Switch won't sell more than the Wii.

well if the switch will sell more than the wii the ps4 is going to outsell the ps2 easily

I think what Nintendo will do is tease the Successor of the 3DS but then Will release a smaller,dockless switch version as its successor.

It'll do well... Not that well though. If it does, that will be incredible for Nintendo.

The Wii, by quite a margin. It just moved so damn fast due to the mass market appeal and I'm not seeing that with Switch. Getting to 100 million + with a much more limited pool of potential customers will make it hard. I can't see any possible scenario where Switch outsells the Wii.

But, hey, I've been wrong before so who knows. Besides, it's way too early to tell, been only two months.

The Wii was a cultural phenomenon. The Switch can't compete with that.

It will outsell the Wii, I predict 110 million sales. Unlike the Wii, it will sell multiple times to the same household, particularly when the Switch Mini (handheld only mode, reduced battery consumption and smaller form factor) is released.

That Wii died off quickly is false. Wii sold phenomenally for 4 years, and very well on the 5th, and continued with strong software sales into the 6th and 7th years, only being surpassed by Wii U about a year and a half ago. Its decline also came later than every Nintendo home console except the NES.

Honestly, I've no idea. I thought WiiU would do better than it did. I was surprised at Switch's fast start and bewildered by PS4's stratospheric climb. I'm just not very good at analyzing the market before the fact.

Wii had the benefit of being a genuine phenomenon, one that drew in folks who'd never played a video game system. It also won over many with its focus on intuitive motion controls.

Switch will never become that phenomenon, but it does have a different list of pros. It's more versatile, it advertises itself out in public, and it lends itself to hardware revisions, double dipping, and price cuts. Also, unlike the 7th gen when Nintendo was splitting its efforts between Wii and DS, in this gen (whatever you want to call it) Nintendo has merged all software development going forward on a single platform. I think that translates to a longer shelf life. In other words: Switch won't match Wii's high yearly sales, but it might last several years longer and make up the difference that way.

What both systems share are must-have games and hardware that's immediately attractive and understandable. Those represent a strong foundation. It's up to Nintendo to stay the course.

Wii