course there's a degree of popularity, which in Nintendo's instance was usually ascribed to their handheld market and not so much their consoles post SNES. There are always arbitrary variables that can never be predicted. In this instance it was the consumer.

That isn't to say the man is always right, Pachter says some really stupid shit sometimes.

Yes, if you exclude historical data (which analysts usually do), predicting Wii success would have been a huge gamble. But by including all video game history, it would have made perfect sense.

There was someone who predicted Wii success and PS3 doom right after E3 2006 and for all the right reasons as it would turn out, but unfortunately the website that hosted these articles doesn't exist anymore and the articles haven't been uploaded again since then. The same person also predicted the 3DS catastrophe half a year before the 3DS's launch while Pachter was insisting that Nintendo should sell the device for $300.

Well, neither were really true - about the 3DS. The 300 dollars and the catastrophe. More or less the 3DS was priced to high, and the problem was soon fixed and it ended up breaking records. The same thing happened with the iPhone.

Now PSPita on the otherhand.... =P



I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

RolStoppable said:
Jumpin said:

Well, neither were really true - about the 3DS. The 300 dollars and the catastrophe. More or less the 3DS was priced to high, and the problem was soon fixed and it ended up breaking records. The same thing happened with the iPhone.

Now PSPita on the otherhand.... =P

Nintendo is losing money on the 3DS. Based on Nintendo's track record of only having profitable years since they entered the video game business, this is a disastrous result. It's no achievement to sell a lot of units when you are running the business at a loss.

Is Nintendo still losing money on the 3DS? I thought they had finally kicked production up on it, and the sudden depreciation of the Yen can only be helping them on returns from other regions.



Monster Hunter: pissing me off since 2010.