They don't need to reach our level of wealth to be able to purchase games and consoles. Of course, the more money they have, the more they can afford to buy.

The point is, that most of the countries are wealthy enough to have a games market. The biggest problem in the markets isn't that much the lack of money, but the amount of piracy.

Now, i wouldn't  count Russia and Serbia into your list, since Russia isn't that poor that it seems an Serbia isn't in Eastern-Europe (besides, without Russia your list is only around 100M in pop, instead the 300-400M you claimed).

No. It won't. And it can't.

And at what pace is it at that it would reach 210m by the end of 2012? Figuring that it will sell likely another two or three million before this year is over. That places it at about 41 or 42 million or so. That means it would need to sell 168-169 million in three years.

So in four years, 2009-2012 which is 208 weeks. It would need to average over 800,000 sold every week. When, other than launch and the holiday season has it sold anywhere near that? Yes, it could be argued that supply held back sales but does anyone honestly think that the Wii could average that much over the next four years?

*sigh*

Pay more attention when you read. "subract 300 - 400,000,000 million people in Eastern-Europe and Russia who can't afford it."

And yes, Russia is "that poor". Ever been outside Moscow and Saint Petersburg? You live in Finland. You should do a road trip through Russia. Also check statistics. Again, Moscow and Saint Petersburg are poor cities with millions of people living in poverty. The rest of Russia is even poorer. Hopefully the standard of living will continue to improve during the next decades.
A large russian middle-class will eventually appear, but that will take decades.

No. As much as I love the Wii, it won't sell 210 million. Markets and demand. Add in some demography and you'll understand how things work. Keep on dreaming though.

I am 30 and I love Mario & Sonic. So what is your [stupid] point? Interesting how you conveniently chose to ignore games that have sold more than those you listed such as Wii Fit, Mario Kart, Brawl, Galaxy just so you can twist the facts to suit your [stupid] point. 

On topic I don't think Wii can possibly sell that much. 

@GamingChartz: Road trip through Russia, no thanks. You're not making that trip alive. And even if you would, where would you end up. Alaska, What's the purpose of going into US?

The problem with Russia is the small middle class, so there are only poor and rich people. But, the point is, that after we count the poor people out, it still leaves us a large amount of people with enough income to purchase their entertainment products.
No console isn't going to reach 100% of the population anyway, so we end up talking about potential. More money equals more potential. All the bigger countries have the number of people that can afford a certain product, if this number is big enough, the manufacturers get interested in the market. For example Sony estimates russian market to be viable for PS3, atleast if releasing the console there is any indication.

Piracy does correlate with poverty to an extent, but what counts the most, is the perception of moral. Even people who can afford a certain product, can still pirate and being poor doesn't mean that the person would pirate anything.

Hell, the Wii will have 10% of the car market by then.

Time to bring out my "end of gen" tables.

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So I do think it is possible that the Wii can make 200 million, and PS360 lounge around 40 million each... but it is unlikely... that and these numbers are refering to when they stop selling, which is likely after 2012 even for PS3 and 360.

I think it more likely the Wii will end around 150 million compared to a combined 105 million for the other two, which puts the Wii marketshare at about 60%

So yes, it's possible, but not by 2012.... more like 2015

It's no laughing matter, but I still disagree with you.

I think that's just a wii(loooooooool) bit too optimistic.

It's not as far off as you guys think. I bet that it's over 60% by that time. That would be something to laugh at. Wouldn't it?