Minimum (due to PS3 price drop) - 4 Million

Maximum (no drop at all) - 10 million

@Commando & Steroid

2 million minimum is a bold prediction. For this to happen the PS3 would not only need 6,000,000/52 = 115,384 per week. It also needs what the 360 averages this year as well. Last year the 360 sold 11,369,543/52 = 218,645. So on average the PS3 will need 334,029 more console sales on average EVERY week presuming the 360 sells at the same rate last year.

Given the fact the 360 should still outsell it until we see a price cut for the PS3, which is at earliest March (next quarter) then the numbers will increase and divide by 44. So realistically it should be more like 6,500,000/44 = 147,727 and average console sales per week = 406,125.

Want to change your prediction?

min gap- we are at it now
max gap will be about 12 million.

360 will outsell the ps3 in each quarter of the year.

Well my logic was based upon how much the PS3 was able to turn things around before the price cut. PS3 really picked up steam for a while there. To the point some people here were predicting a year-end takeover.

Also, if theres one thing I knoe about SONY is that it always sells. Its a brand name that sells all by it self. They can change the name of the company to MONY /lol :) .. ok bad joke! but, still I never count any thing out when it comes to something like this.

IF, SONY does drop that price, remember that it has the BluRay platform behind it, it really can move an unprecidented number of units. According to the numbers in the tracking thread BD has jumped to 14% from 12%. To ME, I think that is astonishing because I would have figured this christmas to be something of a spike for DVD (maybe a final hurrah if you will). I seem to recall something similar happen with VHS some 7 or 8 years ago.

My point is there is a huge potential for this system to really surge in sales if the right things happen on the market, so I whereas, yeah it may be unlikely and bold, but I don't think it's impossible. Good number crunching though. I'm impressed.

Maximum: 10 million
Minimum: 5 million

If the pirce cut kicks in 2009 probly around 5-6m gap if not expect the same 8-10.

Minimum - 8 million (or preferably the exact difference as of 3rd Jan's numbers)
Maximum - 12.5 million

max gap = 10m
min gap = 5m

min- 5mil, max- 10 mil

min 6.8
max 13.5