| shams said: Nintendo stated a goal of selling 60mill units for the Wii. Currently 10% there, supply limited, still hard to get one. At this stage I think it will be hard for Nintendo to NOT reach their 60mill goal - the biggest restriction at the moment is manufacturing. |
Oh, I forgot about manufacturing. That is really a reason, why the Wii possibly not win this gen. Especially christmas. Think before christmas is a demand of 5-6 million Wii in US and Europe combined (i dont think christmas is a big deal in japan). If Nintendo can only deliver 2 million units, the other consoles possibly sell more. That would hurt really. So we should hope, that Nintendo can increase production until then enough.
| shams said: What could hurt/fail the Wii? 1/ MS bring out a controller that completely emulates the Wiimote (not sure of legal implications), or beats it. |
Sony did it, with the Sixaxis. But I think this is no competition for the Wiimote, because you need both hands to hold it (no swings like in tennis) and it is not the default controller. Same problem would have Microsoft.
| shams said: 2/ A massive earthquake in Japan kills most of the staff at Nintendo development studios (please no!!  ).
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Yeah, or a meteorit hits the nintendo-building. 
| shams said: 4/ A fatal flaw in the hardware, kills off 95% of Wii's / Wiimotes overnight (or a virus?). |
Hui, I hope Nintendo made enough quality to prevent this.
Essay Pro