Cutting the price of 2018 is going to be too late I feel. It's possible that the Switch makes modest but acceptable sales throughout 2017 and they don't cut the price before Christmas and hold back to 2018 but I can't really see that scenerio being likely. I feel it will bomb badly a few months after launch or at least end up with fairly low sales that will be too low to maintain any sort of momentum at retail. 

I'm not even sure a large price cut will save it. If you remember the N64 and Gamecube they had severe price cuts because people simply didn't want those products and still sold poorly. The N64 perhaps makes a good comparison because its cartridge format made its games small, expensive and with a reduced range compared to the original playstation. Both PS4 and Xbox one will be entering a lower price stage soon and both are massively superior to Switch. In the UK N64 cartridges started off as high as £60 back when £60 was really worth something but as it went on it was quite easy to get discounted game as low as £4.99 for the weakest titles. I used to get mine from a company called Special Reserve and you used to subscribe for something like £6 a year and got a free N64 game, one of the choices which I remember getting was Turok Rage Wars. 

 The gaming landscape has become a lot more diluted with both ios and android tablets and mobiles absorbing some of the revenue and customer base. Even if Nintendo had come up a with a brilliant, fully portable and reasonably priced console I think it would have sold in far less numbers than 3DS but what they have released is pretty awful as a package. I thought it was going to be a reasonably priced, slightly more power system than it is with a virtual reality headset that the tablet slides into and was going to have a wider range of more appealling software. I find its performing even more weakly than I feared, has a truly absymal line up of games and prices are through the roof. I thought the lower gpu power would result in more realistic and acceptable battery runtime but if anything they have used such a low capacity battery that they have destroyed the possibility of a minimum 4 hour runtime. It's just so awful on so many levels.

The amount of tat that is getting recycled to fill the Switch game catalogue is beyond a joke. If I wanted to play old games on a brand new games console I'd get one of those chinese psp clones that has like 1000 nes games for $20.

As a wii u owner I'm I just meant to ignore the fact so many games I already have for the wii u are also now Switch games. It wouldn't be so bad but they make up a huge part of the Switch catalogue.

It should have been called the Nintendo KamiKaze console not Switch. I know Nintendo goes with high risk designs but this seems like commercial suicide.

40 million is reasonable thats 10 million per year. Unless they handle post launch really badly i can see this.

I'm not apologizing for my points, so much as that I said I was going to try to be less aggressively negative, and I'm not doing a very good job of it so far.

This same people predicted a lifetime total of 25 million for the Wii U.

60-80mil life time

Pretty optimistic, I really hope it can though!

It this the official VGChartz Switch prediction thread?

Wow have times changed... This research firm forecasted the Switch to sell 40M units by the end of 2020, which to many people it seemed like an optimistic forecast for the Switch, and 40M wouldn't have been terrible for a 3.5Year system
However, coming back to this thread near the end of 2020 its now becoming likely the Switch will sell 80M units by the end of 2020. Pretty much selling twice as much as the firm's original forecast which is insane. I think Switch will be the only home console to sell 80Million Units before the 4 year mark which is amazing.

People back in the day thought this firm would be wrong.

Indeed they were.

DFC still believes that the Switch won't reach 100 million tho

https://www.dfcint.com/dossier/can-nintendo-switch-pass-the-100-million-unit-mark/