| SpokenTruth said: Even if Biden does good and SC and it generates some momentum push for ST states, I don't think it's going to be enough to overcome what is about to happen in California and Texas. In the most recent Texas polls, Sanders has a 9 point lead. That alone could erase any delegates gains Biden grabs from small southern states. And then there is California. The most recent poll gives Sanders an insane 21 point lead and in the past 2 polls, nobody else gets above 15%. Past 3 polls, only 1 other candidate topped 15% (Warren). That would give the majority of California's 416 delegates to Sanders. |
Yeah, I see Sanders winning the most pledged delegates, but this Biden-surge may be enough to deny him the majority. And at this point with all what was written and said over the last week, I see the possibility many party officials will deny Sanders the nomination if he only wins a plurality, even if they risk the future of the party.
