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Forums - Politics Discussion - Donald Trump: How Do You Feel about Him Now? (Poll)

 

Last November,

I supported him and I still do - Americas 91 15.77%
 
I supported him and I now don't - Americas 16 2.77%
 
I supported him and I still do - Europe 37 6.41%
 
I supported him and I now don't - Europe 7 1.21%
 
I supported him and I still do - Asia 6 1.04%
 
I supported him and I now don't - Asia 1 0.17%
 
I supported him and I still do - RoW 15 2.60%
 
I supported him and I now don't - RoW 2 0.35%
 
I didn't support him and still don't. 373 64.64%
 
I didn't support him and now do. 29 5.03%
 
Total:577
Torillian said:
jason1637 said:

No, it's a simple solution. People struggle to live paycheck to paycheck because of debt they created. Manage or try not to get into debt and then you would be in a situation.

Yes, don't go into debt so you can save more. It's not rocket science.

If you think you've found a simple solution to something people have been studying and trying to solve for decades, that usually means you just aren't educated enough about the problem. 

Not all solutions have to be complicated. Most Americans say that they live paycheck to paycheck due to their debt. Only 46% say they can manage their debt while 56% admit they were in all over their heads. If people tried to avoid debt or only take in debt they can manage then the solution of people having trouble saving would be solved or atleast easier to solve.

My source bwt is NBC https://www.cnbc.com/2017/08/24/most-americans-live-paycheck-to-paycheck.html .

SpokenTruth said:

jason1637 said:

No, it's a simple solution. People struggle to live paycheck to paycheck because of debt they created. Manage or try not to get into debt and then you would be in a situation.

Yes, don't go into debt so you can save more. It's not rocket science.

You're right.  It isn't rocket science.  Which is why we are scratching our heads wondering A) why you are having a hard time understanding this and B) why you keep assuming they all have debt and that is somehow why they've can't save more.   Seriously, where did this debt angle come from?

The Pi guy brought up the finding that most Americans say they live paycheck to paycheck. In the finding he was referring to one of the reasons for this was peoples debts. Thats how the debt angle up come. You can find the link to the finding he and I are refering to in the quoted response above.



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SpokenTruth said:
EricHiggin said:

Then why the great wall of China? Why the Berlin wall?

The Great Wall of China was built to keep out invading armies.  Not (drug) smugglers.

The Berlin Wall was the most heavily guarded fortification in human history. 

Are you really expecting 2,000 miles of this?

Because that would push the cost to damn near $500 billion.

You took a small portion of what I said out of context and want me to explain what I think about it? Umm, no. Nice visuals though.

Why build walls if they were so much more expensive and useless?

SpokenTruth said:
EricHiggin said:

1. So when the border wall is properly fully built and complete, where do you think the focus will go next? How much easier will it be once it's all coming in through the same known locations?

How does a drone fix the tunnel problem? Can they scan the entire border at all times? How many drones are needed? How easily can they be avoided or taken down? How much do they and their maintenance cost? How reliable are they? How many back ups are necessary? Can they apprehend the illegals themselves?

2. I didn't say they were useless, I wasn't in my 'expert' job, I just said they shouldn't be looked upon like gods. Let's consult the experts, multiple groups of them, who can be trusted as much as possible, who would not all share a similar bias, and then use other types of experts to decide which makes the most sense. Then make a decision based on all of that. Just because one person or a group has a title of some sort doesn't make them super reliable, and just because a large group all think the same way doesn't mean they're necessarily correct. How do brand new bridges collapse? How do new software updates cause instability/crashes? The experts were all consulted at some point in that process.

3. Where did we leave off here and how did we get to this?

1. So you want a border wall AND increased point of entry/technology enhancements?  Question.  Which option do you think is most economical and yet most effective?

2. OK, let's do this.  I'll have my experts call your experts and they'll do lunch and hash it all out.  Jokes aside, have you not noticed that there really are not that many experts on the side of building the border wall?  I mean you want different opinions but if all of them have already done their homework and said the wall is a bad idea...who else are you going to consult?  Trump?

3. Because you suggested the border wall would create jobs, reduce drugs/crime, etc...

1. Focus on ports of entry, which should easily take less resources than trying to cover vast open area's of no wall. The wall. 

2. The wall hasn't been finished. The wall that exists is utterly useless in some locations. You can't not build a proper wall and say a wall wouldn't work. Want proof? The analysts and experts said Trump had little to no chance at becoming Prez. How can he be Prez? Now that is he Prez, don't you think they can use this to study the event and find out the how and why it differed from their perfect predictions and see if it continues, only to use that info to better predict who will become Prez in the future?

3. Those were a few of the reasons I gave, out of the many that would be part of the outcome, yet you disagree and believe drugs, crime, etc, wouldn't be reduced whatsoever, and no jobs would be created, because immigrants only work on farms? Hmm.



EricHiggin said:
the-pi-guy said:  

Yes because the average person who's living paycheck to paycheck is spending hundreds of dollars on their phone.  

@bold:  That's a perfect example of circular logic if I've ever seen it.  "The wall is justified, because there's criminals.  Otherwise why would there be a wall? "

Difference is climate change is backed up science.  Science shows that illegal immigrants commit less crime than citizens (keep in mind they have to stay low or get deported.)

Analysis is still the first step in science.  Science isn't just "we'll try everything and see what happens."  

I know more than a few of those people. Can't go out for a beer because it's too much of an expense, and they rarely have food in the house when I put the 6 pack in to keep cool, yet they always have the newest most useless tech to show me, because hey, it's important, I guess.

Here's my problem with the argument. It's been pointed out with charts etc, that illegal immigration is at a low point right now, relative to the past, so it's not really a problem and nothing to worry about apparently. Yet climate charts show that CO2 levels are low right now, relative to the past, and yet it's an immediate danger that's going to destroy the planet. Umm, ok?

Science shows illegal immigrants commit less crime yada yada. Since when does science trump the law when it comes to the illegal acts?

Correct, but your basically saying the analysts say the wall is a waste so let's not build it. Science demands you build it multiple times to prove it. Why is there resistance to finish the initial wall by the people who always use science to back up their claims?

SpokenTruth said:
EricHiggin said:

Yet climate charts show that CO2 levels are low right now, relative to the past, and yet it's an immediate danger that's going to destroy the planet. Umm, ok?

Science shows illegal immigrants commit less crime yada yada. Since when does science trump the law when it comes to the illegal acts?

Correct, but your basically saying the analysts say the wall is a waste so let's not build it. Science demands you build it multiple times to prove it. Why is there resistance to finish the initial wall by the people who always use science to back up their claims?

CO2 levels are lower relative to which point in the past?  Do you mean before humans?  Then yes.  Do you mean at any time during human existence?  Then no.

Science doesn't demand you build the wall multiple times to prove its functionality. You are thinking of hypothesis testing which is rarely ever full scale.  Besides, how you could build it, test, take it down, test, build it, test, take it down, test, etc...and not understand you are introducing your own variables into it?  You'd invalidate it as soon as you took it down.  Further, you can't account for future variables (politics, climate, war, famine, currency issues, economy, etc...) to normalize your results.

You are starting to sound flippant with this line of thinking. 

"Here's my problem with the argument. It's been pointed out with charts etc, that illegal immigration is at a low point right now, relative to the past, so it's not really a problem and nothing to worry about apparently. Yet climate charts show that CO2 levels are low right now, relative to the past, and yet it's an immediate danger that's going to destroy the planet. Umm, ok?"

Have we always known what the climate used to be? Did we always know how far back humans go? Do we still know for sure? If we really are the latest and greatest type of monkey, ape, whatever, then how far back do they go and what was the climate then? What were they before they became monkeys? Could humans have lived in those conditions back then?

Well one way or another the kinks have to get worked out. You can't honestly believe when science makes a prediction that the large majority of the time when put into practice it works perfectly as intended. That's how the tests are done though and have been in the past. If you can't verify it in different set ups then it can't be fully proven. This sometimes is a major headache and a major undertaking but needs to be done to legitimately prove the method. Analysts and experts aren't always scientists and don't always use hard science to come up with their results either.

I'm not the one who brought science into this. I also said the planet not humans. We're working on Mars so is Earth necessary in the future if we can live elsewhere? Since we're talking about the future and what could happen and all.



SpokenTruth said:
EricHiggin said:

Why build walls if they were so much more expensive and useless?

1. Focus on ports of entry, which should easily take less resources than trying to cover vast open area's of no wall. The wall. 

2. The wall hasn't been finished. The wall that exists is utterly useless in some locations. You can't not build a proper wall and say a wall wouldn't work. Want proof? The analysts and experts said Trump had little to no chance at becoming Prez. How can he be Prez? Now that is he Prez, don't you think they can use this to study the event and find out the how and why it differed from their perfect predictions and see if it continues, only to use that info to better predict who will become Prez in the future?

3. Those were a few of the reasons I gave, out of the many that would be part of the outcome, yet you disagree and believe drugs, crime, etc, wouldn't be reduced whatsoever, and no jobs would be created, because immigrants only work on farms? Hmm.

Most walls of these kinds are political in nature....just like this one.  It's not founded upon need or function.

1. The wall is going to be effective at preventing tunnels?  Prevent smugglers from using drones?  Prevent point of entry illegal activity?

2. You're going to say that immigration experts, border security experts, drug smuggling experts are probably wrong simply because a bunch of TV political panelists and pollsters were?  You're reaching far too with this to be taken seriously.

3. Where did I day immigrants (legal or illegal) only work on farms?  Otherwise, correct. 

So why not a simple chain link fence since the beginning? Why a wall at all? 

1. Depends how narrow the gaps are and how deep the posts go, but if they really want to dig a lot to get under, probably not. A proper wall will still be cheaper in the long run though. I also find it quite ironic that money for a border wall should likely go towards conservatives where as money for border tech should likely go towards liberals. Interesting.

2. Well based on what I've read, the border security experts asked for more wall than was budgeted for, and less tech and manpower than was budgeted for. After of course the speaker made it clear there would be no wall because it's immoral. Why didn't congress agree with their expertise? Was it because of the TV panelists and pollsters?

3. After a quick glance I don't see it. Very well may have been pi guy since you both were replying on the same things at the same time. If you didn't say it I take it back. No decrease in drugs or crime and no increase in jobs at all whatsoever? Now who's being flippant?



SpokenTruth said:
EricHiggin said:

"Here's my problem with the argument. It's been pointed out with charts etc, that illegal immigration is at a low point right now, relative to the past, so it's not really a problem and nothing to worry about apparently. Yet climate charts show that CO2 levels are low right now, relative to the past, and yet it's an immediate danger that's going to destroy the planet. Umm, ok?"

Have we always known what the climate used to be? Did we always know how far back humans go? Do we still know for sure? If we really are the latest and greatest type of monkey, ape, whatever, then how far back do they go and what was the climate then? What were they before they became monkeys? Could humans have lived in those conditions back then?

Well one way or another the kinks have to get worked out. You can't honestly believe when science makes a prediction that the large majority of the time when put into practice it works perfectly as intended. That's how the tests are done though and have been in the past. If you can't verify it in different set ups then it can't be fully proven. This sometimes is a major headache and a major undertaking but needs to be done to legitimately prove the method. Analysts and experts aren't always scientists and don't always use hard science to come up with their results either.

I'm not the one who brought science into this. I also said the planet not humans. We're working on Mars so is Earth necessary in the future if we can live elsewhere? Since we're talking about the future and what could happen and all.

I'm at the verge where I'm not certain I can take you seriously any more. Either you throwing things out in jest or you simply don't know.  If the former, we're done, if the latter, I can educate you if you're willing to listen.

Do we know historical climates?  Yes. Climates leave their marks all over the place.  Ice cores, geological strata, fossils, etc...  There are many ways to detect and correlate various data to determine historical trends in climate.

Do we know how far back humans go?  Yes.  Various species of humans in fact.  As for our ancestry with apes, we shared a common ancestor.  We did not evolve directly from apes (monkeys are different from apes....you can tell which is which because monkeys have tails). Could modern humans have lived in those conditions? No.  Neither would our food (meat, fish and crops). That's why things evolved....adapted to fit in with the changes. The problem now is that the climate is now changing at the pace it used to.  It's not slow enough for adaptations to keep up.  We're also a much more populated planet today than even just 200 years ago (1 billion vs 7.5 billion today).

Do we intent to colonize Mars?  Yes.  Will Mars be a suitable habitat for 12 billion people in the next 100 years (current population projection)?  No, not even remotely close.  Nor will we have to means to transport that many people.

Same here since I'm wondering when we're going to get back to the original topic of paying for the wall but it seems you want to stay away from that.

I didn't question the climate historical data.

We only know based on what we've found, and to assume we've found everything is one bold assumption. How do you know for sure that we couldn't have lived in those conditions? There's been plenty of change already and we're still here. If it's tech that's aloud us to survive, then why can't it continue to based on it's ever rapid innovation and evolution?

How do you definitely know there will be 12 billion people in 100 years? Why will it be around 100 years before we can live on Mars if at all? I thought we only had 12 years? The expert scientists told us all so already.



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SpokenTruth said:
EricHiggin said:

Same here since I'm wondering when we're going to get back to the original topic of paying for the wall but it seems you want to stay away from that.

I didn't question the climate historical data.

We only know based on what we've found, and to assume we've found everything is one bold assumption. How do you know for sure that we couldn't have lived in those conditions? There's been plenty of change already and we're still here. If it's tech that's aloud us to survive, then why can't it continue to based on it's ever rapid innovation and evolution?

How do you definitely know there will be 12 billion people in 100 years? Why will it be around 100 years before we can live on Mars if at all? I thought we only had 12 years? The expert scientists told us all so already.

If you want to continue this discussion regarding historical climate data, human physiology, ecosystem robustness, population projections, mars colonization, and science in general, we will need a new thread.  You are correct that we have moved too far off the original topic at hand and should return to it (or Trump specifically given that is this thread's overall topic).

I will say one thing regarding those other topics.  Skepticism is not a valid means for debunking data.  If you think our ice core data, geological strata, fossil records, and other markers are insufficient to determine historical climate trends, then you need to postulate why. What precisely makes them insufficient for that use?  What basis are you founding your skepticism upon? What better means and methods should we use? 

I agree.

To finish the previous conversation, I do believe skepticism is a valid means when data is presented as 100% accurate and factual, when it sometimes is found not to be, especially in reoccurring cycles. That's not to say it was a lie to begin with, because new facts may have come to light since, but that doesn't change the fact that it was incorrect or incomplete when presented, yet unknowingly. For example, your point about Mars. Since you keep using historical data and trends etc, if you simply look at human history in it's entirety as we know it, and compare that to the last 100 years, then it shouldn't be crazy to think we couldn't have billions of people on Mars in 100 years or so. That's not to say it's definitely going to happen, but based on some of the tools you were using for your previous points, it should fit the mold, yet you didn't seem to think so. This of course leads me to confusion.

What I think is the most important is to find and use tools that both sides agree upon and debate using them. If both sides are using completely different tools, or using them in a completely different manner, then having a productive conversation is going to be extremely difficult. Not only do both people need to 'learn the same language', they need to both have the same understanding of it's 'words and meanings', if you get my point. Things like bias however can disrupt this understanding nonetheless, and trying to remove that is like trying to remove stage 4 cancer, which we're still working on curing. There isn't a one fits all answer unfortunately so sometimes we have to compromise and sometimes there's no choice but to face the fact that there's very little you can do about the problem as the present time and just know you tried and hopefully learned.



SpokenTruth said:
EricHiggin said:

Same here since I'm wondering when we're going to get back to the original topic of paying for the wall but it seems you want to stay away from that.

I didn't question the climate historical data.

We only know based on what we've found, and to assume we've found everything is one bold assumption. How do you know for sure that we couldn't have lived in those conditions? There's been plenty of change already and we're still here. If it's tech that's aloud us to survive, then why can't it continue to based on it's ever rapid innovation and evolution?

How do you definitely know there will be 12 billion people in 100 years? Why will it be around 100 years before we can live on Mars if at all? I thought we only had 12 years? The expert scientists told us all so already.

If you want to continue this discussion regarding historical climate data, human physiology, ecosystem robustness, population projections, mars colonization, and science in general, we will need a new thread.  You are correct that we have moved too far off the original topic at hand and should return to it (or Trump specifically given that is this thread's overall topic).

I will say one thing regarding those other topics.  Skepticism is not a valid means for debunking data.  If you think our ice core data, geological strata, fossil records, and other markers are insufficient to determine historical climate trends, then you need to postulate why. What precisely makes them insufficient for that use?  What basis are you founding your skepticism upon? What better means and methods should we use? 

I just wanted to chip in here to say that you have the patience of a saint!

I've found lots of your points really informative and appreciate the effort you go to so supply links/references/evidence to back up your well thought-out arguments. Especially when in return you often get a lazy one-liner that's only purpose is to distract or obfuscate...

Unfortunately some of those that you are debating with don't seem to have any actual interest in absorbing new information or considering a different opinion in an intellectually honest way, but rather are solely focussed on maintaining the same position as they entered the thread with - at all costs!

It would be great if people could recognise that being open-minded and having a willingness to change their mind in the face of a convincing argument is actually strength, not a weakness...

Anyway, just wanted to highlight the fact that myself and no doubt a few other lurkers are appreciating your input - even if we're not necessarily your intended targets :)



I voted for Trump for one big reason: HILLARY. Trump was and, very much vs. any Democrat today, he continues to be the LESSER evil. Evil, of course, but somewhat of a lesser evil when the only other option is a stupid and evil Democrat.

Oh, for some calibration, I actually voted for Obama back in 2008 and what a disappointment he was. Believe it or not, I actually registered myself 'Democrat' so that I could vote for Obama and more importantly AGAINST Hillary at my state's primary.



SpokenTruth said:
EricHiggin said:

Then why the great wall of China? Why the Berlin wall?

The Great Wall of China was built to keep out invading armies.  Not (drug) smugglers.

 

The Berlin Wall was the most heavily guarded fortification in human history. 

Are you really expecting 2,000 miles of this?

 

Because that would push the cost to damn near $500 billion.

Also worth noting that the Wall of China was ineffective. The Huns invaded the country specifically because they also thought that's enough, and didn't man the walls and towers with enough guards. Result: The Huns entered China through a door the Chinese forgot to close and once hey found out that the Huns entered there they were already dozens of miles inlands.

Another example: The Limes, the roman border wall in between the Rhine and Danube rivers, stood for centuries. But once the roman empire couldn't afford the guards there anymore (Long story short, the western roman empire had hyperinflation and already reduced their equipment value as it got too expensive. The legionaries got a 300% pay raise a couple years before the wall fell, but that practically bankrupted the already fragile economy of western roman empire), the vandals, goths and allamans quickly got through.

As you can see, history shows that a wall alone is ineffective. The wall needs to be both guarded and patrolled 24/7 to be really worthwhile, otherwise those who really want to get past it (like smugglers) will find a way.

@bolded: Considering the length of the border and the amount of fortifications (and some are not shown in those diagrams, like the minefield, 5 Trillion would probably closer to the truth. And 5 Million Border guards, give or take.

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 15 March 2019

jason1637 said:
SpokenTruth said:

I gave you an example earlier.  I'll post it again.

"Say they retire at 75 (several years after retirement age) and yet live to 100. That's 25 years. If they saved $200,000, they'd have just $8,000 per year to live on without considering for inflation and cost of living increases (which have more than doubled in the past 25 years)."

So what does it take to save $200,000?  Save $50 per week for 50 years at 2% interest (final total = $205,925).  But good luck getting that rate.  Current savings account rates are just 0.06% on average....which would give our retiree just $121,816 for the next 25 years.  Less than $5,000 per year to work with.

Save more.

Jason, at some point you are going to be considered as trolling with a statement like that.