| chakkra said: hmmm... I cant help but think that the Switch baseline is gonna be really close to the numbers we ve seen in the last three weeks. |
Yeah, they must have hit production rock bottom. Now to wait for increased production.
Looking at the sales it's likely at this point NS is not only past 5m by now but could by the end of December out perform the Wii U's first 24 months, I guess a bold prediction is that in the NS' first 12 months it could out poerform the Wii U's first 36 months if they can get the supply out.
| Wyrdness said: Looking at the sales it's likely at this point NS is not only past 5m by now but could by the end of December out perform the Wii U's first 24 months, I guess a bold prediction is that in the NS' first 12 months it could out poerform the Wii U's first 36 months if they can get the supply out. |
If Nintendo can finally produce enough Switch, it's entirely possible, even very likely, that Switch first year will outsell Wii U's total sales. After all, Nintendo was planning for 10M Switch already before the increases, which would already match more or less Wii U's first 3 years. It can pass 6M with Splatoon 2's launch by the end of July and it most likely will sell at least another 6 million by the end of the year if production can keep up. From there, there's just not much left anymore for the Wii U to not get surpassed by March 3 2018.
The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing
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| RolStoppable said: Switch is looking to trail the PS4 by 1-1.5m units on a quite stable basis in the coming months of VGC numbers. The major difference between these two systems is that Sony had more units produced and therefore could better capitalize on the early demand. |
If I look at the table, PS4 only started at week 23 to dip below 150K a week, seemingly the production rate of Switch before increase. So the PS4 will increase the lead for some time.
By the way, which week will be the japanese launch for PS4?
RolStoppable said:
The PS4 isn't far above 150k in most weeks, so the lead won't grow by much most of the time. But yes, the 1-1.5m value in my post doesn't make sense. Originally I had it at ~1.5m which was much more appropriate as the incoming Japanese launch for the PS4 (the week with ~470k) will definitely push the gap above 1.5m. Later on there is a bunch of ~130k weeks for the PS4 that should correlate with Switch's Splatoon 2 launch and higher supply, so Switch should close the gap and bring it back to below 1.5m. |
So the japanese release is week 15. I suspected as much, but wasn't sure. So after week 15 PS4 is available in all reagions and sales are comparable.
I agree, around the time the demand for PS4 drops the Switch should do better because increased production and demand should be there with Splatoon.
New week: http://www.vgchartz.com/weekly/42890/Global/
So far no hardware, but in Software Zelda is up, so hopefully Swicth is as well. 
Zelda, you magnificent bastard.
| Mnementh said: New week: http://www.vgchartz.com/weekly/42890/Global/ So far no hardware, but in Software Zelda is up, so hopefully Swicth is as well. |
Switch sales have nosedived.
Xbox one sells nothing.
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