The Wii could reach 210 million and 70% market share by end of 2012

[GamingChartzFTW]

bdbdbd said:

GamingChartzFTW said:

bdbdbd said:
@GamingChartz: But the average east-european drives a bad car, goes to low paid work and the countries are experiencing financial growth. I think you know it yourself, that you're grasping straws with your argument.
Outside western countries, people generally have lower income than the people in west, but it doesn't mean they wouldn't have money. Besides, as i already said, eventually, the price will go down, making the console available for more people.

^Fix'd!

bdbdbd posted: "I think you know it yourself, that you're grasping straws with your argument."

ok, I'll bite  O_o

List of countries by GDP (nominal) per capita:

Western Countries:

Luxembourg $ 104,452
Sweden $ 50,415
Finland $ 46,769
Netherlands $ 46,389
United States $ 45,959
United Kingdom $ 45,626
Australia $ 43,798
Germany $ 40,315
France $ 40,200


East European Countries:

Russia $ 14,800
Romania $ 7,452
Bulgaria $ 5,409
Serbia $ 4,106
Ukraine $ 3,035
Moldova $ 976
etc. etc.

Asian Countries:

China $ 2,459
India $ 973
etc. etc.


Yes, the poor countries are experiencing growth. It'll take a few decades (at least) before they reach our level of wealth.

Edit:

I could have opted for PPP (Purchase Power Parity), but I wanted to show the future potential wealth in each country.

 

They don't need to reach our level of wealth to be able to purchase games and consoles. Of course, the more money they have, the more they can afford to buy.

The point is, that most of the countries are wealthy enough to have a games market. The biggest problem in the markets isn't that much the lack of money, but the amount of piracy.  You basically said it yourself. Poverty and lack of cash. That's why piracy continue to flourish.. :P

Now, i wouldn't  count Russia and Serbia into your list, since Russia isn't that poor that it seems an Serbia isn't in Eastern-Europe (besides, without Russia your list is only around 100M in pop, instead the 300-400M you claimed).

*sigh*

Pay more attention when you read. "subract 300 - 400,000,000 million people in Eastern-Europe and Russia who can't afford it."

And yes, Russia is "that poor". Ever been outside Moscow and Saint Petersburg? You live in Finland. You should do a road trip through Russia. Also check statistics. Again, Moscow and Saint Petersburg are poor cities with millions of people living in poverty. The rest of Russia is even poorer. Hopefully the standard of living will continue to improve during the next decades.
A large russian middle-class will eventually appear, but that will take decades.

No. As much as I love the Wii, it won't sell 210 million. Markets and demand. Add in some demography and you'll understand how things work. Keep on dreaming though.