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Forums - Sony Discussion - Blu-ray dead in 2012?

starcraft on 14 September 2008
MikeB said:

@ Vasot

Microsoft is already working and waiting for a larger and better Media disk from the Bluray according to the rumors


In what ways better?

More data storage than multi-layer Blu-Ray disc? (Currently up to 200 GB per disc)

Faster? How much faster loading than the fastest Blu-Ray PC drives available by then?

Major innovations like constant reading speeds throughout the disc and scratch resistance are already there with Blu-Ray. What makes you think a new disc format would be able to provide to beat a by then already well established Blu-Ray format? HDTVs will likely support 1080p and 7.x audio, so even higher specs seems to be overkill for 2012.

What would be the incentive to drop Blu-Ray disc for another disc format?

Combat piracy.

 



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heruamon on 14 September 2008

The message is clear....even after "winning" the format war, brd STILL lacks acceptance from consumers, and Sony will have to dig DEEP to push it this holiday season. So, let's get the picture clear...they need to combat M$ moves, and Wii's dominance, and they have to offer incentives to push brd to consumer...seems like a costly project with no assurances of success. USB 2.0 is already a standard, and you've got flash drive for as cheap as 10 bucks for 8gb...in another year, that'll probably be the cost of 16gb, and 32 in another year, if not sooner...time will tell, but I don't think it's assured brd will become the dvd of this generation.



"...You can't kill ideas with a sword, and you can't sink belief structures with a broadside. You defeat them by making them change..."

- From By Schism Rent Asunder

Paul_Warren on 14 September 2008

No blu-ray is not going to be dead in 2012. Although it could be on blu-ray 2.0 or something which would mean the popular format would be a blu-ray disc that holds 100 gig instead of 50. The disc format as a whole is really the best format for holding large amounts of data. Harddrives even though they are getting larger in size...they still only hold a finite amount of data ensuring that you always have to buy new ones which cost much more than a package of dual-sided discs. flashcards and the like that hold 50 gigs also cost hundreds of dollars compared to a blu-ray disc which costs less than $20.00. And digital distribution is just much too slow. It takes eight hours to download a 1.7 gig file at 512k and doing so puts a lot of strain and wear on your system as well.



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Xen on 14 September 2008
NeoRatt said:
Blu-ray will still be around after 2012.

I think the better question is what else will be out there? Will traditional media distribution remain mainstream? And therefore, will blu-ray ever become as ubitous as DVD, VHS, cassette tape, and CD did?

And if traditional distribution methods are no longer mainstream or there is another format with a much more flexibility, will blu-ray ever become as main stream as the others did?

I have been taking advantage of movie downloads a lot lately and I am really questioning why I would go to blockbuster to rent or to a store to buy anymore. I know high speed internet is not something everyone has, but by 2012 anything can happen.

What if media companies are the sole owners of cable and telephone providers? They could bundle, distribution services with subscriptions or into the price of rentals. What if satellite Internet is a reality? What if digital access is available much cheaper and to everyone much cheaper?

We are living in an age where everything has changed and will continue to change. Nothing remains the same near as long anymore.

Yes, like the death of the internet due to its growing pace. With the speed it's growing now, it's more likely that the internet will be dead than blu ray.

Search in google for some articles about that.

 



321tttrini4everz on 14 September 2008

fail

not even mp3 downloads have overshadowed compact disk in terms of sales
digital downloads will always come short ..there is always a problem with losing data....



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goddog on 14 September 2008

@321tttrini4ever, did you not know the top seller of music is digital and the second one has split digital/physical i could see physiscal being outstripped in as few as 3 years, and if you include illegal yes it has outstriped cds

 

@xen, the internet will only die if dumbasses dont buy ipv6 compliant gear... most of the structure has been replaced by proper gear, i expect it to get to a point where some will have the full internet apple users (because they have built ipv6 into all products for 5 years) and people who read and pay atention to tech, and the poor shmucks who cant use major websites, and other stuff cause they still use ipv4 the assholes 



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CDiablo on 14 September 2008

Is the author aware that Laserdisk F'N Laserdisk lasted almost 21 odd years. Star Wars Episode 1 was released on the freakin thing.



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flagship on 14 September 2008

BluRay will still be around or at least they'll still be making PS3 games at that point. As a format however it will never be as successful as Sony wants it to be simply because people aren't going to rebuy all those DVDs as BluRay just like when they dumped their VHS collections for DVD. By 2011 some new far superior technology will be on the market (Ultra-high speed downloads, flash drives whatever) and BluRay still comprising less than half the market will be stomped out of existence by it.



heruamon on 14 September 2008

Peopl...dead doesn't mean gone away for good...heck VHS is still being released...dead means failing to achieve market saturation and industry dominance...imho.



"...You can't kill ideas with a sword, and you can't sink belief structures with a broadside. You defeat them by making them change..."

- From By Schism Rent Asunder

321tttrini4everz on 14 September 2008
goddog said:

@321tttrini4ever, did you not know the top seller of music is digital and the second one has split digital/physical i could see physiscal being outstripped in as few as 3 years, and if you include illegal yes it has outstriped cds

 

@xen, the internet will only die if dumbasses dont buy ipv6 compliant gear... most of the structure has been replaced by proper gear, i expect it to get to a point where some will have the full internet apple users (because they have built ipv6 into all products for 5 years) and people who read and pay atention to tech, and the poor shmucks who cant use major websites, and other stuff cause they still use ipv4 the assholes 

 

lol no way

didital or record sales(cds) ? which are being tracked ??? which ??

there is always a risk of a storage device being at fault(spoiling)

all the ppl who say digital downloads will come into play soon should make a console with a massive hard drive (and no disk tray) and develope downloadable games  and see how it will sell