Do you think PlayStation 5 sales will be as good as Nintendo Switch sales?

[Mnementh]

Korvo_Attano said:

Mnementh said:

I wouldn't put too much into that. Consoles and games sales become more and more frontloaded, so early sales tell not much.

You also have to see, that PS4 had a much more staggered launch in different region. Let's compare launch week in different regions for PS4 and PS5 (and add in Xbox for comparison):

	PS4	PS5	Xbox One	Series X/S
america	982,390	1,092,523 (+11%)	652,045	789,262 (+21%)
europe	706,948	723,341 (+2%)	311,590	349,697 (+12%)
japan	319,689	118,671 (-63%)	24,795	20,993 (-15%)

This stops looking that impressive anymore, right? Playstation lost two thirds of it's market in Japan, and again: Games and game stuff tends to be more and more frontloaded. And the other markets show an 11% growth in America and only 2% in europe.

Looking at the Xbox side of things, it looks a lot better gen over gen. If anything we should talk about how Xbox is dominating more this gen. And as you mentioned: this increase gen over gen is with less launch exclusives and a lower customer base to start off from last gen.

And do you really think the market for PS+Xbox is bigger this gen than the gen before? I think it stays the same at best. So if Xbox performs better it comes at the cost of Playstation.

I admit, the ROW is missing. But VGC doesn't show them separated and I don't know when PS4 and PS5 launched in the different markets. As PS5 launched in the big markets closer than PS4, I assume that this is the case for ROW-countries too, but I don't know.

As I said, I wouldn't put too much importance into launch numbers, but if we look closely they aren't showing a massive growth or so. They show that we can a similar gen in regards to sales.

PS5 lost that much in Japan, because the PS4 launched in February of 2014 instead of November of 2013 and had amassed enough stock and some games to sell. PS5 has problems regarding stock.

Yeah, even more reason to mistrust launch sales data. Both companies sold more at launch, because they were able to provide more stock gen over gen. That says not much, so any conclusion that PS5 will grow over PS4 based on launch sales is premature.