PS4 vs Switch: Launch aligned, who hits 100 million first?

SWORDF1SH

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SWORDF1SH on 21 February 2018

Switch probably won't hit 100 million. But I also thought that about the PS4, even 2 years after launch.

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Cobretti2 on 22 February 2018

zorg1000 said:

Nighthawk117 said:

Why not? Are you offended?

Do you not realize how stupid your last statement was?

You just said you IGNORE "garbage data" yet you are in a thread about that "garbage data".

Clearly you dont ignore it if you are in a thread about it.

don't feed the troll.

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160rmf on 22 February 2018

kazuyamishima said:

LipeJJ said:

What makes you think that?

> Nintendo themselves said they want a longer cycle with Switch

> They actually managed to do it with 3DS (look, it actually still matches Xbox One on its 7th year), so you can't simply disregard what they said

> Wii had a huge gimmick, Switch hasn't. Portable factor is not temporary like motion controls

> They can want a longer cycle, but will they be able to do it?

> It will be the 7th year for the 3DS, but is not even at 80 millions already.

> Wii had a great library also, not only the gimmick, 2 zelda games? 2 super mario galaxy games? New super mario bros Wii, Mario Kart Wii, Super Smash Bros Brawl and all of the other great games it had?

The fact that you are talking about the games that were released along Wii lifetime's just proves that switch can achieve that too.

And OMG people almost 20 pages and you can't even read a fcking title.

We reap what we sow

Azuren

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Azuren on 22 February 2018

StarDoor said:

NPCmates said:
Wow 30% of people really see Switch going strong and winning this. Like the only console to hit 100mil was Wii due to casual market which I don't see Switch getting into much. The handhelds had so many iterations the double/triple dipping was crazy and pushed them up so maybe if the release different iterations of the Switch, then yeah maybe. they will probably beat my prediction of like 40mil but 100mil just seems crazy haha

Is 40 million really your current prediction? You think Switch is going to sell 40 million lifetime even though it sold a third of that in just its first year?

I think the implication is that was his original prediction, otherwise he wouldn't be admitting the likelihood of Switch outselling said prediction.

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NPCmates

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NPCmates on 22 February 2018

Azuren said:

StarDoor said:

Is 40 million really your current prediction? You think Switch is going to sell 40 million lifetime even though it sold a third of that in just its first year?

I think the implication is that was his original prediction, otherwise he wouldn't be admitting the likelihood of Switch outselling said prediction.

We got a smart fella here haha my prediction or overall estimate changes as time goes on and I still haven't raised it that much. People forget Switch hit with its two biggest games only 2nd to pokemon and Nintendo fans are early adopters hell I was in line at the midnight launch and I'm an old fan. I already had this discussion in another thread but I love numbers and trends, and have been pretty close on a lot over the years so just gonna have to wait and see :)

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Nymeria on 22 February 2018

Depends on how Nintendo handle Switch pricing. Right now it is doing amazing for a premium handheld so fine holding at current price. The big variable is if they can get it to $199 at some point and have a HD Pokemon entry people have been begging for a good decade.